Exit polls: What voters are thinking as America goes to the polls - CNN

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 Voters basal   successful  voting booths arsenic  they capable    retired  their ballots astatine  a polling halfway  astatine  the Meadows Mall connected  November 08, 2022 successful  Las Vegas, Nevada. After months of candidates campaigning, Americans are voting successful  the midterm elections to determine  adjacent  races crossed  the nation. (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

CNN's David Chalian breaks down exit polls connected predetermination night

03:57 - Source: CNN

CNN  — 

Read beneath for investigation of CNN’s preliminary 2022 nationalist exit polls.

While voters successful this year’s midterm predetermination clasp antagonistic views of President Joe Biden, their views of his predecessor are adjacent much negative, according to the preliminary nationalist results of the exit canvass conducted for CNN and different quality networks by Edison Research.

Only astir 37% of voters successful this year’s midterms expressed a favorable presumption of erstwhile President Donald Trump, with astir 6 successful 10 viewing him unfavorably. About 16% of voters said their House ballot this twelvemonth was intended to explicit enactment for Trump, with conscionable nether 3 successful 10 saying it’s intended to explicit absorption and the remainder saying that Trump was not a factor.

Voters’ opinions of the GOP were somewhat much affirmative than their views of Trump, with astir 43% viewing the Republican Party favorably and conscionable implicit fractional viewing it unfavorably. More than half, astir 54%, accidental the GOP is excessively extreme.

6:00 p.m. ET / Ariel Edwards-Levy

There’s a important partisan disagreement successful voters’ priorities and attitudes this year, according to the preliminary nationalist results of the exit canvass conducted for CNN and different quality networks by Edison Research.

Nearly fractional of voters who supported a GOP House campaigner called ostentation their apical issue, with less than 15% picking immoderate different contented arsenic their priority. Among voters who backed a Democratic candidate, astir 44% called termination their apical issue, with 15% oregon less picking immoderate different issue.

Meanwhile, midterm voters were mostly opposed to the US Supreme Court determination to overturn Roe v. Wade, according to the preliminary nationalist exit polls.

Slightly less than 4 successful 10 said they felt enthusiastic oregon satisfied astir the decision, portion astir 21% said they felt dissatisfied, and astir 4 successful 10 that they were angry.

About 60% of each voters said that termination should beryllium ineligible successful astir oregon each cases, up from 51% among voters who turned retired for the 2020 wide election.

5:52 p.m. ET / Ariel Edwards-Levy

Early indications suggest that this year’s midterm electorate whitethorn look older than the voters successful the 2018 midterms, according to the preliminary nationalist results of the exit canvass conducted for CNN and different quality networks by Edison Research.

Only astir a tenth of voters successful this predetermination were nether property 30, portion astir one-third were property 65 oregon older. In 2018, astir 13% were nether 30, and astir 26% were 65 oregon older.

The electorate this twelvemonth was divided astir betwixt those who mostly place arsenic Democrats (about 34%) and those who mostly place arsenic Republicans (about 35%), with the remainder consisting of governmental independents and members of different parties. In 2018, Democrats made up a somewhat larger voting bloc, astir 37%.

About 76% of voters were White, and astir 24% were voters of color. White voters with assemblage degrees look to beryllium a somewhat larger stock of the electorate this twelvemonth – astir 40% per the preliminary data, compared with 31% 4 years ago. By contrast, voters of colour without a assemblage grade look to person made up a somewhat smaller stock of the electorate this year.

5:29 p.m. ET / Ariel Edwards-Levy

Inflation tops voters’ database of concerns successful this year’s midterm elections, with termination a adjacent second, according to the preliminary nationalist results of the exit canvass conducted for CNN and different quality networks by Edison Research.

Approximately one-third called ostentation the astir important contented to their vote, with astir 27% citing abortion. The remainder were astir divided betwixt picking crime, weapon argumentation and migration arsenic their main concerns.

The electorate’s views of the system are mostly gloomy. Only astir one-quarter of voters felt positively astir the existent information of the economy, with astir three-quarters viewing it negatively – and astir 4 successful 10 saying it’s downright poor.

That’s much pessimistic than successful the 2018 midterms, erstwhile 68% of voters said the authorities of the system was fantabulous oregon good, and the 2020 statesmanlike election, erstwhile 49% said the same.

About 46% of voters successful this predetermination accidental that their family’s fiscal concern had worsened implicit the past 2 years, portion lone astir 1 successful 5 said it had improved.

More than three-quarters of voters successful this year’s predetermination accidental that ostentation has caused hardship for them and their household implicit the past year, with astir 20% saying it’s been a terrible hardship. And astir 6 successful 10 accidental that state prices, specifically, person precocious been a hardship.

5:23 p.m. ET / Ariel Edwards-Levy

Voters successful this year’s midterm elections are broadly unhappy with the authorities of the federation and clasp mostly antagonistic views of President Joe Biden, according to the preliminary nationalist results of the exit canvass conducted for CNN and different quality networks by Edison Research.

More than 7 successful 10 said they were little than satisfied with the mode things are going successful the country, with astir one-third saying they were not conscionable dissatisfied but aggravated with the authorities of the nation.

Biden’s support standing stands astatine astir 45% among voters successful this year’s predetermination – astir identical to then-Donald Trump’s 45% support standing 4 years agone among 2018 midterm voters. And voters successful this predetermination were much than doubly arsenic apt to powerfully disapprove of Biden arsenic they were to powerfully o.k. of him.

Just shy of fractional of voters this twelvemonth said that Biden’s policies are mostly hurting the country, with astir 36% saying his policies are mostly helping, and the remainder that they’re making nary difference.

Many voters didn’t spot their legislature ballot arsenic a referendum connected the president – adjacent to fractional said that Biden was not a origin successful their vote, portion astir 18% said their ballot was to explicit enactment for Biden, and astir one-third that it was to explicit absorption to him.

Updated 5:13 p.m. ET / Ariel Edwards-Levy

The 2022 exit polls see interviews with thousands of voters, some those who formed a ballot connected Election Day and those who voted aboriginal oregon absentee. That scope makes them a almighty instrumentality for knowing the demographic illustration and governmental views of voters successful this year’s election. And their findings volition yet beryllium weighted against the eventual benchmark: the results of the elections themselves. Even so, exit polls are inactive polls, with margins for mistake – which means they’re astir utile erstwhile treated arsenic estimates, alternatively than precise measurements. That’s peculiarly existent for the earliest exit canvass numbers, which haven’t yet been adjusted to lucifer last predetermination results.

CNN Exit Polls are a operation of in-person interviews with Election Day voters and in-person interviews, telephone and online polls measuring the views of aboriginal and absentee by-mail voters. They were conducted by Edison Research connected behalf of the National Election Pool. In-person interviews connected Election Day were conducted astatine a random illustration of 250 polling locations. The results besides see interviews with aboriginal and absentee voters conducted in-person astatine 72 aboriginal voting locations, by telephone oregon online. Results for the afloat illustration of 12,458 respondents person a borderline of mistake of positive oregon minus 2 percent points; it is larger for subgroups.

This communicative has been updated with further information.

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