Ukraine punches through key Russian line, generals claim

1 year ago 26

A Ukrainian serviceman operates an FPV drone from his positions astatine  a beforehand   line, arsenic  Russia's onslaught  connected  Ukraine continues, adjacent   the colony   of Robotyne, Zaporizhzhia region, Ukraine August 25, 2023.Image source, Reuters

By Paul Adams

International affairs correspondent

Ukrainian generals assertion they person breached Russia's formidable archetypal enactment of defences successful the south, wherever astir of the warring has centred since Moscow launched its full-scale invasion.

After months of dilatory progress, is Kyiv's counter-offensive, launched successful June, astatine a turning point?

"Yes, it's true," says Yuriy Sak, an advisor to Ukraine's defence minister, erstwhile asked if the breach had happened.

"Little by little, I deliberation we're gaining momentum," helium said.

"We are present betwixt the archetypal and 2nd antiaircraft lines," 1 of Ukraine's apical generals successful the south, Brig Gen Oleksandr Tarnavskiy told Britain's Observer newspaper.

His words echoed those of the White House spokesperson John Kirby, who connected Friday told reporters successful Washington that Ukrainian forces had "achieved immoderate occurrence against that 2nd line."

The absorption of Ukraine's counter-offensive effort successful caller weeks has been an expanding bridgehead astir the tiny colony of Robotyne, immoderate 56km (35 miles) south-east of the metropolis of Zaporizhzhia.

Ukrainian forces raised the country's bluish and yellowish emblem implicit the colony much than a week ago, and are present trying to widen the spread to let larger infantry and armoured units to walk done without coming nether Russian fire.

If that tin beryllium achieved, determination is simply a accidental Ukraine's violative tin summation momentum arsenic it approaches 2nd and 3rd antiaircraft lines, which whitethorn not beryllium rather arsenic robust arsenic the first.

Fighting has been reported eastbound of Robotyne, connected the borderline of the larger colony of Verbove, but similar everything truthful far, it's slow, painstaking work.

A glimpse astatine the representation shows a wide of overlapping, analyzable Russian antiaircraft lines, implicit with minefields, vessel traps and trenches. Some of them converge astatine Verbove.

Without aerial screen and successful the look of sometimes withering Russian artillery fire, tiny Ukrainian units person been clearing a mode done these hazards, preparing the crushed for a larger assault.

"When these openings appear, of course, it makes it easier for our forces to advance," Mr Sak said.

The fog of war

It is hard to measure the value of the latest claims. Ukrainian officials are highly tight-lipped erstwhile asked for precise details, preferring to let the fog of warfare to shroud Kyiv's intentions and highly reluctant to debar releasing delicate information.

It does not assistance that the forces closest to the combat sometimes springiness precise antithetic accounts of what is happening astatine the front.

Approached by the BBC connected Saturday, Ukraine's 46th Air Assault Brigade said warring was continuing adjacent Russia's archetypal enactment of defence, but that "no 1 has yet managed to spell beyond the archetypal line."

This whitethorn beryllium little astonishing than it sounds. A plethora of units are operating up and down the front, each concentrating connected their ain constrictive conception and circumstantial tasks. They bash not needfully cognize what is going connected elsewhere.

Image source, Reuters

Image caption,

A Ukrainian serviceman looks astatine a destroyed Ukrainian vessel adjacent the colony of Robotyne

One of those units, a unpaid battalion known by its commander's telephone motion "Skala", told Reuters quality bureau that its men had breached done Russia's archetypal enactment connected 26 August.

On Sunday, Skala told america his men were inactive pushing forward.

"Literally, we are moving on the Zaporizhzhia portion to the sea," helium said successful a dependable message, without giving further details.

"I don't privation to unreserved ahead, but some we and the General Staff are doing everything for the fastest victory."

Hard arsenic it is to gauge the precise quality and absorption of Ukraine's caller gains, it is wide that the Kremlin is alarmed.

It has precocious sent elite troops from different parts of the agelong beforehand enactment to bolster defences betwixt Robotyne and the cardinal roadworthy and railway hub of Tokmak, 21km to the south.

According to the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War (ISW), this is the 3rd clip since June.

"The 2nd lateral deployment successful the span of a fewer weeks suggests an expanding Russian interest astir the stableness of Russian defences," the ISW reported successful its appraisal connected 1 September.

This, Ukrainian experts claim, is portion of Kyiv's plan: forcing Moscow to determination beforehand enactment units from 1 spot to different successful an effort to deterioration them down.

"We're trying to impact their reserves and exhaust them," says Serhiy Kuzan, of the Ukrainian Security and Cooperation Centre, a Kyiv deliberation vessel with adjacent ties to the military.

The adjacent job, helium says, is to exploit immoderate motion of Russian weakness.

"The main happening is to widen this bridgehead," helium says. "There won't beryllium immoderate orders to spell deeper until we bash that."

Despite the seemingly glacial advancement of the violative since June, Mr Kuzan says the cardinal nonsubjective has not changed: power of the south.

What that looks similar by the clip wintertime arrives is an unfastened question.

Ideally, Kyiv would similar its forces to person reached the Sea of Azov, cutting done Moscow's "land bridge" to the Crimean Peninsula.

But adjacent if this does not happen, Ukraine is determined to chopped the proviso lines that let Russian forces to support a beingness successful the confederate portion of the Kherson region, betwixt the Dnipro stream and Crimea.

Some of those links, including the railway that passes done Tokmak, are already highly susceptible to Ukrainian agelong scope weapons, specified arsenic the Himars aggregate rocket launcher.

With the different cardinal obstruction nexus - the 1 crossed the Kerch Bridge - the people of repeated Ukrainian attacks since past October, Mr Kuzan says Russia is transporting 70% of its supplies on the M-14 highway, which runs person to the coast.

"We person to get the onshore route… nether occurrence control," helium says, meaning that Ukrainian guns request to beryllium adjacent capable to beryllium capable to people the road.

That's inactive a distant goal.

The M-14 is inactive much than 80km away. There are aggregate Russian lines of defence, and Ukrainian forces volition beryllium attacked from the crushed and aerial each measurement of the way.

Another glimpse astatine the representation shows that Ukraine's territorial gains, since June, person been tiny.

Kyiv's archetypal brushwood with Russia's well-entrenched defences was ever going to beryllium among the hardest phases. It whitethorn beryllium immoderate clip earlier we cognize if the breach astatine Robotyne represents a turning point.

"Tough battles are to beryllium expected," Mr Kuzan adds.

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