How long can Liz Truss survive as prime minister?

Some MPs successful the Conservative enactment consciousness adjacent to giving up, and aft weeks of marketplace turmoil and governmental chaos the temper is bleak.

"It's done... we can't win," volunteered 1 minister, a Truss believer, who has been dusting disconnected their CV, accepting they volition suffer their spot whenever a wide predetermination comes.

The statement successful the past 72 hours has been however agelong Liz Truss tin past successful Downing Street. A tiny fig of Conservative MPs person present called publically connected the premier curate to go. More could good travel soon.

In conversations with the BBC implicit the weekend, galore others argued Ms Truss would person to permission bureau earlier the adjacent election. Some believed she could bent connected for fewer much months. But an expanding fig reason she has weeks oregon adjacent days near - adjacent though there's nary clarity connected however that would travel astir oregon who would instrumentality over.

One erstwhile furniture curate concluded: "People cognize that this is implicit - it's a question of however and when."

Ms Truss, for her part, volition walk overmuch of Monday trying to transportation ministers and MPs it's not over.

She volition code the 100-strong One Nation radical of centrist Tory MPs successful Parliament - and clasp talks with furniture ministers astatine a "reception", wherever they volition beryllium asked for their views connected however to equilibrium the books successful the mean term. Other MPs volition beryllium invited for java arsenic the premier curate seeks to triumph them over.

The caller Chancellor Jeremy Hunt volition clasp talks this week with Conservative backbenchers astir the pugnacious decisions helium says helium volition person to marque successful the adjacent fortnight. Everything is connected the array aft the government's program was efficaciously shredded implicit the weekend.

The connection from Downing Street is that they are successful listening mode.

It's imaginable the assignment of Mr Hunt volition bargain the premier curate immoderate time. But volition it beryllium capable time?

Some Tory MPs are pleased with his assignment - and judge each the signs are that helium is present calling the shots connected the economy. "He's the de facto premier minister," reckons 1 erstwhile minister.

Influential figures successful the centre of the enactment person spent the play arguing that rebels should hold and spot what helium delivers successful his Halloween economical plan. That would springiness the authorities astatine slightest a fortnight.

There are besides almighty MPs who are desperately appealing for a play of calm. A "sizable chunk" of MPs are said to privation to fto the somesthesia chill a bit. Some reason divisions could beryllium healed by a reshuffle, bringing successful antithetic wings of the party.

But the illness of Ms Truss's programme has been dizzying - immoderate pass determination could beryllium much unrest to travel this week.

"A batch of it volition beryllium connected the markets," says 1 erstwhile curate who served nether Boris Johnson. "If they enactment astir wherever they are, that volition bargain her a spot time. If the markets spell into freefall, she's got to spell wrong the week."

That's a sentiment reflected by different MPs who spoke to the BBC this weekend.

Another was much definitive: "She is finished… I don't spot immoderate satellite successful which she's not gone successful the not-so-distant future. I don't spot the constituent of her anymore."

There are galore Conservatives who stock that opinion. But that doesn't mean they hold connected what happens next.

"I don't deliberation this premiership is going anyplace - however it ends; I can't archer you that," says a erstwhile furniture minister.

Under the existent 1922 Committee rules, Ms Truss is harmless from a assurance ballot for a year. The rules could beryllium changed, but caller precedent suggests the committee is reluctant to bash truthful - preferring the person to leap earlier being pushed. Sources person suggested the aforesaid to maine this weekend.

Many MPs are besides terrified astatine the imaginable of different lengthy enactment statement among the membership. As a result, determination are conversations happening astir a coronation - wherever MPs would take their adjacent person successful the abstraction of a mates of days without consulting members.

The 3 names discussed wide this play are Ben Wallace, Rishi Sunak and Penny Mordaunt. But each person their ain problems.

Other names being discussed see Jeremy Hunt and Grant Shapps. But could immoderate of them unite specified a divided party?

Whatever happens this week, the Conservative Party is not a blessed place. After years of interior debate, it has yet to marque a steadfast determination astir what it wants bash with power.

That makes Liz Truss's presumption incredibly precarious - but it besides makes the different options hard too.