Five uncalled races to watch in the battle for the House - The Hill

This month’s astonishing midterm elections person everyone connected edge, with voters crossed the state waiting to spot who volition power the House successful the adjacent Congress. 

A week aft Election Day, the equilibrium of powerfulness successful the House remains unknown, with 212 seats successful the GOP column, 204 successful the Democratic file and 218 needed for a majority. 

Republicans — contempt a worse-than-expected midterm — are inactive apt to triumph the majority, but Democrats are clinging to slim hopes with astir 20 races uncalled. 

Here are 5 of the astir intriguing races to watch. 

California’s 13th District

The contention betwixt the 2 candidates warring for California’s 13th District are separated by conscionable 84 ballots arsenic of Monday evening with 61 percent of the ballot in.

Republican businessman John Duarte is up by one-tenth of a percent constituent implicit Democratic authorities Assemblyman Adam Gray. 

The 2 candidates are facing disconnected for an unfastened House spot successful the Golden State’s Central Valley, which became disposable aft Rep. Josh Harder (D) moved to tally successful a much left-leaning district. The Cook Political Report rated the spot a “toss-up,” though the country became much favorable to Democrats aft redistricting.

But with ballots outstanding successful some Democratic- and Republican-rich counties, it’s unclear who volition win. 

Merced and Stanislaus counties, some of which person breached for Gray, person much ballots to count, successful summation to Madera and Fresno counties, which person voted for Duarte frankincense far.

Gray had an vantage implicit Duarte close retired the gross with elector registration — the territory is 42.8 percent Democratic and 28.4 percent Republican, according to CalMatters. The territory went for President Biden implicit erstwhile President Trump successful 2020, 54.3 percent to 43.4 percent.

But the GOP has made inroads successful the contention contempt the aboriginal Democratic advantages. According to the Los Angeles Times, that could beryllium a recognition to Latino voters trending toward Republicans and debased elector turnout from Democrats.

Arizona’s 6th District

Another choky contention is taking spot successful Arizona’s 6th District, wherever Republican Juan Ciscomani and Democrat Kirsten Engel are jockeying for the unfastened seat. 

Ciscomani, who was an adjutant to Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey (R), led Engel, a erstwhile authorities legislator and representative, by a specified 0.66 percent points with 89 percent of the ballot successful arsenic of Monday evening. That translates to a 2,074-ballot edge.

The contention successful the Tucson-area territory has been tightening, with Engel narrowing the spread betwixt the 2 candidates. But determination are inactive a fig of outstanding votes successful counties that person breached overwhelmingly for some candidates. 

If Republicans win, they volition person flipped the seat. It was formerly held by Rep. Anna Kirkpatrick (D), who opted against moving for reelection this cycle. It became the 6th District aft redistricting and is much favorable to Republicans than before.

The Cook Political Report rated the spot “lean Republican.”

Arizona’s 1st District

Incumbent Rep. David Schweikert (R) is warring for his governmental beingness against Democrat Jevin Hodge, 28, who leads the Grand Canyon State’s oldest Head Start program.

With 93 percent of the ballot in, Schweikert was narrowly starring Hodge by 0.26 points, oregon 894 ballots, arsenic of Monday evening. Hodge opened up with an borderline implicit Schweikert connected Election Day, but the incumbent took the pb connected Sunday night.

The Phoenix-area territory includes Maricopa County, the astir populous region Arizona. Officials person said they are hoping to person astir votes counted by Tuesday.

Mail-in ballots formed successful Maricopa County spell done a strict process earlier they are sent for tabulation. Roughly 80 percent of voters requested mail-in ballots successful Maricopa County, according to The Washington Post.

The territory became much favorable to Democrats aft redistricting, and The Cook Political Report rated the spot a “toss-up.” 

If Schweikert wins, helium volition unafraid his seventh word successful the House.

Oregon’s 6th District

The 2 candidates battling successful this territory are separated by conscionable 4,400 ballots with 85 percent of votes counted.

Democrat Andrea Salinas has secured 49.8 percent of the vote, somewhat much than Republican Mike Erickson, who stands astatine 47.9 percent. Constitution Party campaigner Larry McFarland has 2.3 percent.

There are, however, plentifulness of ballots outstanding that could impact the results of the race. 

Washington and Clackamas counties — some of which person breached for Salinas frankincense acold — person outstanding ballots, successful summation to Marion and Polk counties, which are favoring Erickson.

Counting successful Oregon could instrumentality longer aft the authorities changed its rules to let ballots postmarked connected Election Day to beryllium included successful tallies. Before, the authorities lone accepted ballots that arrived astatine predetermination offices by Election Day. Election officials volition judge ballots with valid postmarks until Tuesday. 

This is simply a caller legislature territory that was drawn aft Oregon gained a House spot due to the fact that of its colonisation growth. 

Colorado’s 3rd District

This has been 1 of the astir intimately watched contests since Election Day, erstwhile Democrat Adam Frisch, a section businessman, opened up a commanding pb against firebrand Rep. Lauren Boebert (R).

Boebert, a first-term congresswoman and staunch protagonist of Trump, chipped distant astatine Frisch’s borderline soon aft Election Day and yet took the pb connected Thursday.

The incumbent is presently up of her Democratic challenger by 1,122 ballots with much than 95 percent of the ballot in. The race, however, volition apt acquisition an automatic recount. A recount is triggered successful Colorado if the last borderline successful the contention is little than oregon adjacent to fractional a percent point. Boebert presently leads by 0.34 points.

A triumph for Frisch would beryllium a important flip for Democrats and a symbolic determination for the caucus, picking disconnected 1 of the astir recognizable Republicans successful the House GOP conference.

Boebert, however, is apt to fastener up her reelection. On Thursday, aft the incumbent’s pb reached 1,136 votes, the Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman wrote connected Twitter that it would beryllium “much tougher to spot her losing” aft much ballots from a Democratic stronghold were counted.ISIan Swanson