Betting tips for 'Thursday Night Football': Titans at Packers

Week 11 of the NFL play gets started Thursday nighttime with an matchup betwixt the 6-3 Tennessee Titans and 4-6 Green Bay Packers (-3, 41) astatine Lambeau Field. The Titans are coming disconnected a 17-10 triumph implicit the Broncos, and the Packers are disconnected a 31-28 triumph implicit the Dallas Cowboys.

What tin expect from a betting standpoint for Thursday night's game?

Betting analysts Doug Kezirian, Tyler Fulghum, Joe Fortenbaugh, Anita Marks and Erin Dolan; phantasy and sports betting analysts Eric Moody and Andre Snellings; and ESPN Stats & Information's Seth Walder, ESPN analyst Jason Fitz and Football Outsiders' Aaron Schatz provide their apical plays for the matchup.

Note: Lines from Caesars Sportsbook unless different indicated.

The Packers ended a five-game losing streak past week, knocking disconnected the Cowboys, and are present a 3-point favourite vs. a Tennessee squad that has won six of its past seven. Are you buying that the Packers are backmost oregon taking a Titans squad that continues to find ways to win?

Marks: Weather conditions are expected to beryllium brutal; 20 degrees, 20-MPH winds, imaginable snowfall and temperatures feeling successful the single-digits. Rodgers should thrive successful these hometown conditions, wherever the Packers people connected 37% of their violative drives astatine compared to 20% connected the road. The Titans are the worst second-half squad successful the league, scoring connected lone 7% of their violative possessions.These are 2 of the slowest paced teams successful the NFL. I volition play the Packers -3 and the under.

Schatz: I deliberation the dispersed is spot-on present but I'll hold with Anita connected taking the nether astatine 41. It's not conscionable the brutal upwind conditions, but the pace. The Titans are past successful the league moving a play each 30.9 seconds, and the Packers fertile 30th moving a play each 30.2 seconds.

Moody: Although I don't cognize if they are genuinely back, I urge betting connected the Packers to screen the spread Thursday nighttime astatine home. In their past 8 games played connected Thursday night, the Packers person gone 6-1-1 against the spread. They yet broke done offensively against the Cowboys astatine Lambeau Field connected Sunday and got the win. It volition beryllium freezing successful Green Bay connected Thursday night, and the upwind chill could marque it consciousness similar six degrees. There is besides a accidental of snow. In their past 4 roadworthy games, the Titans person gone 4-0 against the spread, but the Packers are overmuch amended playing successful beforehand of the Cheeseheads.

Snellings: I'll beryllium contrarian and instrumentality the Titans with the points. They've conscionable been playing astatine a higher level than the Packers, consistently, each season. Plus, the upwind conditions look to enactment much successful the Titans' favor, with their accent connected the powerfulness tally game. Trying to tackle Derrick Henry, successful freezing weather, each nighttime long? By astir that 15th oregon 20th carry, I could ideate that's a precise un-fun imaginable for the Titans' defense.

Two-time defending NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers has had a down twelvemonth by his standards. His props for Thursday vs. the Titans are 247.5 passing yards. 22.5 completions, 33.5 attempts and 1.5 TDs. Are you taking immoderate of those?

Dolan: Rodgers implicit 1.5 passing touchdowns. He has deed implicit this people successful 7 of 10 games played this season. The Titans defence is atrocious against the pass, ranking 31st and allowing 273 passing yards per game. Green Bay is averaging conscionable 19 points per game, but I deliberation the Titans defence could beryllium exposed done the air.

Marks: Rodgers implicit 1.5 passing TDs, implicit 33.5 passing attempts. The Titans person 1 of the champion rushing defenses successful the league, truthful teams person to walk against them to win. Quarterbacks are averaging 40 passing attempts per crippled against Tennessee (Patrick Mahomes tossed it 68 times), and 80% of the Packers' TDs person travel via the walk and 90% of TDs the Titans are allowing are done the air.

The NBA play is here. Sign up for ESPN Fantasy Basketball today! Play for free

The Titans spell arsenic Derrick Henry goes. Henry (923 yards) is 8 yards down Saquon Barkley for the NFL pb successful rushing. His rushing prop for Thursday is 97.5 yards and helium is the betting favourite astatine +225 to extremity the play with astir rushing yards. Are you playing either crippled prop oregon future?

Marks: Henry implicit 97.5 rushing yards. Henry is the straw that stirs the Titans' portion and present faces a Packers defence that ranks 27th successful the NFL against the tally (28th successful yards earlier interaction and 25th after). Henry is averaging implicit 120 yards per game, and with upwind conditions expected to consciousness successful the azygous digits, helium volition beryllium hard to tackle -- fto unsocial anyone who wants to try.

Schatz: It isn't conscionable that Henry gets by acold the bulk of the Titans' carries, but besides that the Packers defence is miserable against the run. They fertile past successful the league successful antiaircraft adjusted enactment yards and 31st successful stuffing runners for a nonaccomplishment oregon nary gain. Especially successful the acold weather, Henry should person nary occupation piling up rushing yardage, and I similar him to spell over his rushing prop.

Snellings: Henry implicit 97.5 rushing yards. As I mentioned above, this shapes up similar a Henry game, to me. The Titans' reliance connected him, the temperature, and the Packers' struggles against the tally harvester to marque him a play for me.

Is determination thing other you similar oregon are playing successful this matchup?

Fortenbaugh: Under 41 points for me. We cognize Tennessee wants to tally the shot with Henry, which should enactment good against a Green Bay defence that ranks 30th successful the NFL successful Football Outsiders' unreserved DVOA metric. The Packers enactment connected a bully violative amusement against Dallas, but this portion inactive ranks 25th successful the NFL successful scoring (18.5 PPG).

Marks: Aaron Jones implicit 24.5 receiving yards. Jones is the pb backmost for the Packers, adjacent with AJ DIllon's availability. The Titans lone let 3.9 yards per carry, truthful teams mean little than 20 carries a crippled and go pass-heavy. Jones is simply a ample portion of the Packers' passing onslaught and is averaging implicit 20 receiving yards per crippled (nine catches for 53 yards past game), and has 228 receiving yards connected the season. The Titans person been susceptible against receiving ball-carriers.

Moody: Ryan Tannehill nether 187.5 passing yards. The Packers' defence allows the seventh-most rushing yards per game. The Titans person relied heavy connected Henry each season, and that inclination seems acceptable to continue. This season, Tennessee has tally the shot connected 52% of plays, tied for third-most successful the league. The league mean is 41%. With the matchup and weather, it makes consciousness for the Titans to tally the ball. Tannehill has averaged 193.1 passing yards per crippled this season.