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AJ MassESPN Staff Writer
- Fantasy football, shot and assemblage hoops contributor.
- Author of book, "Yes, It's Hot successful Here."
So overmuch changes from week to week astir the NFL, and we're present to marque definite you're connected apical of it each heading into Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season.
The play phantasy shot cheat expanse provides a rundown of the champion tips from each the fantasy shot content that ESPN has posted implicit the past 7 days. You'll find answers to the biggest start/sit questions of the week and different pertinent matchup proposal from our team, including Field Yates, Mike Clay, Eric Karabell, Tristan H. Cockcroft, Matt Bowen, Seth Walder, Al Zeidenfeld, Eric Moody, Liz Loza, Daniel Dopp and ESPN Insiders Jeremy Fowler and Dan Graziano, positive each of NFL Nation. It's each the champion proposal successful 1 useful article.
Here's what our experts are saying astir Week 12 successful the NFL:
Leftovers astatine moving back
The Thursday tripleheader of Thanksgiving shot enactment took a batch of moving backmost options disconnected the committee for phantasy managers headed into the Week 12 weekend. So, if you had decisions to marque connected whether to rotation with the likes of Ezekiel Elliott, Tony Pollard, Rhamondre Stevenson, Saquon Barkley, Jamaal Williams, D'Andre Swift and Dalvin Cook, we're hoping you made the close calls. For those inactive with RB spots to capable successful their lineups, present are a fewer thoughts connected immoderate of the much confusing backfield situations our phantasy experts were discussing anterior to turkey time.
The Los Angeles Rams waived starting backmost Darrell Henderson Jr. connected Tuesday. The determination was astonishing fixed that Henderson has started 28 games implicit the past 3 seasons, including 7 this season. That means the Rams are down to conscionable 2 moving backs connected the progressive roster successful Kyren Williams and Cam Akers, the second of whom was astir traded earlier this season. The backfield has been successful flux for overmuch of the season, and the Rams' rushing onslaught has been mostly anemic, averaging 76.1 yards per game, second-worst successful the NFL. Akers led the squad with 14 carries for 61 yards successful Week 11, his champion show of the play and a decided borderline implicit Williams' 7 carries. While this cracks the doorway unfastened to Akers bringing backmost a spot of value, my feeling is that fixed the violative enactment play and injuries this season, nary backmost is definite to transportation starting worth successful phantasy for this team. Both Akers and Williams are good to adhd to your bench, successful lawsuit 1 yet takes connected a ample capable relation to merit lineup consideration. -- Yates
Williams averaged 5 yards per transportation (on 7 rushing attempts) successful the Rams' Week 11 crippled versus the Saints, portion starring the L.A. backfield with 35 snaps. And Williams has logged 4 receptions successful his past 2 games. He could beryllium an emerging player for a squad that is inactive trying to found a tally crippled individuality this season. Williams and the Rams get the Chiefs successful Week 12. -- Bowen
Clyde Edwards-Helaire has a fifth-year enactment for 2023, truthful the Kansas City Chiefs person a determination to make. He had been phased retired of the discourtesy adjacent earlier a precocious ankle sprain sent him to IR, portion rookie Isiah Pacheco had a career-high 107 yards connected 15 attempts against the Chargers, becoming the archetypal Chiefs moving backmost to eclipse 100 rushing yards this season. Beginning successful Week 12, Kansas City's docket is very favorable for moving backs, and Pacheco could go the front-runner to pb the Chiefs' committee successful 2023 if helium performs well. -- Moody
My past fewer sleepers produced modestly truthful here's a surer bet. Latavius Murray has averaged 14.8 touches per crippled since joining Denver successful aboriginal October, including 72 yards and a touchdown connected 21 touches past week vs. the Raiders. Melvin Gordon III's beingness clouded the tailback representation successful Denver, but his merchandise -- coupled with Chase Edmonds' precocious ankle sprain clears the way for Murray to propulsion it backmost to 2015, erstwhile helium past made a Pro Bowl. -- Fowler
Looking for the latest wounded quality starring up to kickoff? Check retired each of the Week 12 inactives here.
Clarity coming to Tampa Bay?
While injuries, releases and timeshares person made immoderate backfield situations a spot much cloudy implicit the past fewer weeks, erstwhile it comes to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, it does look similar we're moving distant from a tag squad effort and much toward a one-man show. Let's spot however our experts consciousness astir a imaginable caller RB1 emerging.
Leonard Fournette took a deed successful my Week 12 ranks owed to the accumulation we saw from Rachaad White the past clip the Buccaneers were connected the tract (Week 10). White got that commencement successful that game, Fournette near with an wounded and the rookie moving backmost logged 105 yards rushing -- connected 22 carries. The portion was truly good, too. White played with immoderate juice. With the anticipation that some backs origin into Tampa's Week 12 crippled program versus Cleveland, Fournette slips down to the lower-tier RB2/flex scope here. -- Bowen
Start White. The Browns are susceptible against the tally (only Houston allows much phantasy points per crippled to moving backs), and White's relation is 1 that's lone continuing to turn successful the Bucs' offense. Even if Fournette comes retired of the bye healthy, I expect White to proceed to get much and much enactment arsenic the Bucs look to spark their offense. -- Graziano
White could play different 65% of the violative snaps careless of Fournette's (hip) status, aft a breakthrough Week 10, but adjacent successful a divided arrangement, White stands out against a Browns defence that has seen 4 antithetic moving backs people astatine slightest 14.5 PPR phantasy points successful conscionable the past 2 weeks. -- Cockcroft
Quick hits, starts and sits
Consider it an outlier due to the fact that of Lamar Jackson's history. Since 2019, Jackson has completed 449 passes to wide receivers, which ranks 22nd successful the NFL. Jackson has ever preferred throwing to choky ends. This is wherefore Mark Andrews is the only harmless phantasy play successful the passing game. But Demarcus Robinson mightiness person a accidental to nutrient consistently if helium continues to get open. Last Sunday, Robinson was unfastened (3-plus yards of separation) connected 5 of his 9 targets, according to NFL Next Gen Stats. The Ravens volition besides look to get wide receiver Devin Duvernay much touches, which could interaction Robinson's productivity. -- Jamison Hensley
Treylon Burks' occurrence should beryllium a motion of things to come successful the future, but his people stock could beryllium inconsistent. The Titans person tried each play to strategy up ways to get him the football. Unfortunately, opportunities aren't ever abundant due to the fact that of the Titans' absorption connected the tally game. Still, expect Burks to marque large plays via the play-action passing game. The 51-yard reception that Burks made to seal the Packers crippled is an fantabulous illustration of however helium and backmost Ryan Tannehill tin instrumentality vantage of one-on-one opportunities erstwhile teams absorption connected stopping Derrick Henry. -- Turron Davenport
The Colts person allowed the fewest phantasy points to wide receivers, arsenic good arsenic the fifth-fewest to the perimeter and fourth-fewest to the slot. Top country Stephon Gilmore has often been called connected to shadiness connected the boundary, including a combined 110 of 118 perimeter routes (93%) tally by Brandin Cooks, Travis Kelce, Courtland Sutton, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Terry McLaurin and A.J. Brown successful those six games. That suggests it's imaginable helium travels with Diontae Johnson this week, but it's nary definite happening considering however impactful George Pickens has been successful caller weeks. In fact, Gilmore did not shadiness Davante Adams successful Week 10. Regardless, this is simply a pugnacious matchup wide for Johnson and Pickens and we should little expectations. -- Clay
Downgrade Deebo Samuel. Screens, it turns out, execute the worst against antheral sum with 2 precocious safeties. At first, this amazed me, but I deliberation what mightiness beryllium happening present -- I can't beryllium definite -- is that wide receiver screens against 2-man suffer, fixed the deficiency of cushion and a information successful bully position. And if that's right, that's not perfect quality for Samuel, due to the fact that nary wide receiver runs much screens than him and nary defence runs much Cover 2 antheral than the Saints. Of course, adjacent moving the astir 2-man doesn't mean they tally it a ton -- conscionable 19% of the time. Still, each vantage -- or disadvantage -- matters, truthful this could beryllium a flimsy deterrent connected Samuel's Sunday. -- Walder
Geno Smith's show this twelvemonth is night-and-day improved upon either of his 2 seasons arsenic a Jets starter (2013-14), his 2017 arsenic a Giants backup oregon his 3 fill-in starts for the 2021 Seahawks. Smith has completed astatine slightest 64% of his walk attempts successful each 10 games this season, the lone subordinate successful the NFL who tin assertion that (no different backmost has much than 7 full specified games successful 2022). That level of accuracy volition suit him good against the Raiders, whose defence has allowed a league-high 71.5% completion complaint and afforded quarterbacks a league-most 0.49 phantasy points per passing attempt. -- Cockcroft
In the lack of Cooper Kupp, Tyler Higbee ($4,200 DraftKings, $5,700 FanDuel) has a guaranteed level of targets overmuch similar helium had aboriginal successful the play erstwhile Van Jefferson was out. As the archetypal oregon 2nd enactment connected galore of the Rams' dropbacks, Higbee brings a coagulated floor, particularly considering that Los Angeles should beryllium playing from down arsenic a 14.5-point underdog against the Chiefs. -- Zeidenfeld