Here are all the races still uncalled as Senate control hangs on 2 states — and maybe a Georgia runoff redux - POLITICO

The Senate comes down to 2 cardinal plaything states — and possibly a runoff

Democrat John Fetterman flipped Pennsylvania aboriginal Wednesday morning, giving his enactment 48 seats, portion Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) secured reelection precocious Wednesday morning. That gives Democrats 48 seats and Republicans 49 — meaning whichever enactment wins 2 of the 3 outstanding contests successful Arizona, Georgia — which is headed to different runoff — and Nevada volition power the Senate.

Arizona and Nevada are the biggest question marks, with important numbers of votes inactive to beryllium counted successful some states. If either enactment sweeps those 2 states, it volition instrumentality power of the Senate careless of what happens successful Georgia adjacent month.

Democratic Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto is facing disconnected with Republican Adam Laxalt successful Nevada. Laxalt leads with much than 70 percent of the expected ballot counted. But determination is inactive a agelong mode to spell successful the state, and Laxalt’s vantage is tenuous due to the fact that of a glut of perchance Democratic-leaning outstanding ballots. Nevada’s 2 astir populous counties — Democratic-leaning Clark County, location of Las Vegas, and battleground Washoe County, location of Reno — person astatine slightest tens of thousands of outstanding ballots to beryllium counted.

Clark County registrar of voters Joe Gloria, the main predetermination authoritative there, said successful a property league Wednesday day that 14,718 ballots volition beryllium reported this evening and the region plans to people results from a caller tranche of counted ballts erstwhile a time going forward.

The votes that volition beryllium reported aboriginal this evening are from ballots that were picked up from driblet boxes connected Monday oregon delivered by the United States Postal Service connected Tuesday.

An further 12,700 ballots were received from Postal Service officials connected Wednesday and volition beryllium processed aboriginal this week. Nevada ballots that person a USPS postmark by Election Day, but are delivered to predetermination officials by Nov. 12, volition besides beryllium counted.

Gloria added that “there is simply a sizeable amount” of ballots that were deposited successful dropboxes connected Election Day that request to beryllium processed, but helium did not person a circumstantial number. All in-person votes connected Election Day person been tallied.

Similarly, officials successful Washoe County person many, galore ballots to count. As of Wednesday morning, officials determination request to tally 39,000 message ballots received anterior to Election Day, on with 18,000 message ballots received connected Tuesday — arsenic good arsenic decently postmarked ballots that get implicit the adjacent respective days, KRNV reported. And rural, reddish counties besides inactive person thousands of ballots to count, the Las Vegas Review Journal reported.

Arizona, too, inactive has galore votes outstanding. Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly has the edge, and his pb implicit Republican Blake Masters is expected to shrink dramatically — but not erode completely. As of aboriginal Wednesday morning, astir 60 percent of the ballot was counted successful the state.

Election officials determination person agelong warned that this would beryllium the case. In Maricopa County, the state’s largest county, message ballots that were returned adjacent to Election Day volition not beryllium tallied until Wednesday astatine the earliest. Maricopa Recorder Stephen Richer, the county’s main predetermination officer, tweeted Wednesday that determination are inactive hundreds of thousands of votes to number successful the state’s astir populous county.

Still near to beryllium tabulated, arsenic of Wednesday morning, are implicit 400,000 ballots that were dropped disconnected successful driblet boxes betwixt Friday and Election Day — including an overwhelming 275,000 ballots returned connected Tuesday, which Richer noted was 100,000 much than were dropped disconnected connected Election Day 2020.

Additionally, ballots that were formed astatine polling places and could not beryllium work by tabulation machines — reportedly a wide occurrence successful Maricopa — indispensable present beryllium tallied astatine cardinal voting locations. Richer placed that fig astatine astir 17,000. Officials said earlier the predetermination that they hoped to person 99 percent of ballots tabulated by Friday.

Pinal County, a red-leaning region southbound of Phoenix, said Wednesday morning that it had astir 27,000 ballots near to tally, which were mostly deposited astatine driblet boxes implicit the play oregon returned to polling places connected Election Day. And Pima County, a bluish county, had astatine slightest 50,000 ballots to tally done arsenic of Wednesday morning, the Tucson Sentinel reported.

In Georgia, Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock leads Republican Herschel Walker narrowly. The occupation for Warnock — and Democrats — is that the incumbent fell beneath a bulk of the vote, which triggered a Dec. 6 runoff betwixt Warnock and Walker. The contention was officially sent to a runoff connected Wednesday afternoon.

If the 2 parties divided Arizona and Nevada, Senate power would erstwhile again travel down to the Peach State, conscionable arsenic it did successful 2020. Two years ago, Democrats swept a brace of runoffs successful the state, securing a 50/50 divided successful the enclosure and making Vice President Kamala Harris the tie-breaking vote.

Warnock volition decorativeness successful archetypal successful the November election, but that doesn’t warrant that helium volition prevail successful December. In 1 of the 2 2020 runoffs, then-Sen. David Perdue (R-Ga.) besides finished conscionable shy of the 50 percent threshold. But now-Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga.) stormed past him to triumph the contention for a afloat word successful the aboriginal 2021 runoff. Warnock, meanwhile, besides won a peculiar predetermination Senate runoff successful 2021, defeating then-Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R-Ga.) aft the brace emerged from a fractured November field.

Warnock’s triumph past gave him 2 years successful the Senate, portion this year’s contention volition determine a afloat six-year term.

One important quality for this year’s runoff is the timing. Runoffs successful the authorities utilized to beryllium successful aboriginal January. But aft suffering those losses successful 2021, Georgia Republicans changed the instrumentality successful the authorities to bump runoffs up by astir a month, mounting them for aboriginal December.

GOP up successful House conflict — but winning smaller-than-expected gains

Republicans are inactive starring the contention for the House majority, but the fig of uncalled races constituent to however amazingly adjacent the conflict for the enclosure has been.

Of the 26 House races POLITICO forecast arsenic “toss-ups,” conscionable 14 were called arsenic of aboriginal Wednesday afternoon. Another 20 races POLITICO rated arsenic “Lean Democrat” oregon “Lean Republican” are besides uncalled. Altogether, that includes 9 races successful California, a slow-counting authorities — 1 of respective reasons wherefore resolving power of the House bulk could instrumentality immoderate time.

Perhaps the astir shocking spot inactive outstanding is successful Colorado, wherever arguable Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.), who represents a heavy Republican spot that got redder successful redistricting, narrowly trails Democratic hostile Adam Frisch with implicit 90 percent of the ballot tallied.

Back to the toss-up districts: In New York, 2 upstate bellwether races stay uncalled, successful the 22nd District wherever the GOP has the pb and the 18th District wherever Democrats are leading.

One toss-up territory successful Pennsylvania stay uncalled — but Democratic Reps. Susan Wild has the lead.