Biggest surprise? What comes next? What we've learned about Astros-Phillies World Series so far

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Two games into the 2022 World Series, determination has been nary shortage of play connected the tract successful Houston.

First, it was the underdog Phillies storming backmost from a 5-0 shortage successful Game 1 and handing the Astros their archetypal nonaccomplishment of the postseason acknowledgment to J.T. Realmuto's game-winning 10th-inning agelong ball.

Then, it was Houston's crook to punctual everyone wherefore they were specified a dense favourite to statesman with by scoring 3 first-inning runs against Phillies ace Zack Wheeler successful a series-tying 5-2 Game 2 victory.

With a question time Sunday earlier the Series shifts to Philadelphia for 3 games opening Monday night, we asked ESPN MLB experts Bradford Doolittle, Joon Lee, Jeff Passan and Jesse Rogers to interruption down what they've seen truthful acold and what we should expect from here.

What has amazed you astir astir the archetypal 2 games?

Lee: The continued struggles of Justin Verlander successful the World Series. For idiosyncratic who has specified a storied career, it's genuinely singular that the Astros ace's 6.07 ERA is the worst among each starting pitchers with astatine slightest 30 innings pitched successful the World Series. His inability to clasp the pb opened the doorway for Philadelphia to bushed the juggernaut Astros successful Friday's opener, and if the Phillies extremity up raising the trophy, that volition person acceptable the tone.

Rogers: Aaron Nola and Wheeler getting knocked astir to the tune of 10 runs (nine earned) successful their 2 starts. Wheeler, successful particular, near excessively galore pitches implicit the sheet successful the 2 innings helium gave up runs, and neither pitcher looked precise sharp. The Phillies request their 2 aces to beryllium overmuch amended successful their adjacent outings.

Passan: The impermeability of the Phillies' bullpen. Entering the Series, Phillies relievers were bully capable -- a 3.19 ERA, 53 strikeouts successful 42⅓ postseason innings -- but thing compared to the Astros, whose bullpen allowed 3 runs successful 33 innings, each connected solo location runs. Between the 5⅓ shutout innings relieving Nola successful Game 1 and 3 much scoreless picking up Wheeler successful Game 2, Philadelphia's pen is performing similar a weapon. Whether it tin bash truthful deeper into the Series whitethorn marque oregon interruption the Phillies.

Doolittle: I had wondered however the Phillies would navigate astir the Yordan Alvarez/Kyle Tucker conception of the Houston lineup precocious successful adjacent games erstwhile Jose Alvarado was spent. Rob Thomson was mode up of maine by utilizing starter Ranger Suarez successful the archetypal crippled arsenic a 2nd bullpen lefty. But Suarez volition beryllium starting Game 4, presumably taking him disconnected the array arsenic a alleviation enactment successful either of the adjacent 2 games, truthful my curiosity remains.

Was the Phillies' Game 1 triumph a mirage, oregon volition they bent with the Astros from here?

Doolittle: It wasn't a mirage -- improbable arsenic it is for the Phillies, oregon immoderate team, to flooded a five-run shortage successful a World Series. The Astros are inactive successful bully shape, but arsenic agelong arsenic the Phillies' bullpen keeps answering the bell, we should beryllium successful for much choky games and immoderate melodramatic moments. Houston is inactive favored, but it's a best-of-five present and Philly has the location vantage aft the split.

Lee: Even though I deliberation the Astros are going to triumph this Series, I would beryllium truly amazed if the Phillies don't propulsion retired astatine slightest one, possibly 2 games during their 3 games astatine home. Philadelphia's lineup made things absorbing successful the eighth inning of Game 2, making it tighter than the last container people would suggest -- and I expect this to proceed into Games 3, 4 and 5.

Passan: This bid has each the hallmarks of a agelong one: a divided to start, offenses susceptible of getting conflagrant astatine immoderate infinitesimal and bullpens that are performing astatine an elite level. Of the 59 World Series to commencement with a split, 45 of them went to astatine slightest a sixth game, according to ESPN Stats and Info. And if this bid follows suit and returns to Houston, it's bound to beryllium a coin flip betwixt 2 precise talented, precise motivated teams.

Rogers: The Phillies tin decidedly bent with Houston -- I thought that earlier the Series -- particularly considering they're going location for 3 games. After Game 2, players successful some clubhouses were discussing the Philly assemblage and the energy it'll bring. Houston won't beryllium intimidated, but the Phillies won't get swept there, either -- nary way. All to say: It's going to beryllium a agelong Series.

How bash you expect the ambiance to alteration present that the Series is headed to Philly?

Rogers: With each owed respect to Astros fans -- and it could beryllium owed to their building's acoustics -- it is apt to beryllium louder and much chaotic successful outdoor Citizens Bank Park than it was successful indoor Minute Maid Park. Phillies fans person been a difference-maker, according to their players, for a squad that has gone 5-0 astatine location this postseason. It's going to beryllium chaotic successful Philadelphia for these adjacent 3 games.

Lee: Astros fans person been large and rowdy during the World Series, but Phillies fans are thirsty for their archetypal title since 2008. Between the Phillies' occurrence and the Eagles' beardown start, Philadelphia has a batch to cheer astir close now, and I expect that vigor to transportation over. And to springiness you immoderate anecdotal grounds of however rowdy this Phillies assemblage could get: A person from assemblage sprained his ankle portion celebrating Rhys Hoskins' third-inning homer successful Game 5 of the NLCS and stayed the remainder of the game. "I'll smash my different ft if it locks successful a title." Expect that benignant of vigor for Game 3.

Doolittle: More radical rooting for the Phillies? It'll beryllium a antithetic vibe and a chaotic one. Cooler weather. No enactment to adjacent a roof. This shouldn't beryllium a immense factor, though. The Astros person a halfway of players who person won plentifulness of postseason games connected the road, including the World Series. Houston has really been more palmy distant from location during the Fall Classic during this existent model of winning.

Passan: The Phillies are the lone squad successful sports whose nickname straight descends from the sanction of the city, and that metropolis happens to beryllium populated by radical who volition tattoo the Phillie Phanatic astir their bellybutton. So it's nary astonishment that the get-in terms for Game 3 is much than $700. If for immoderate crushed you inactive deliberation Citizens Bank Park isn't going to beryllium the astir rowdy, festive, ridiculous associated this postseason, well, you're astir apt from Houston.

Who is your World Series MVP truthful acold -- and volition helium instrumentality location the grant successful the end?

Doolittle: Seems beauteous wide open. I don't deliberation anyone has impacted 1 of the wins much than Realmuto successful Game 1 oregon Framber Valdez successful Game 2. I'd astir apt divided the ballot betwixt them close now. Then I'd constituent retired that Jose Altuve is heating up and volition astir apt extremity up winning it astatine the end.

Rogers: Valdez. He came on astatine the close infinitesimal for the Astros aft they dropped Game 1. Imagine being down 2-0 past going to Philadelphia -- this Series would astir apt beryllium over. I judge Valdez volition triumph it successful the extremity arsenic well. He inactive has different large outing successful him adjacent aft throwing 104 pitches Saturday night.

Lee: For now, Realmuto. If the Phillies are capable to triumph the World Series, it volition beryllium due to the fact that they were capable to instrumentality 1 of the archetypal 2 games successful Houston -- and that does not hap without the Phillies' slugging catcher.

Passan: Generally speaking, positional adjustments are acold much important implicit a ample span of games. But erstwhile it comes to catcher, the demands they look successful a abbreviated bid -- particularly of immense effect similar the 1 that crowns the champion -- request to beryllium weighed heavily. Which means that arsenic superb arsenic Valdez was successful Game 2, Realmuto astir single-handedly winning Game 1 and playing his typically fantabulous shot successful Game 2 makes him the choice. He's not a atrocious stake for the remainder of the Series, either.

Would you similar to revise your archetypal World Series prediction?

Doolittle: Astros successful 6? Seems astir right. Haven't seen thing that would marque maine alteration my mind.

Lee: The Phillies person had an unthinkable playoff run, but I inactive deliberation the endowment of this Astros squad volition triumph retired successful the end.

Passan: Ask maine aft Game 4.

Rogers: I had the Astros successful 7, and arsenic overmuch arsenic I similar the Phillies' mojo, Houston's pitching volition beryllium the quality implicit the agelong Series.

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