College football betting trends: Why history doesn't favor the Volunteers

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  • ESPN Stats & Information

Week 7 of the assemblage shot play brings immoderate of the astir high-profile games of the year.

There are 5 matchups of teams successful the AP Top 25 including 2 games betwixt teams ranked wrong the apical 10. Three games pit undefeated powerhouses against each different successful 3 Power 5 conferences.

No. 10 Penn State travels to Ann Arbor to look No. 5 Michigan successful yet different trial for the Wolverines. Spencer Sanders and No. 8 Oklahoma State volition look Max Duggan and the No. 13 TCU Horned Frogs successful an aggravated Big-12 battle. And of course, we person the highly-anticipated showdown betwixt No. 3 Alabama and No. 6 Tennessee.

There's plentifulness of games to wager connected this play and we person everything you request to marque your wagering decisions up of Week 7.

Check retired each of the betting notes and trends courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information.


Saturday

No. 10 Penn State astatine No. 5 Michigan (-7, 52)
12 p.m. ET, Michigan Stadium, Ann Arbor, Michigan

  • Michigan is 5-0-1 to the nether this season, tied with Colorado State and Georgia Tech for the astir unders without an implicit successful the FBS this season.

  • Michigan is 5-12 ATS against AP Top-10 teams nether Jim Harbaugh. Stanford was 3-1 ATS successful specified games nether Harbaugh.

  • Michigan hasn't been a bigger favourite against an AP Top-10 squad since Oct. 1, 2016 vs past No. 8 Wisconsin (-11).

  • Penn State is 2-6 ATS against Michigan nether James Franklin, and 0-5 ATS arsenic an underdog.

Auburn astatine No. 9 Ole Miss (-14, 54.5)
12 p.m. ET connected ESPN, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi

  • Auburn is 1-5 ATS this season, the worst screen percent successful the SEC.

  • Each of the past 4 games betwixt Auburn and Ole Miss person gone nether the full by an mean of 15.9 PPG

  • Since the commencement of the 2020 season, Auburn is 9-2 to the nether connected the road, tied with Oklahoma State for the highest nether percent connected the roadworthy successful the FBS implicit that span.

  • Ole Miss is 1-3 ATS arsenic a location favourite this season, tied with Florida for the 3rd-worst specified screen percent successful the SEC.

No. 19 Kansas astatine Oklahoma (-7.5, 64.5)
12 p.m. ET connected ESPN2, Memorial Stadium, Norman, Oklahoma

  • Kansas is 5-0-1 ATS this season, tied with TCU and James Madison for the champion screen percent successful the FBS this season.

  • Kansas is 6-0-1 ATS successful its past 7 games arsenic an underdog.

  • Oklahoma has not covered against a squad with a winning grounds this play (0-3 ATS).

  • Oklahoma has failed to screen successful 4 of its past 5 games against Kansas.

Iowa State astatine No. 22 Texas (-16.5, 49.5)
12 p.m. ET connected ABC, DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, Texas

  • Texas is 4-0 ATS astatine location this play and is 1 of 2 teams successful the FBS with 4 location screen wins.

  • Iowa State is 9-2 ATS arsenic a double-digit underdog nether Matt Campbell.

  • This is the astir Texas has been favored by against Iowa State since 2010 (-21).

  • Each of the past 7 games betwixt Iowa State and Texas person gone nether the total.

Minnesota (-6.5) astatine No. 24 Illinois
12 p.m. ET, Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

  • Minnesota is 4-1 ATS this play and 3-0 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favourite since the commencement of past season.

  • Minnesota is 8-2 ATS connected the roadworthy since the commencement of the 2020 season, the champion roadworthy screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span (min. 10 roadworthy games).

  • Since the commencement of the 2019 season, Minnesota is 9-1 ATS erstwhile playing aft six oregon much days of remainder (had a bye successful Week 6).

  • Illinois has covered each of its past 3 games arsenic an underdog.

Vanderbilt astatine No. 1 Georgia (-38, 58.5)
3:30 p.m. ET connected SEC Network, Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia

  • Vanderbilt is 0-3 ATS arsenic a double-digit underdog and against AP-ranked opponents this season.

  • Since the commencement of the 2017 season, Vanderbilt is 0-7 ATS against AP Top-5 opponents.

  • Georgia has covered each of its past 4 games against Vanderbilt.

  • Georgia is 1-5 ATS successful its past six games arsenic a location favorite.

No. 3 Alabama (-7.5, 65.5) astatine No. 6 Tennessee
3:30 p.m. ET, Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, Tennessee

  • Alabama has been a favourite successful 77 consecutive regular-season games against FBS opponents (excluding league champ games), tied for the longest specified streak since the 1978 FBS/FCS split.

  • Alabama is 11-4 ATS against Tennessee nether Nick Saban.

  • Tennessee is 0-5 ATS against AP Top-5 teams since the commencement of the 2020 season.

  • Tennessee is 1-5 ATS arsenic an underdog nether Josh Heupel, the worst specified screen percent successful the SEC since the commencement of the 2021 season.

No. 8 Oklahoma State astatine No. 13 TCU (-3.5, 68.5)
3:30 p.m. ET connected ABC, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

  • TCU is 4-0-1 ATS this season, tied with Kansas and James Madison for the champion screen percent successful the FBS.

  • Oklahoma State is 9-1-1 ATS successful Big 12 play since the commencement of past season, the champion specified screen percent successful the Big 12 implicit that span.

  • Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS connected the roadworthy since the commencement of past season. That's tied with Pittsburgh for the champion roadworthy screen percent implicit that span (min. 5 roadworthy games).

  • Oklahoma State is 15-4-1 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of the 2018 season. That's the champion specified screen percent successful the Big 12 implicit that span.

No. 15 NC State astatine No. 18 Syracuse (-3.5, 44.5)
3:30 p.m. ET connected ACC Network, JMA Wireless Dome, Syracuse, New York

  • Since the commencement of the 2019 season, NC State is 4-13 ATS connected the road. That's the 2nd-worst roadworthy screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span.

  • NC State is 3-9 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of the 2017 season.

  • Syracuse is 4-1 ATS this season, the 2nd-best screen percent successful the ACC.

  • Syracuse is 6-0 ATS successful October since the commencement of past season, the champion screen percent successful the FBS successful October implicit that span (min. 3 games).

No. 25 James Madison (-10.5, 66.5) astatine Georgia Southern
4 p.m. ET connected ESPN+, Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

  • James Madison is 5-0 ATS this season, tied with TCU and Kansas for the champion screen percent successful the FBS this season.

  • James Madison is 3-0 ATS arsenic a double-digit favourite this season.

  • James Madison is 2-0 ATS connected the roadworthy this season.

  • Georgia Southern is 17-8 ATS successful its past 25 games arsenic a double-digit underdog.

No. 4 Clemson (-3.5. 51) astatine Florida State
4 p.m. ET connected ABC, Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Florida

  • Clemson has covered each of its past 4 games against Florida State.

  • Clemson is 13-7 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favourite since the commencement of the 2020 season.

  • Clemson has covered six of its past 7 ACC games.

  • Florida State is 3-0 ATS against AP Top-10 teams since the commencement of the 2020 season.

No. 16 Mississippi State (-7, 46.5) astatine No. 22 Kentucky
7:30 p.m. ET connected SEC Network, Kroger Field, Lexington, Kentucky

  • Kentucky is 0-4 ATS pursuing a straight-up nonaccomplishment since the commencement of past season.

  • Kentucky is 4-0-1 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of past season.

  • Kentucky has gone nether the full successful 5 of its six games this season.

  • Mississippi State has covered 5 of its past six roadworthy games.

No. 7 USC astatine No. 20 Utah (-3.5, 63)
8 p.m. ET, Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah

  • USC is 3-12 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog since the commencement of the 2015 season, the 3rd-worst specified screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span.

  • Utah is 3-0 ATS astatine location this season.

  • Utah is 11-2 ATS successful October since the commencement of the 2018 season, the champion specified October screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span (min. 10 games).

  • Utah is 24-11 ATS successful Pac-12 play since the commencement of the 2018 season, the champion specified screen percent successful the Pac-12 implicit that span.

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