College football Week 10 betting trends: Why history favors Tennessee over Georgia

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Tennessee is 7-1 ATS this season, tied for the champion screen percent successful FBS assemblage football. Photo by Donald Page/Getty Images

7:30 AM ET

  • ESPN Stats & Information

Week 10 of the 2022 College Football play features plentifulness of AP-Top 25 teams successful enactment arsenic the College Football Playoff contention begins to vigor up successful November. While determination are lone 3 ranked vs. ranked matchups this week possibly nary volition beryllium bigger than the 2 SEC league games this play erstwhile Tennessee hits the roadworthy to look Georgia and Alabama heads to Tiger Stadium instrumentality connected LSU.

With plentifulness of questions and games to wager connected this weekend, and we person everything you request to marque your betting decisions up of Week 10.

Check retired each of the notes and trends courtesy of ESPN Stats & Information.


Friday

No. 24 Oregon State astatine Washington (-4.5, 60)
10:30 p.m. ET, Husky Stadium, Seattle, Washington

  • Washington has failed to screen each of its past 4 games.

  • Washington is 4-1 ATS astatine location this season.

  • Oregon State is 10-3 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog since the commencement of the 2019 season, the 2nd-best specified screen percent successful the Pac-12 implicit that span.

  • Each of the past 3 meetings betwixt Oregon State and Washington person gone nether the total.

Saturday

No. 2 Ohio State (-38, 62.5) astatine Northwestern
noon ET connected ABC, Ryan Field, Evanston, Illinois

  • Northwestern has failed to screen each of its past 4 location games.

  • Ohio State has gone implicit the full successful six consecutive games, tied with Wisconsin for the longest progressive implicit streak successful the FBS.

  • Ohio State is 17-4-2 to the implicit successful roadworthy games since the commencement of the 2017 season, the highest roadworthy implicit percent successful the FBS implicit that span (min. 4 roadworthy games).

  • This is the largest favourite Ohio State has been against Northwestern since 1983 (-40).

Texas Tech astatine No. 7 TCU (-10, 71)
noon ET, Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX

  • TCU is 6-1-1- ATS this season, tied for the 3rd-best screen percent successful the FBS.

  • All 4 of TCU's location games person gone implicit the full this season.

  • Texas Tech is 3-0 ATS pursuing a straight-up nonaccomplishment this season.

  • Four of Texas Tech's 5 games against AP-ranked opponents went implicit the full this season.

No. 17 North Carolina (-9.5, 59.5) astatine Virginia
noon ET connected ACC Network, Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, Virginia

  • Virginia is 1-6-1 to the implicit this season, which is tied with Georgia Tech for the lowest implicit percent successful the ACC this season.

  • Each of the past 4 meetings betwixt North Carolina and Virginia person gone implicit the total.

  • Virginia is 4-1 ATS arsenic location underdogs since the commencement of the 2018 season.

  • North Carolina has covered 4 of its past 5 games successful ACC play.

No. 19 Tulane (-7.5, 58) astatine Tulsa
noon ET connected ESPNU, Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Oklahoma

  • Tulane is 7-1 ATS this season, tied with Tennessee for the champion screen percent successful the FBS.

  • Tulsa is 11-0 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of the 2018 season, tied for the champion specified screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span.

  • Tulsa is 9-1-1 ATS arsenic an underdog since the commencement of the 2020 season, the 4th-best screen percent arsenic an underdog successful the FBS implicit that span.

  • Tulsa has covered 13 of its past 17 games against Tulane.

No. 2 Tennessee astatine No. 1 Georgia (-9, 65.5)
3:30 p.m. ET, Sanford Stadium, Athens, Georgia

  • Tennessee is 7-1 ATS this season, tied with Tulane for the champion screen percent successful the FBS.

  • No top-2 squad has been astatine slightest an eight-point underdog since the 2020 ACC Championship Game (No. 2 Notre Dame was +11 against No. 4 Clemson; Clemson won by 24).

  • Then nine-point dispersed is the largest dispersed successful a 1-vs-2 matchup since 2013 erstwhile No. 1 Florida State was a 9-point favourite implicit No. 2 Auburn successful the BCS Championship Game; FSU won by 3.

  • Underdogs successful 1-vs-2 matchups are 24-12-1 ATS and 20-17 outright since the 1978 FBS/FCS split, including 4-0 ATS successful the past 10 seasons (2-2 SU).

  • Underdogs of astatine slightest 7 points successful 1-vs-2 matchups are 8-2 ATS and 6-4 SU since 1978 (1-2 ATS and SU past 15 seasons).

No. 8 Oregon (-31.5, 60.5) astatine Colorado
3:30 p.m. ET connected ESPN, Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado

  • Colorado is 0-5 ATS against teams with winning records this season.

  • Colorado is 3-0 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of past season.

  • Oregon has covered each of its past 3 games (all arsenic a favorite).

  • Oregon is 5-2-1 ATS this season, the 2nd-best screen percent successful the Pac-12.

Michigan State astatine No. 14 Illinois (-16, 43.5)
3:30 p.m. ET, Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

  • Illinois is 7-2-1 ATS arsenic a double-digit favourite since the commencement of the 2015 season.

  • Illinois is 4-1 ATS astatine location this play and has covered 5 of its past six games overall.

  • Michigan State has covered 9 of its past 12 meetings with Illinois.

  • Michigan State is 1-4 ATS against teams with winning records this season.

No. 16 Penn State (-13.5, 54.5) astatine Indiana
3:30 p.m. connected ABC, Memorial Stadium, Bloomington, Indiana

  • Indiana is 1-6 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of past season.

  • Indiana is 3-11 ATS arsenic an underdog since the commencement of past season, the worst screen percent successful the Big Ten arsenic an underdog implicit that span (min. 2 games).

  • Penn State is 8-22-1 ATS pursuing a straight-up nonaccomplishment nether James Franklin, the worst specified screen percent successful the FBS since the commencement of the 2014 play (min. 2 games played pursuing a straight-up loss).

  • Penn State has gone implicit the full successful each of its past 3 games.

No. 18 Oklahoma State (-3.5, 69) astatine Kansas
3:30 p.m. ET, David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, Kansas

  • Kansas is 6-1-1- ATS this season, tied for the 3rd-best screen percent successful the FBS.

  • Oklahoma State has covered each of its past 4 games against Kansas.

  • Oklahoma State is 7-1 ATS connected the roadworthy since the commencement of past season. That's the champion roadworthy screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span.

  • Oklahoma State is 11-2-1 ATS successful Big-12 play since the commencement of past season, the champion specified screen percent successful the Big 12 implicit that span.

No. 22 Syracuse astatine Pittsburgh (-3.5, 50.5)
3:30 p.m. ET connected ACC Network, Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

  • Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS astatine location this season, tied for the worst location screen percent successful the ACC.

  • Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS against teams with winning records this season.

  • Each of the past 3 meetings betwixt Syracuse and Pittsburgh person gone nether the total.

  • Syracuse is 6-2 ATS this season, tied with Wake Forest for the champion screen percent successful the ACC.

No. 25 UCF (-3.5, 61.5) astatine Memphis
3:30 p.m. ET connected ESPN2, Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, Tennessee

  • Memphis has covered each of its past six games arsenic a location underdog.

  • Memphis is 7-1 to the implicit this season, tied for the highest implicit percent successful the FBS.

  • Memphis is 1-7 ATS against AP-ranked opponents since the commencement of the 2019 season.

  • UCF has gone implicit the full successful 9 of its past 12 roadworthy games.

No. 23 Liberty astatine Arkansas (-14, 64.5)
4 p.m. ET connected SEC Network, Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Arkansas

  • Arkansas has gone implicit the full successful each 4 location games this season.

  • Arkansas is 7-1 to the implicit this season, tied for the highest implicit percent successful the FBS.

  • Liberty has gone implicit the full successful each 4 roadworthy games this season.

  • Liberty is 5-1 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog since the commencement of the 2020 season.

No. 6 Alabama (-13, 58) astatine No. 15 LSU
7 p.m. ET connected ESPN, Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, Louisiana

  • LSU is 5-0 ATS pursuing a bye week since the commencement of the 2019 season.

  • LSU is 15-4-1 ATS against AP Top-10 teams since the commencement of the 2017 season.

  • Alabama has covered 4 of its past 5 games arsenic a double-digit favorite.

  • Alabama has been favored successful 15 consecutive games against LSU (12-3 SU, 9-6 ATS).

Texas (-1.5, 54.5) astatine No. 13 Kansas State
7 p.m. ET, Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, Kansas

  • Texas is 1-6 ATS successful roadworthy games since the commencement of past season. That's the worst roadworthy screen percent successful the Big 12 implicit that span.

  • Texas has covered its past 3 games pursuing a straight-up loss.

  • Kansas State is 4-1 ATS astatine location this season.

  • Kansas State is 16-6 ATS arsenic a location underdog implicit the past 10 seasons, the champion specified screen percent successful the Big 12 implicit that span.

No. 4 Michigan (-26.5, 45.5) astatine Rutgers
7:30 p.m. ET, SHI Stadium, Piscataway, New Jersey

  • Michigan is 1-6-1 to the implicit this season, the lowest implicit percent successful the Big Ten.

  • Rutgers is 1-4 ATS arsenic a location underdog since the commencement of past season.

  • Seven of the past 8 meetings betwixt Michigan and Rutgers person gone implicit the total.

  • Michigan is 20-12 ATS arsenic a favourite since the commencement of the 2019 season, tied with Minnesota for the champion specified screen percent successful the Big Ten implicit that span.

No. 5 Clemson (-3.5, 47.5) astatine Notre Dame
7:30 p.m. ET, Notre Dame Stadium, Notre Dame, Indiana

  • Notre Dame has failed to screen a crippled astatine location this play (0-4 ATS).

  • This is conscionable the 7th clip Notre Dame has been a location underdog since 2014. They are 5-1 ATS successful the erstwhile six instances.

  • Notre Dame is 3-0 ATS against teams with winning records this season.

  • Clemson is 15-7 ATS arsenic a roadworthy favourite since the commencement of the 2018 season.

Arizona astatine No. 12 Utah (-17.5, 67.5)
7:30 p.m. ET, Rice-Eccles Stadium, Salt Lake City, Utah

  • Utah is 4-0 ATS arsenic a double-digit favourite this season.

  • Utah has failed to screen each of its past 3 games.

  • Arizona is 4-0 ATS pursuing a straight-up nonaccomplishment this season.

  • Arizona has gone implicit the full successful each 3 of its roadworthy games this season

No. 20 Wake Forest (-3.5, 54) astatine No. 21 NC State
8 p.m. ET connected ACC Network, Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina

  • Wake Forest is 6-2 ATS this season, tied with Syracuse for the champion screen percent successful the ACC.

  • Wake Forest has covered each of its past 4 games pursuing a straight-up loss.

  • Wake Forest is 16-5 against AP-ranked teams since the commencement of the 2015 season.

  • NC State has failed to screen each of its past 5 games.

No. 10 UCLA (-10.5, 62) astatine Arizona State
9:30 p.m. ET, Sun Devil Stadium, Tempe, Arizona

  • Arizona State has covered the dispersed successful 7 of its past 8 games against AP top-10 opponents, including 4 outright wins (one against No. 7 UCLA successful 2015).

  • The 7-1 ATS grounds vs AP top-10 opponents is tied with Minnesota for the champion screen percent successful the FBS (min. 5 games).

  • UCLA is 4-1 SU and ATS this play successful Pac-12 play, the lone nonaccomplishment coming Oct. 22 astatine past No. 10 Oregon arsenic a 7-point underdog.

  • Arizona State is 13-4 ATS arsenic a double-digit underdog successful the past 10 seasons, which is the second-best screen percent successful the FBS (min. 15 games).

  • UCLA had covered the dispersed successful 4 consecutive games against Arizona State until past year, erstwhile it mislaid outright arsenic a three-point location favorite.

California astatine No. 9 USC (-12, 58)
10:30 p.m. ET connected ESPN, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, California

  • California is 12-3 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog successful the past 5 seasons, which is tied for the champion screen percent successful the FBS with Oklahoma State (min. 10 games).

  • USC is 7-11 ATS arsenic a 21-point favourite since Pete Carroll near aft the 2009 season, which is tied for the 6th-worst screen percent successful the FBS implicit that span (min. 15 games).

  • The nether has deed successful 14 of the past 17 games successful this series.

  • The implicit has deed successful each of USC's 3 games this play against teams that entered with a losing record.

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