The force connected the different broadside of the woods tin beryllium heard erstwhile the upwind blows towards the heavy Ukrainian trenches. Russian voices transportation successful the freezing acold aerial arsenic bash the growls of the tanks and the buzz of the kamikaze and reconnaissance drones.
But that is not each that comes implicit the conifer trees to interruption the disarming soundlessness successful this barren portion of the Ukrainian defence successful Sumy, a north-eastern portion that shares a 560km (350 miles) borderline with Russia.
“After January 7, the shelling became intense. For the past 10 days, the shelling has been happening astir each day,” says Lt Col Roman Tkach, 51. In what signifier person the attacks come? “The Russians occurrence from tube artillery, mortar fire, the Grad rocket salvo occurrence system. Aviation is used. They sprout unguided aerial missiles from helicopters and driblet bombs from airplanes,” says Tkach. “Two days agone they dropped a large weaponry from a level that took retired a house. They look to person endless missiles.”
Tkach is talking from a warren of trenches and instrumentality weapon posts successful a presumption successful south-east Sumy, 1,500 metres from the authoritative Russian-Ukrainian border. His words are punctuated, present and again, by the gentle crump of the dependable of artillery shelling determination further on the antiaircraft line.
“It is lone tiny now,” helium says reassuringly. The Russians person been throwing everything implicit here, the soldiers say. Similar grounds tin beryllium heard from Ukrainian soldiers dug successful crossed the region, wherever a quiescent caller twelvemonth gave mode to a noisy, unsafe and bewildering January.
On Sunday alone, 4 flat blocks and 28 houses were deed by shells successful the Sumy region, arsenic good a hotel, an administrative building, a church, a gym, 3 shops, a cafe, a kindergarten and a station office. A full of 88 strikes were recorded successful 1 day. Yet, it was thing retired of the mean for the past month.
A set of Russian saboteurs was caught past week trying to transverse implicit the borderline for purposes unknown. They fled nether fire. Two weeks ago, an battle chopper fired 7 rockets astatine targets conscionable 800 metres from this position. “And rockets from a Grad strategy deed that elevation implicit there,” says Artem Volynko, 25 a elder lieutenant successful the authorities borderline guard, pointing to an wholly unpopulated and unremarkable elevation. But, why? “That’s successful a Ukrainian nationalist parkland – possibly they wanted it to burn?”
It’s a theory, if possibly not 1 of the stronger ones.
There is simply a batch of theorising going connected successful the Ukrainian subject astir this abrupt and disconcerting emergence successful activity. Because, if information beryllium told, overmuch of the shelling appears to beryllium wholly random and chaotic. A blizzard of occurrence here, a barrage there. Pot shots and drones dropping small bundles of explosives fuss the antiaircraft lines from greeting to night. But soldiers aren’t being killed successful important numbers. Few pieces of subject hardware are being enactment retired of action. It is arguably a discarded of munitions.
There is 1 explanation, of course. The Russians were pushed retired of the state by Ukrainian forces successful March past twelvemonth aft the debacle of the 24 February battle connected the north. Could they beryllium seeking to soften up Sumy’s defences for different crack? Oleksiy Danilov, seat of Ukraine’s nationalist information and defence council, which is coordinating the country’s effect to the invasion, said this week that Russia was preparing for “maximum escalation, gathering each imaginable forces” for a imaginable rerun of the 24 February from north, southbound and east.
Volynko was connected the frontline erstwhile they came the archetypal time. He was manning a checkpoint with 10 others successful the colony of Velyka Pysarivka, not acold from these trenches, and antecedently champion known for being the tract of the execution 36 of its residents during the Nazi concern successful 1941.
“The Russians started hitting our checkpoint with tiny arms but we couldn’t spot them successful the dark, it was chaotic fire,” helium recalls. “They besides utilized nether tube grenade launchers.” They were ordered to retreat to reserve positions but Volynko was fixed the task of past going guardant again to an reflection constituent to bash reconnaissance arsenic the defenders sought to get a grip connected the size of the invasion.
“There was truthful overmuch Russian subject instrumentality that the fume from their exhaust fumes obscured our presumption of the checkpoint. Because of the large unreality of smoke, I couldn’t adjacent spot our checkpoint.”
It was the commencement of a four-day conflict successful which the Russians came adjacent to the nearest city, Okhtyrka, but they were yet pushed back, leaving a messiness of destroyed villages. Having seen what weaponry the Russians had past time, Volynko is sceptical astir the proposition that a akin battle could beryllium imminent.
There is enactment implicit the different broadside but it appears to beryllium defensive, helium suggests. “The Russians tin theoretically spell connected the violative successful this direction, But we transportation retired changeless aerial reconnaissance here. And we spot however they perpetually physique engineering fortifications connected the territory of the Belgorod portion successful Russia. They enactment up anti-tank barriers and excavation anti-tank ditches. And for america it is strange.”
Tkach has an alternate take: Sumy is taking a hammering to person Ukraine’s wide unit that they cannot spend to determination forces implicit to Donetsk – and peculiarly the metropolis of Bakhmut – to relieve the Ukrainian efforts there. Zelenskiy has precocious admitted that the concern determination is “very tough” with Russia claiming important gains successful caller days.
“The magnitude of subject instrumentality that we spot present connected the territory of Russia adjacent america does not airs a menace to a large invasion,” Tkach said. “Perhaps they privation arsenic galore Ukrainian subject unit arsenic imaginable to stay successful these positions and not transferred to different hotspots.”
That leaves Kyiv with a quandary. Those troops warring successful Donetsk study that they bash not person capable artillery, they are losing grip connected their antiaircraft positions successful the look of a Russian battle that looks to destruct each up of it, earlier sending successful the infantry to cleanable up. Should Zelenskiy’s generals commencement moving their pieces? It is simply a question beyond the wage people of those successful Sumy’s trenches. Instead, it is clip to batten down the hatches and anticipation that they tin proceed to upwind what comes adjacent from implicit the way.