7:00 AM ET
Mackenzie KraemerESPN Staff Writer
- Works astatine ESPN Stats & Information
The Buffalo Bills look to bounce backmost from their nonaccomplishment arsenic an 10.5-point favourite past week against the New York Jets. It was the 2nd double-digit upset this NFL season. Teams coming disconnected a nonaccomplishment arsenic a double-digit favourite thin to bounce back, covering implicit 62% the pursuing week successful the past 20 seasons.
That triumph pushed the Jets implicit their triumph full of 5.5. The Jets are the archetypal squad to clinch their triumph full over. Two different teams clinched pushes past week, with the Seattle Seahawks clinching astatine slightest a propulsion connected implicit six wins, and the Green Bay Packers clinching astatine slightest a propulsion connected nether 11 wins.
Green Bay is presently a five-point underdog, which is the largest underdog relation for the Packers astatine Lambeau Field successful immoderate Aaron Rodgers start. Rodgers is 5-1 ATS successful his vocation arsenic an underdog, though the Dallas Cowboys are 5-0 ATS arsenic roadworthy favorites implicit the past 2 seasons.
This week, 5 much teams person triumph totals astatine stake, including the Seahawks and Packers. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers tin spell nether 11.5 wins with a loss, portion the New York Giants (seven) and Atlanta Falcons (five) tin clinch pushes connected their overs with wins this week.
Season notes
Unders: 9-4 past week (79-55-2 this season); Highest over/under pct done Week 9 since 1991
Underdogs: 7-4-2 ATS this week (73-55-5 ATS this season)
Best ATS teams: Dallas, Tennessee, and New York (N), each 6-2 ATS
Worst ATS team: Tampa Bay (2-6-1 ATS)
Best implicit team: Cleveland (5-2-1)
Best nether team: Indianapolis (8-1)
Atlanta Falcons (-3) astatine Carolina Panthers, Thursday astatine 8:15 ET
Atlanta tin propulsion connected its play triumph full (five) with a win.
Atlanta is 0-3 ATS successful its past 3 games aft starting the play 6-0 ATS.
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS against teams with losing records this season.
Carolina is 8-18 ATS since the commencement of past play (3-6 ATS this season).
Carolina is 3-9 ATS erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3 since the commencement of past season.
Atlanta is 4-7 ATS arsenic a favourite nether Arthur Smith, but it is 2-0 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favourite nether Smith. Over the past 5 seasons, Atlanta is 10-19 ATS arsenic a favorite.
Unders successful part games are 29-13-1 this season.
Prime-time unders are 17-10-1 this play and 65-45-2 implicit the past 4 seasons. Three consecutive Thursday Night Football games person gone implicit the full aft 5 of the archetypal six went under.
Seattle Seahawks vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5), Sunday astatine 9:30 AM ET (Munich)
Tampa Bay tin clinch the nether connected its play triumph full (11.5) with a loss. Seattle tin clinch the implicit connected its play triumph full (6) with a win.
Tampa Bay is the 5th squad successful the Super Bowl epoch to person a losing grounds done 9 games contempt being favored successful each game. With a loss, Tampa Bay would articulation 2016 Carolina arsenic the lone teams successful the Super Bowl epoch with losing records done 10 games contempt being favored successful each game.
Tampa Bay is 0-6-1 ATS successful its past 7 games.
Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS astatine location this season.
Tampa Bay games are 7-2 to the under, including 6-0 successful league games.
Seattle has covered 4 consecutive games for the archetypal clip since 2020. The past clip it covered 5 consecutive games was successful 2015.
Seattle is 48-28-2 ATS arsenic an underdog nether Pete Carroll (.632). Seattle is 5-2 outright and ATS arsenic an underdog this season, tied with some New York teams for the astir successful the league.
Jacksonville Jaguars astatine Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Kansas City is 0-4 ATS astatine location this season. Patrick Mahomes is 15-19 ATS successful his vocation astatine home, including 3-8 ATS successful his past 11 location games.
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS successful league games this play (0-7 ATS successful past 7 regular-season league games).
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS successful its past six games.
Trevor Lawrence is 8-18 ATS successful his vocation arsenic a starter and 3-9 ATS connected the road.
Houston Texans astatine New York Giants (-6.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
New York has lone been a six-point favourite erstwhile successful the past 4 seasons (Week 12 of 2020: 6.5-point favorites astatine Cincinnati). If it closes seven, it volition beryllium New York's largest favourite relation since Week 17 of 2018 (-7.5 vs Dallas - mislaid outright). Daniel Jones is 3-6 ATS successful his vocation arsenic a favorite.
New York is 4-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season.
New York tin propulsion implicit its triumph full (seven) with a win.
Houston is 4-1 ATS this play arsenic an underdog of astatine slightest six points.
This would beryllium conscionable the sixth clip successful the Super Bowl epoch wherever a squad with astatine slightest a .700 triumph percent is simply a location favourite of little than a touchdown against a squad with a winning percent beneath .200 successful November oregon later. The archetypal 5 went 1-4 ATS.
New York is 6-2 ATS, tied for the champion people successful the league.
New Orleans Saints (-2.5) astatine Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Mike Tomlin is 14-4-2 ATS arsenic a location underdog (13-7 outright), including 7-0-2 ATS implicit the past 5 seasons (7-2 outright).
Pittsburgh is 22-10-2 ATS arsenic an underdog implicit the past 5 seasons.
New Orleans is 0-3 ATS connected the roadworthy this season, and it is 1-5 ATS erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3.
Detroit Lions astatine Chicago Bears (-3), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Detroit is 1-4 ATS successful its past 5 games.
Dan Campbell is 2-6 ATS arsenic Detroit manager erstwhile helium is not astatine slightest a four-point underdog.
Detroit has covered six consecutive part games, each arsenic an underdog.
Chicago has gone implicit the full successful 3 consecutive games and 4 of its past five.
If the full closes astatine 48 oregon higher, it would beryllium Chicago's highest successful immoderate crippled since 2020.
Unders successful part games are 29-13-1 this season.
Cleveland Browns astatine Miami Dolphins (-3.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Cleveland games are 5-2-1 to the over, the highest implicit percent successful the league. All 4 Miami location games this play person gone nether the total.
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS successful its past six games arsenic an underdog, including 3-1 ATS this season.
Miami is 1-5 ATS successful its past six games.
Miami is 11-4-1 ATS arsenic location favourite since 2017.
Tua Tagovailoa is 16-11-1 ATS successful his career.
Minnesota Vikings astatine Buffalo Bills (-5.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Buffalo games are 7-1 to the nether this play with six consecutive unders.
Buffalo mislaid past week arsenic a 10.5-point favorite. Teams coming disconnected a nonaccomplishment arsenic a double-digit favourite are 46-28-2 ATS successful the pursuing crippled implicit the past 20 seasons.
Last season, Buffalo was 1-3 outright and ATS arsenic a location favourite of 7 points oregon less.
Minnesota is 0-4 ATS successful their past 4 games arsenic an underdog. This is their 2nd crippled arsenic an underdog this season.
Denver Broncos astatine Tennessee Titans (-3), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Tennessee has covered six consecutive games, the longest progressive streak successful the league, and Tennessee's longest streak since 2008 (8 straight). Tennessee is 6-2 ATS, tied for the champion people successful the league
Denver games are 7-1 to the nether this play with 4 consecutive unders. Tennessee games are 6-2 to the nether with 5 consecutive unders
Tennessee is 5-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season.
Indianapolis Colts astatine Las Vegas Raiders (-6.5), Sunday astatine 4:05 ET
Indianapolis games are 8-1 to the under, the highest nether percent successful the league. Thirteen of their past 14 games person gone nether dating backmost to past play and their erstwhile 8 roadworthy games person gone under.
Overs are 14-5-1 astatine Allegiant Stadium since it opened successful 2020.
Indianapolis is 0-3 ATS successful its past 3 games, including 0-2 ATS successful 2 Sam Ehlinger starts.
Las Vegas is 3-13 ATS successful its past 16 games arsenic a favorite, including 2-4 outright and ATS this season.
Josh McDaniels is 6-9 outright and ATS successful his vocation arsenic a favourite (including his clip successful Denver), and helium is 1-3 outright and ATS erstwhile favored by astatine slightest six points.
Arizona Cardinals astatine Los Angeles Rams (-3), Sunday astatine 4:25 ET
Los Angeles is 11-1 outright and ATS against Arizona including playoffs nether Sean McVay, including 7-1 outright and ATS against Kliff Kingsbury.
Arizona is 8-1 outright and ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog since the commencement of past season. Arizona is 10-3 ATS connected the roadworthy and 9-3 ATS arsenic an underdog successful that span.
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS astatine location this season.
Los Angeles has gone nether the full successful 5 of its past six games. Arizona has gone implicit the full successful 3 consecutive games.
Arizona is 0-3 ATS this play against part opponents (0-5 ATS past 5 games dating backmost to past season).
Unders successful part games are 29-13-1 this season.
Dallas Cowboys (-5) astatine Green Bay Packers, Sunday astatine 4:25 ET
Aaron Rodgers is 5-1-1 ATS successful his vocation arsenic a location underdog including playoffs (4-2-1 outright). He is 5-1 ATS and 4-1-1 outright arsenic a regular-season location underdog. He has ne'er been much than a three-point location underdog successful his career.
Green Bay has lone been a location underdog of astatine slightest 5 points doubly successful the past 15 seasons since Aaron Rodgers made his starting debut. They mislaid 16-0 arsenic 8.5-point underdogs successful 2017 against Minnesota, and it upset Detroit successful 2011 arsenic 6.5-point location underdogs.
Green Bay tin clinch the nether connected its play triumph full (11) with a loss.
Dallas is 13-3 ATS arsenic a favourite since the commencement of past season, including 5-0 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favourite (all past season). Dallas is 3-0 ATS arsenic a favourite this season, each astatine home.
Green Bay is 11-3 ATS arsenic an underdog nether Matt LaFleur (6-1 ATS since commencement of past season).
Dallas is 6-2 ATS, tied for the champion people successful the league.
Los Angeles Chargers astatine San Francisco 49ers (-7), Sunday astatine 8:20 ET
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS successful it's past 5 games arsenic a location favorite, including 2-0 ATS this season. Kyle Shanahan is 8-16-2 ATS wide arsenic a location favorite.
The nether is 8-1 successful San Francisco's past 9 games arsenic a favorite.
Los Angeles has lone been astatine slightest a five-point underdog erstwhile nether Brandon Staley. Staley's largest underdog relation is +7 astatine Kansas City successful Week 3 past season. Los Angeles won that crippled outright.
Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS connected the roadworthy this season.
Sunday Night Football unders are 7-2 this play and 36-23-2 implicit the past 4 seasons. Prime-time unders are 17-10-1 this play and 65-45-2 implicit the past 4 seasons.
Washington Commanders astatine Philadelphia Eagles (-10.5), Monday astatine 8:15 ET (ESPN)
Philadelphia is 4-0 ATS astatine location this season.
Three consecutive Philadelphia games person gone implicit the total. Six of Washington's past 7 games person gone nether the total. Unders are 4-0 erstwhile Washington plays teams with winning records this season.
This is the archetypal clip Philadelphia has been a double-digit favourite successful 3 consecutive games successful the Super Bowl era.
Since 2007, double-digit favorites are 9-21 ATS connected Monday Night Football, though they are 3-1 ATS since the commencement of past season.
Unders successful part games are 29-13-1 this season.
Prime-time unders are 17-10-1 this play and 65-45-2 implicit the past 4 seasons.
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