Betting odds, picks, tips: Giants as 'dogs; Patriots rebound?

Note: Sunday's crippled from London connected ESPN+ volition beryllium featured successful a file Saturday night, and MNF betwixt the Packers and Bills volition beryllium featured Sunday afternoon.

With Week 8 upon us, we person astir reached the halfway constituent of the 2022 NFL season. There are respective intriguing games and adjacent spreads, truthful what does this each mean from a betting perspective? And what are the champion plays to assistance you marque astute wagering decisions?

Betting analysts Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Joe Fortenbaugh, Anita Marks and Erin Dolan, phantasy adept Eric Karabell, phantasy and sports betting analysts Eric Moody and Andre Snellings, ESPN Stats & Information's Seth Walder and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz connection their penetration into the games with tips and picks.

Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless different indicated.

Giants-Seahawks (-3, 44.5) is the lone matchup betwixt 2 teams with winning records this week. Despite being 6-1 ATS and SU, the Giants are again an underdog, getting 3 points from 4-3 Seattle. Who bash you similar successful this matchup?

Fortenbaugh: I'm laying the 3 with Seattle. New York wants respect? Go laic the wood to somebody. Seriously. All this complaining astir a deficiency of respect erstwhile you deed the roadworthy and hardly eked by Jacksonville. Meanwhile, Seattle crushed the Chargers successful Los Angeles. That's however you get respect. Take enactment that the Giants are playing their 3rd roadworthy crippled successful 4 weeks, with the archetypal of those games taking spot successful London and the past taking spot successful Seattle. That's a large ask.

Schatz: What I similar successful this matchup is over 44.5. Seattle is 3rd successful violative DVOA, and Geno Smith doesn't look to beryllium going away, arsenic helium had 1 of his champion games successful Week 7. The Giants are present seventh successful violative DVOA and 3rd implicit the past 4 weeks. Meanwhile, these defenses fertile 19th and 29th successful DVOA, respectively.

The NBA play is here. Sign up for ESPN Fantasy Basketball today! Play for free

Fulghum: OK, New York. You person my attention. I'll take the points with the Giants successful this spot. The caller question the past 4 weeks for the G-Men is simply a interest (London, New York, Jacksonville, Seattle), but this squad conscionable keeps winning and beating marketplace expectation. The Seahawks are besides overachieving, but their violative ceiling mightiness beryllium capped successful this game. Wide receiver DK Metcalf was carted disconnected the tract past week. Tyler Lockett is besides dealing with a nagging hamstring injury. Meanwhile, the Giants' violative ceiling is raised successful a matchup against 1 of the worst defenses successful the league. Seattle is 29th successful the NFL successful full yards and rushing yards allowed per game. The Seahawks are allowing 26.6 PPG to opposing offenses, which is the fifth-highest fig successful the league. Daniel Jones and Saquon Barkley's rushing quality should shorten this crippled and support astatine a low-scoring, choky matter -- the benignant of crippled situation successful which the Giants person thrived this season. Giants +3.

Snellings: I'll instrumentality the Giants and the points. Yes, they support winning adjacent games, but since they're the ones really getting the points, that MO is good by me. The Seahawks person played well, but with some of their prima wide receivers ailing they are a spot weakened. But, much than that, the Giants' strategy of moving the shot (with some Saquon Barkley and Daniel Jones) and playing timely defence is proving to beryllium a winning one, and 1 that consistently keeps them successful games with chances to win, late. I'll instrumentality that.

Marks: The 6-1 Giants are underdogs again, and I emotion it. I'll keep taking the points! Big Blue is 3-0 connected the road. Brian Daboll is getting the astir retired of his offense, Wan'Dale Robinson is processing large chemistry with Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley is moving for days, and Jones has been Superman connected 3rd down. Wink Martindale's defence schemes against Geno Smith volition beryllium the cardinal to winning, truthful springiness maine Wink!

Moody: I'm backing the Giants astatine +3, adjacent connected the road. Jones has exceeded expectations of bettors for a Giants squad lacking receiving playmakers and who has relied heavy connected Barkley and the moving game. New York ranks 2nd successful the league with 173.4 rushing yards per game. Jones has besides engineered 5 game-winning drives. With a 6-1 grounds against the spread, the Giants are undefeated connected the road. The Seahawks volition astir apt beryllium without receiver DK Metcalf. The Seattle passing crippled tin beryllium disrupted by Martindale's dense accent connected blitzes. As a favorite, the Seahawks person not fared well. Over its past 9 games erstwhile favored, Seattle is 3-6 against the spread.

play

0:37

Doug Kezirian says the Patriots volition instrumentality it to the Jets and debar back-to-back defeats.

The New England Patriots (-2.5, 40.5) are favored for the 21st consecutive clip implicit the New York Jets, this clip arsenic a 2.5-point favourite connected the road. Do you similar the Patriots to rebound disconnected their atrocious nonaccomplishment to Chicago oregon volition the Jets proceed their winning ways?

Schatz: My numbers thin Jets successful this game, but I'm really leaning toward the Patriots. These 2 teams person been precise adjacent unneurotic this play successful our DVOA ratings. However, the Patriots dispersed the shot around, eliminating 1 of the Jets' apical strengths (Sauce Gardner eliminating the WR1). And Zach Wilson isn't peculiarly mobile, eliminating 1 of the Patriots' large antiaircraft weaknesses. The Jets bash person a peculiar teams vantage here, but discourtesy and defence are precise close, and I deliberation Bill Belichick coaching them up aft a nonaccomplishment gives the Patriots a flimsy edge.

Moody: Belichick knows however to get his squad backmost connected track. New England's discourtesy struggled past week and won't look worse than they did against the Bears. Coming disconnected Monday Night Football, New England is 6-1 against the dispersed successful its past 7 Sunday games. In this game, I'm backing the Patriots to screen the spread, arsenic I deliberation they'll get backmost connected track. It's nary concealed that the Jets' defence is formidable, ranking 10th successful Football Outsiders' DVOA metric, but I expect New England to emergence to the challenge. In 7 of their past 10 games against the Jets, the Patriots person covered the spread. The Jets are 2-7 against the dispersed successful their past 9 games against the AFC East.

What are the 3 astir important things that our analytics say?

Walder: I'll springiness you 3 takes connected sides via FPI.

Washington Commanders (+3) astatine Indianapolis Colts
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis

FPI prediction: Commanders by 1.1

If we look astatine the expected points added per play rates for these 2 teams we spot a remarkably akin picture. The Commanders are 2 ranks amended than the Colts connected discourtesy and connected defense. So close away, that's a motion that a afloat tract extremity is excessively much, due to the fact that home-field vantage isn't worthy that overmuch adjacent if the 2 teams are identical.

But I'm not amazed FPI likes the Commanders adjacent much than that, due to the fact that it's not fond of backup quarterbacks without a way grounds similar Sam Ehlinger. Of course, Washington is starting a backup too, but astatine slightest we've seen Taylor Heinicke, and helium isn't terrible.

Chicago Bears astatine Dallas Cowboys (-9.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

FPI prediction: Cowboys by 12.9

There's an understandable recency origin present causing a difference, I think, due to the fact that Justin Fields and the Bears person played overmuch amended successful their past 2 games. But FPI is going to request to spot much to beryllium swayed. Fields inactive has a 37.3 QBR -- 27th successful the NFL -- and is going against an fantabulous Dallas defense. FPI thinks the Cowboys volition triumph big.

Las Vegas Raiders (-1.5) astatine New Orleans Saints
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Caesars Superdome, New Orleans

FPI prediction: Raiders by 3.2

FPI truly lone has 2 large calls this week -- the archetypal 2 listed -- but we'll propulsion this successful here, too. The exemplary conscionable loves the Raiders. They whitethorn beryllium 2-4, but the Raiders person the fourth-most businesslike discourtesy successful the league. Fourth! While the defence is what has held the Raiders back, we'll repetition what we often bash present -- past discourtesy is much predictive discourtesy than past defence is of aboriginal defense.

What is your favourite stake for Sunday?

Fortenbaugh: Raiders -1.5 successful New Orleans. I deliberation this squad is acceptable to spell connected a run. They're 2-4 but diagnostic a +13 constituent differential. To enactment that into perspective, the Giants are 6-1 with a +20 constituent differential. The Raiders are overmuch amended than their grounds indicates, and they person the pursuing games coming up: astatine New Orleans, astatine Jacksonville, vs. Indianapolis, astatine Denver. You tin presently stake the Raiders implicit 8 wins and to marque the playoffs astatine +280, 2 wagers I made earlier this week. As for this peculiar game, the Saints are a messiness connected some sides of the ball, and Andy Dalton is starting astatine quarterback. Case closed.

Schatz: Let's spell with the Commanders +3 astatine Indianapolis. The Colts person been the worst discourtesy successful the league by DVOA and I can't ideate Sam Ehlinger is going to crook that around. Even if the Colts tin get Jonathan Taylor going, Washington is 4th successful tally defence DVOA this season. And is Heinicke truly a measurement down from Carson Wentz? He mightiness beryllium a measurement up. This enactment should beryllium a prime 'em, and I'll happily instrumentality the 3 points.

Fulghum: Lions-Dolphins (over 51.5) should beryllium a way conscionable astatine Ford Field. I'm going implicit the full of 51.5. Way over. Lions location games this play person averaged 76.3 combined PPG. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle indoors connected a accelerated track? Yes, please. After being manhandled by the Cowboys defence connected the roadworthy past week, the Lions discourtesy gets a overmuch much favorable spot to people points astatine location against a vastly inferior Miami defense.

Karabell: Miami Dolphins -3.5 implicit Lions. Yeah, the Lions scored myriad points the archetypal fewer games this season, and they did truthful astatine home, but this discourtesy has scored nary a touchdown the past 2 games. Jared Goff looks unspeakable again. D'Andre Swift past played successful Week 3 and, astir importantly, the defence is 1 of the worst successful the sport. The Dolphins volition score. It's hard to expect the Lions will.

Snellings: Arizona Cardinals +3.5 implicit Vikings. The Cardinals, to me, person felt similar they were a measurement retired of descend each play ... until past week. When DeAndre Hopkins returned, each of a abrupt I started seeing hints of the squad that led the NFC West astir of past season. Now Hopkins has a crippled nether his belt, newcomer Robbie Anderson should beryllium acclimated, and it's imaginable that James Conner and/or Darrel Williams could beryllium backmost to supplement the tally crippled astir Eno Benjamin. I deliberation the Cardinals are acceptable to commencement playing overmuch amended ball, starting this weekend.

Marks: Eagles -6.5 successful archetypal fractional vs. Steelers. The Eagles are coming disconnected a bye week, and are rested and acceptable to prime up wherever they near off. They added different portion to their defence by trading for Robert Quinn, which lone makes their walk unreserved adjacent better. The Eagles person not trailed astatine the fractional yet this play and person been up by an mean of 13 points astatine halftime. AJ Brown volition beryllium facing property sum and should person a monster day. The Steelers volition beryllium moving connected a abbreviated enactment week aft losing a hard-fought conflict with the Dolphins connected Monday night.

What is your favourite subordinate prop?

Fulghum: Tyreek Hill implicit 87.5 receiving yards (-127). I emotion this crippled to spell implicit the total. It's a tremendous matchup for a subordinate successful Hill who is matchup-proof. Hill is averaging 11.4 targets and 110.4 yards per crippled this season. In this crippled environment, it's precise tenable to expect Hill to lucifer oregon transcend those numbers.

Karabell: Derrick Henry implicit 98.5 rushing yards (-137). Henry has rushed for much than 100 yards successful 3 consecutive games, averaging 27 rushes per game, and the Texans boast the worst rushing defence successful the sport, permitting 164.7 rushing yards per game. Henry didn't get to look the Texans past season, but the past clip helium did was the last week of the 2020 season, and each helium did was rumble for 250 yards. He's going for a subordinate 50 here.

Marks: Jalen Hurts implicit 226.5 passing yards (-115). The Eagles offense, well-rested disconnected a bye week, should manhandle a Steelers secondary that plays a batch of property sum (which is not going to enactment vs. A.J. Brown). Pittsburgh has allowed the third-most passing yards to opposing QBs and the astir receiving yards to WRs this season.

Moody: A.J. Brown implicit 66.5 receiving yards. Brown has a large matchup against the Steelers secondary. Pittsburgh's defence is allowing 275.4 passing yards per crippled this play and allows the astir receiving yards per crippled (209.6) to wide receivers. Brown is averaging 8.8 targets and 83.8 receiving yards per game. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle had monster games against the Steelers past week. There's a bully accidental Brown volition person 1 too.