Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Monday

2 years ago 42

2:00 PM ET

ESPN Fantasy and Betting Insiders

ESPN's phantasy hoops and hoops betting tips cheat expanse is your pregame destination for hoops betting predictions and our champion intel and information to assistance you marque astute phantasy and wagering decisions. NBA crippled likelihood for October 31 are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and phantasy proposal is based connected ESPN 10-team leagues.

What you request to cognize for Monday's games

Totals With Spreads: We've got a brace of games connected tonight's slate with a full nether 225 points and a dispersed little than 5 points, a spot that has been favorable for some favorites and overs frankincense acold this season. Up to this point, we person 20 specified instances ... favorites are 12-6-2 ATS (15-5 outright) and successful 8 of those covers, the implicit has travel through. In contrast, unders are 6-2 erstwhile the favourite fails to cover, making these games bully targets for a Same Game Parlay... each you person to bash is prime the close squad to screen and the full is apt to follow!

Ice Trae: Much was made of the Hawks bringing successful Dejounte Murray this offseason and however it would interaction Trae Young's role. Yeah, he's conscionable fine. He has tied the NBA grounds with 3 consecutive games of 35-plus points, five-plus assists and nary much than 2 turnovers (Michael Jordan successful 1992-93 and Alex English successful 1982). He is chasing past contiguous against a agelong Raptors defence that profiles arsenic the benignant that could springiness him problems ... but helium kept this streak going Saturday nighttime against the league's apical defence (Milwaukee), connected the road, connected the 2nd nighttime of a back-to-back.

Nothing But Nets: Yes, the Nets person mislaid 4 straight, but determination is wealth to beryllium made successful the prop marketplace connected their stars. First of all, nary squad operates astatine a faster mean gait than the Pacers and they fertile 28th successful antiaircraft efficiency, truthful it's a harmless stake that Brooklyn is going to enactment points connected the board. Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving some person usage rates northbound of 31%. Betting scoring props for either has the greenish light, but let's look a spot deeper. Myles Turner's presumption is TBD, though fixed that Indiana doesn't play again until Friday, it's seems astatine slightest imaginable that they remainder him for different game. Following that thought, it's worthy noting that the past 3 times Kevin Durant has scored 30 points (his anticipation for tonight), Irving has averaged 8 rebounds. Counting connected Irving collecting misses and initiating the interruption to get Durant successful mismatches seems to beryllium portion of the program and if the Pacers are without Turner, this becomes a spot easier. In a scoring environment, a Ben Simmons triple treble stake is besides live. He finished with a triple azygous connected Saturday nighttime against these Pacers, but the Nets took conscionable 82 shots (their 2nd lowest full of the season). I deliberation that fig trends person to 100 than it does to 80 contiguous and with that galore much chances, Simmons to flirt with his archetypal triple treble of the twelvemonth (+900) is worthy a look.

Rousing Revival: The Hornets won't person LaMelo Ball successful the lineup against the Kings contiguous owed to an ankle wounded that has sidelined him since the preseason. Terry Rozier is listed arsenic doubtful owed to an ankle ailment, which again affords Dennis Smith Jr. (58% disposable successful ESPN leagues) a starting relation arsenic the team's pb backcourt creator. Thriving successful an important relation for Charlotte, "DSJ" is simply a savvy play successful some DFS and redraft contention against a Kings squad that ranks 25th successful antiaircraft rating. After all, Smith conscionable flirted with a triple-double successful an overtime upset of the Warriors implicit the weekend. On the Kings side, Kevin Huerter (55% available) is taking astir 50% much 3-pointers per crippled this play successful Sacramento compared to his last play with Atlanta. With a full supra 230 points for this contest, determination should beryllium immoderate phantasy amusive successful this matchup.

-- Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Breaking down the slate

Sacramento Kings astatine Charlotte Hornets
7:10 p.m. ET, Spectrum Center, Charlotte, North Carolina

Line: Kings (-2.5)
Money line: Kings (-150), Hornets (+126)
Total: 233 points
BPI Projected Total: 237.5 points
BPI Win%: Kings (53.2%)

Doubtful: Terry Rozier (ankle)
Ruled Out: Cody Martin (quad), LaMelo Ball (ankle)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Fantasy streamer: This could beryllium a nighttime for a James Bouknight (available successful 99.6% of leagues) sighting successful deeper leagues. As mentioned above, Smith Jr. (available successful 42% of leagues) is the amended play, but the full defender extent illustration for the Hornets has an wounded designation. Bouknight and Smith are the lone non-two-way guards listed arsenic apt to play tonight, truthful some could beryllium successful for large minutes. Bouknight had a scoreless klunker successful his past outing, but scored successful treble digits with astatine slightest 2 made treys successful the 3 games earlier contempt lone playing 20 MPG during that stretch. If that gets person to 30 minutes connected Monday, helium could beryllium successful for a large night. -- Snellings

Best bet: Kings -2.5. The Kings conscionable got their archetypal triumph connected Saturday, but they signifier up arsenic a overmuch much competitory squad than their grounds indicates. The cardinal is rookie Keegan Murray, who missed their archetypal crippled of the play and came disconnected the seat for the adjacent two. With Murray successful the lineup, the Kings' discourtesy clicks with a positive violative menace successful each 5 starting slots. In the past week, their losses were competitory matchups astatine Golden State and against the Grizzlies, and they defeated the Heat convincingly connected Saturday. With the Hornets ailing owed to injury, the Kings should beryllium coagulated favorites connected Monday. -- Snellings

Philadelphia 76ers astatine Washington Wizards
7:10 p.m. ET, Capital One Arena, Washington, Washington D.C.

Line: 76ers (-4.5)
Money line: 76ers (-190), Wizards (+158)
Total: 216.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 224.1 points
BPI Win%: 76ers (67.2%)

Questionable: Joel Embiid (illness)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Atlanta Hawks astatine Toronto Raptors
7:40 p.m. ET, Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Line: Raptors (-4)
Money line: Raptors (-180), Hawks (+152)
Total: 224 points
BPI Projected Total: 225.4 points
BPI Win%: Raptors (52.9%)

Questionable: Fred VanVleet (back)
Ruled Out: Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Best bet: Hawks +4. I've been a large advocator for the Raptors arsenic an underrated squad for much than a twelvemonth now, and I'm gladsome to spot them getting respect, but they shouldn't beryllium giving 4 points against a squad similar the Hawks. The Hawks person a amended wide grounds (4-2) than the Raptors (3-3), and the Hawks besides fertile 4th wide successful our Basketball Power Index (BPI), importantly supra the Raptors. The BPI crippled predictor projects that the Raptors mightiness triumph this matchup conscionable implicit fractional the clip (52.9%), but the predicted dispersed is little than a point...essentially a prime 'em. For Monday, I'll prime the Hawks with the points. -- Snellings

Indiana Pacers astatine Brooklyn Nets
7:40 p.m. ET, Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York

Line: Nets (-8.5)
Money line: Nets (-400), Pacers (+310)
Total: 236 points
BPI Projected Total: 242.4 points
BPI Win%: Nets (69.7%)

Questionable: Seth Curry (ankle), T.J. McConnell (knee), Aaron Nesmith (foot)
Ruled Out: Daniel Theis (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Fantasy streamer: Bennedict Mathurin (available successful 36.5% of leagues) should beryllium universally rostered arsenic a imaginable full-time phantasy starter, not a streamer. Hopefully this is the past clip I enactment his sanction successful this space. Mathurin, similar the remainder of the players astatine the apical of this rookie class, has stepped into the play similar a 10-year vet. Mathurin has scored successful double-digits successful each game, with 3 games of 26 oregon much points successful his archetypal 7 NBA games. This includes a career-high 32 points connected Saturday, the past clip helium faced the Nets squad helium plays against tonight. -- Snellings

Best bet: Royce O'Neal (available successful 83.0% of leagues) continues to beryllium a productive 3-and-D FBA producer, peculiarly successful class leagues. O'Neal is averaging 2.3 3PG, 1.5 SPG and 1.0 BPG successful summation to conscionable nether 10 PPG, 4 RPG and 3 APG. In a crippled similar Monday's, that projects to perchance tons of possessions and points, helium could enactment a coagulated fantasy-production crippled connected the board. -- Snellings

Detroit Pistons astatine Milwaukee Bucks
8:10 p.m. ET, Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Line: Bucks (-13)
Money line: Bucks (-900), Pistons (+600)
Total: 224 points
BPI Projected Total: 231.7 points
BPI Win%: Bucks (86.8%)

Ruled Out: Jalen Duren (ankle)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Memphis Grizzlies astatine Utah Jazz
9:10 p.m. ET, Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, Utah

Line: Grizzlies (-3.5)
Money line: Grizzlies (-165), Jazz (+140)
Total: 231.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 236.8 points
BPI Win%: Jazz (59.8%)

Questionable: Desmond Bane, Ja Morant (illness)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Fantasy streamer: Jarred Vanderbilt (available successful 67.3% of leagues) is simply a nightly double-double menace that besides contributes astir 2 steals per game, and has been amazingly progressive astatine mounting up his teammates of late. In his past outing, against this aforesaid Grizzlies squad, Vanderbilt deed the triple-7s jackpot with 7 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists positive 2 steals and a 3-pointer successful lone 23 minutes of action. --Snellings

Houston Rockets at L.A. Clippers
10:40 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California

Line: Clippers (-9.5)
Money line: Clippers (-455), Rockets (+345)
Total: 223.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 235.2 points
BPI Win%: Clippers (71.3%)

Questionable: Robert Covington, John Wall
Ruled Out: Kawhi Leonard (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play