Fantasy basketball tips and NBA betting picks for Sunday

1 year ago 45

11:00 AM ET

  • ESPN Fantasy and Betting Insiders

ESPN's phantasy hoops and hoops betting tips cheat expanse is your pregame destination for hoops betting predictions and our champion intel and information to assistance you marque astute phantasy and wagering decisions. NBA crippled likelihood for October 30 are provided by Caesars Sportsbook, and phantasy proposal is based connected ESPN 10-team leagues.


What you request to cognize for Sunday's games

Caris the Creator: The Cavaliers haven't had All-Star constituent defender Darius Garland disposable since the opener owed to an oculus injury. With Garland expected to miss today's matchup against the Knicks, it's not hard to place the cardinal statistical beneficiary of his absence, arsenic Caris LeVert (49% available) conscionable delivered a 41-point opus against the Celtics connected Friday. Even earlier breaking retired successful Boston, LeVert has been awesome arsenic a distributor successful averaging 6.4 dimes for Cleveland. Beyond his DFS and redraft worth today, it's notable that LeVert's assistance prop sits astatine 5.5 connected DraftKings, a clip he's surpassed successful in 4 of 5 games this season.

Trey Day: The Pelicans are apt to beryllium without Brandon Ingram for this afternoon's tilt with the Clippers arsenic helium recovers successful concussion protocol. With Ingram's engaged violative illustration disconnected the floor, second-year helping Trey Murphy III (76% disposable successful ESPN leagues) is owed for a bigger violative role. The sharpshooting helping has made a blistering 61.5% of his 3-point attempts this season, portion besides productive connected the solid (6.2 RPG) and playing passing lanes (1.2 SPG). For the Clippers, Kawhi Leonard has again been ruled retired owed to a lingering genu issue, portion Robert Covington is sidelined successful wellness and information protocols. Norman Powell (78% available) makes for a beardown streaming campaigner fixed helium yet broke retired of his shooting slump his past outing.

Sunday Streamers: With Devin Vassell expected to miss different crippled owed to a genu ailment and Josh Primo having conscionable been released, the Spurs already person immoderate extent issues astatine the wing. If Josh Richardson (95% available) tin play done a insignificant backmost issue, he's successful a bully spot arsenic a phantasy contributor against a Timberwolves tea, helium conscionable tallied a double-double against past week. Rookie Jeremy Sochan (98%) is different San Antonio helping to watch. Looking to the halfway position, Phoenix is expected to beryllium without Deandre Ayton for astatine slightest a week owed to an ankle injury. Enter Bismack Biyombo (99%), who conscionable posted a double-double successful conscionable 23 minutes successful alleviation of Ayton connected Friday.

Block Party: The Orlando Magic person seen their backcourt decimated by injuries aboriginal this season, leaving them to thin into larger lineup looks. This includes large antheral Bol Bol (87% available) starting successful a drubbing of the Hornets connected Friday night. The talented rim protector has produced aggregate blocks successful 4 of six appearances this play and is simply a existent menace to present his archetypal vocation double-double successful today's matchup with an undersized Dallas rotation.

Touting Tatum: You're not speechmaking this and unaware of however bully Jayson Tatum is. He's special, but you cognize that. This is much astir the spot. Washington has allowed a subordinate to people astatine slightest 25 points successful each crippled this play (each of those players shooting implicit 55% from the tract oregon attempting nine-plus escaped throws successful that game). The Wizards are a top-option people successful the prop marketplace and successful the futures market, however astir a look astatine MVP for Tatum earlier you suffer worth (+900)? The numbers look large aboriginal and we cognize the wins volition beryllium there, truthful jumping successful earlier helium truly has a accidental to spell disconnected (November 7-13, a week of games lone against bottom-10 defenses) mightiness beryllium a savvy play.

Pile On Pop?: You tin ne'er forecast overtime, truthful it's noteworthy that, successful their 5 games ending successful regulation, the Timberwolves person seen 4 of 5 games spell nether the total. In San Antonio unders this season, the Spurs person out-scored opponents by a full of 18 points contempt owning a cumulative dispersed of +22 successful those games. This is the 3rd clip this week that these 2 teams are facing off: slice Gregg Popovich successful a crippled of adjustments astatine your ain risk.

Turning Negatives Into Positives: Let's not bushed astir the bush: RJ Barrett's leap changeable is presently broken. He has made conscionable 4 of 28 attempts and adjacent 1 of those makes comes with an asterisks arsenic it was successful the waning moments of a decisive triumph implicit the Magic connected Monday. Gross. Having said that, his vocation 3P% is northbound of 35% and trusting that illustration implicit a acold week-and-a-half makes sense. On the agleam side, helium is converting 64.5% of shots erstwhile astatine the rim this play (up from 59.6% past season). Cleveland has allowed the absorption sprout implicit 39% from 3-point onshore successful the bulk of their games frankincense far, truthful if you're looking to bargain the insignificant dip connected Barrett successful DFS contests oregon the prop markets, this mightiness beryllium a bully spot to bash so. \

Money On The Mavs: Backing a squad connected a back-to-back is simply a scary suggestion, but erstwhile favored connected 0 days remainder past season, the Mavs were 5-2 ATS (they were conscionable 1-4 ATS erstwhile not favored and connected nary rest). Dallas was location past nighttime and doesn't spell connected the roadworthy again until a week from Wednesday, truthful question fatigue isn't a viable excuse and fixed that we are truthful aboriginal successful the season, the carnal fatigue isn't determination yet.

-- Jim McCormick and Kyle Soppe

Breaking down the slate

New Orleans Pelicans astatine L.A. Clippers
3:10 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California

Line: (-2.5)
Money line: Clippers (-145), Pelicans (+122)
Total: 224.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 227.6 points
BPI Win%: Clippers (52.0%)

Questionable: Kawhi Leonard, Herbert Jones (knee), Zion Williamson (hip)
Ruled out: Robert Covington (health and information protocols), Kira Lewis Jr. (knee), Brandon Ingram (concussion),
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

New York Knicks astatine Cleveland Cavaliers
6:10 p.m. ET, Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse, Cleveland

Line: Cavaliers (-4.5)
Money line: Cavaliers (-190), Knicks (+158)
Total: 222.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 223.6 points
BPI Win%: Cavaliers (68.7%)

Ruled out: Quentin Grimes (foot), Darius Garland (eye)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Golden State Warriors astatine Detroit Pistons
6:10 p.m. ET, Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, Michigan

Line: Warriors (-8)
Money line: Warriors (-345), Pistons (+270)
Total: 230 points
BPI Projected Total: 231.5 points
BPI Win%: Warriors (67.7%)

Questionable: Jordan Poole (ankle)
Ruled out: Andre Iguodala (hip), Alec Burks (foot)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Washington Wizards astatine Boston Celtics
6:10 p.m. ET, TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

Line: Celtics (-8.5)
Money line: Celtics (-365), Wizards (+285)
Total: 225 points
BPI Projected Total: 231.5 points
BPI Win%: Celtics (76.1%)

Questionable: Malcolm Brogdon (back)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Minnesota Timberwolves astatine San Antonio Spurs
7:10 p.m. ET, AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

Line: Timberwolves (-5.5)
Money line: Timberwolves (-225), Spurs (+185)
Total: 235.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 239.9 points
BPI Win%: Timberwolves (65.7%)

Questionable: Jordan McLaughlin (heel), Kyle Anderson (back), Josh Richardson (back)
Ruled out: Devin Vassell (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Orlando Magic astatine Dallas Mavericks
7:40 p.m. ET, American Airlines Center, Dallas

Line: Mavericks (-9.5)
Money line: Mavericks (-480), Magic (+360)
Total: 217 points
BPI Projected Total: 226.4 points
BPI Win%: Mavericks (87.2%)

Ruled out: Moritz Wagner (foot), Jalen Suggs (ankle), Cole Anthony (oblique), Markelle Fultz (toe), Davis Bertans (knee)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Houston Rockets astatine Phoenix Suns
9:10 p.m. ET, Footprint Center, Phoenix

Line: Suns (-12)
Money line: Suns (-800), Rockets (+550)
Total: 228.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 238.3 points
BPI Win%: Suns (86.3%)

Questionable: Jabari Smith Jr. (ankle)
Ruled out: Deandre Ayton (ankle)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play

Denver Nuggets astatine Los Angeles Lakers
9:40 p.m. ET, Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles

Line: Nuggets (-3.5)
Money line: Nuggets (-170), Lakers (+143)
Total: 220.5 points
BPI Projected Total: 227.8 points
BPI Win%: Nuggets (66.2%)

Questionable: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (ankle), Juan Toscano-Anderson (ankle), Anthony Davis (back)
Probable: LeBron James (foot)
Note: BPI numbers factored successful players who are ruled retired but assumes questionable players volition play


Analytics Edge

BPI's highest projected totals

1. Phoenix Suns (125.4 points)
2. Minnesota Timberwolves (122.1 points)
3. Dallas Mavericks (119.4 points)

BPI's lowest projected totals

1. Orlando Magic (107.0 points)
2. Washington Wizards (107.3 points)
3. New York Knicks (109.2 points)

BPI apical probability to triumph (straight up)

1. Dallas Mavericks (87.2%)
2. Phoenix Suns (86.3%)
3. Boston Celtics (76.1%)

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