SATURDAY AM: Refresh for much investigation and chart Avatar: The Way of Water is looking fantastic successful its 3rd play aft Friday bushed its ain evening estimates with $24.4M, +27% from a week ago. That puts the James Cameron movie connected a tally for a $67.8M 3-day weekend, +7% from past weekend’s Christmas period, and a imaginable 4-day betwixt $87M-$92M per manufacture estimates. On the precocious extremity of that range, Avatar 2 could spot a -4% dip from its Dec. 23-26 instrumentality of $95.6M. In that range, by Monday, Avatar 2 will outstrip the 18-day moving full of its comp, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story, which had $440.9M by that constituent successful clip with a full betwixt $450M-$446M. At that level, Avatar 2 will besides easy bushed the moving full of Black Panther: Wakanda Forever which looks to basal astatine astir $440M by Monday. One blimpish estimation has Avatar 2‘s 3rd sesh astatine $77M implicit 4 days, which would get it to $435.1M, and spot it 1% down Rogue One by EOD Monday.
The movie is ringing successful a steadfast New Year for accumulation starring a full home marketplace of $104.2M implicit Friday-Sunday, which is 5% higher than New Year’s Weekend 2022 erstwhile Spider-Man: No Way Home led each titles to $98.9M.
Together with a Black Panther: Wakanda Forever‘s eighth Friday of $1.8M, Disney, on with each the wealth from its Searchlight and 20th Century Studios title, rises to $1.96 cardinal astatine the 2022 home container office. You tin work much astir our look backmost astatine the container bureau twelvemonth here.
Even though we could spot a 2023 container bureau twelvemonth of $9 billion, +22%, and contempt the occurrence of Avatar 2 here, Wall Street has been hard connected the No. 1 movie concatenation AMC, with the concatenation ending 2022 with a stock terms of $4.07, down from its $34.30 yearly high. That comes successful the aftermath of AMC readying a reverse banal split, $110M merchantability of its premium APE equity. It’s wide the thoroughfare is assessing the exhibitor from its indebtedness and nett standpoints, and not the aboriginal rebound of the industry. They should cognize that AMC ruled the 2022 home marketplace arsenic the No. 1 circuit with much than $1.7 cardinal (23% marketshare) per manufacture calculations, up of No. 2 Regal which did $1.2 cardinal (16.4% marketshare). The AMC Burbank volition beryllium the highest grossing theatre with astir $18M successful container bureau for the year, followed by AMC Empire arsenic the No. 2 theatre successful the US with $14.5M.
Los Angeles was the apical marketplace for moviegoing successful 2022 grossing $571M+ (8% full marketplace share) with New York coming successful astatine No. 2 with $446M+ successful summons income (6.3% full marketplace share). Dallas was a standout marketplace for the twelvemonth (and during the full pandemic) ranking 3rd for the twelvemonth with $226M successful container bureau (3.2% full marketplace share).
Universal/Dreamworks Animation’s Puss successful Boots: The Last Wish remains the runner-up champ astatine the vacation container bureau with a $6.46M Friday, +70% from a week ago, $15.95M 3-day, +28%, a 4-day $21.1M and a moving full of $65.5M.
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FRIDAY PM UPDATE: Avatar The Way of Water‘s 3rd Friday is connected its mode to $22M+, which is up 15% from its 2nd Friday of $19.2M a week agone and volition enactment the sequel’s 15-day full astatine astir $380M. Today’s gross is besides bigger than Rogue One‘s 3rd Friday of $18.2M. This looks to beryllium shaping up for a 3rd 3-day play of $57M, -10%, and 4-day of $75M, possibly adjacent a spot much astatine 4,202 theaters. By EOD Monday, Jan. 2, the 20th Century Studios/Disney/Lightstorm movie hopes to basal astatine $433.1M stateside.
Universal/DreamWorks Animation’s Puss successful Boots: The Last Wish is eyeing a 2nd Friday of $5.3M, +39% from a week ago, for a 3-day of $13.3M (+7%), 4-day of $17.7M astatine 4,121 theaters, and a moving full done 13 days of $62.1M, -33% down Sing 2 versus the aforesaid constituent successful time.
Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther: Wakanda Forever in its 8th Friday is seeing astir $1.6M, a 3-day of $4.7M (+33%), 4-day of $6.4M and moving full successful its 8th play of $439.3M. The sequel is successful play astatine 2,310 theaters.
Sony/Compelling Pictures/Black Label Media’s I Wanna Dance With Somebody is seeing a 2nd Friday of $1.3M, -35%, and a 2nd play of $3.7M, -22% and 4-day of $4.9M for an 11-day full of $15.4M. The Whitney Houston biopic is booked astatine 3,625 theaters.
Paramount/C2’s Babylon at 3,351 theaters is seeing $850K today, $2.9M for its 2nd weekend, -19%, and a 4-day of $3.3M raising its 11-day full $10.7M. The movie volition soon surpass the beingness home full of Guillermo del Toro’s Nightmare Alley, a dark, R-rated precocious brow big rubric from past Christmas which finaled astatine $11.3M. Nightmare Alley was nominated for 4 Oscars including Best Picture.
PREVIOUS FRIDAY AM: It was different $20M time for James Cameron’s Avatar: The Way of Water, so large that it was the biggest regular container bureau Thursday of the twelvemonth aft the sequel’s Dec. 22 instrumentality of $14.6M and Top Gun: Maverick‘s June 2 gross. The movie’s moving full is $358M stateside with a 3-day expected to beryllium astir $50M and volition transverse the $400M threshold connected New Year’s Day per container bureau sources. New Year’s Eve Saturday isn’t expected to beryllium arsenic depressed arsenic Christmas Eve was a week ago.
To date, the Disney/20th Century Studios/Lightstorm movie has the pursuing regular 2022 records: apical and 2nd grossing Thursday, the 2nd and 3rd highest Mondays of the year, the 1st and 2nd highest Tuesdays, and 1st and 3rd highest Wednesday.
Total Thursday planetary was $67.9M. Overseas B.O. full cume is $810.6M –surpassing Top Gun: Maverick‘s $770M to go the No. 1 planetary merchandise of 2022 and No. 2 MPA rubric overseas successful the pandemic era. Ongoing worldwide full for Avatar 2 is $1.168 billion.
We perceive Comscore is down this AM, preventing others from reporting numbers. Disney didn’t person immoderate problems, clearly.
We’ll person much updates for you arsenic they come.