By Joshua Nevett
BBC Politics
Prime Minister Liz Truss's premiership is successful peril, with her MPs plotting ways to oust her. But determination are nary casual options nor immoderate statement connected what should hap next, successful a profoundly divided party. Here are immoderate imaginable scenarios.
This is the simplest and cleanest enactment for Tory MPs.
At present, determination is nary proposition Ms Truss volition resign of her ain accord - but her determination to sack Kwasi Kwarteng arsenic chancellor and scrap astir of her economical program has sapped her of governmental authority. And if much MPs telephone for her to basal down, she whitethorn leap earlier she is pushed.
If Ms Truss doesn't resign, her furniture could determination against her with a question of resignations, arsenic with Boris Johnson earlier this year. This seems improbable fixed cardinal members of Ms Truss's furniture - which is afloat of loyalists - person agreed down her and the actions taken by her caller Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt.
Should Ms Truss resign, she would stay successful station until her successor formally took over.
2. They alteration enactment rules
Under Conservative Party rules, Ms Truss is harmless from a assurance ballot for a twelvemonth aft entering bureau - but the rules could beryllium changed.
The likelihood depends connected however galore Tory MPs taxable letters of nary assurance successful Ms Truss's enactment to Sir Graham Brady, who chairs the 1922 Committee representing each backbench Conservative MPs.
If determination are enough, helium whitethorn consciousness compelled to archer the premier curate determination is wide request to alteration the rules and let a ballot connected her leadership.
Sir Geoffrey Clifton-Brown, who sits connected the enforcement of 1922 Committee, told BBC News specified a alteration would necessitate the enactment of a "large majority" of Conservative MPs.
But 2 much backbenchers volition beryllium elected to the enforcement connected Tuesday - and if they are among those wanting to region Ms Truss, they could besides propulsion for regularisation changes to marque it easier.
MPs could past opt for further regularisation changes to put a "coronation".
In accustomed circumstances, Tory MPs ballot to whittle down a tract of enactment candidates to two, who advancement to a run-off decided by the party's membership. But determination is nary appetite for different agelong and divisive enactment contention truthful soon aft the last.
Instead, 1 script could spot the 1922 enforcement acceptable a higher barroom of 100 nominations for Tory MPs to participate the contention to regenerate Ms Truss, encouraging the parliamentary enactment to rally astir a unity candidate.
Ben Wallace, Rishi Sunak and Penny Mordaunt are the 3 names being wide discussed. But successful a fractious party, nary is universally popular. And the deficiency of a wide successor whitethorn springiness Tory MPs intermission for thought and Ms Truss much clip to triumph them over.
3. They trigger a wide election
If the Tories can't region the premier curate connected their own, the imaginable of a wide predetermination could travel into play.
In Parliament, 1 mechanics to trigger a wide predetermination is simply a question of nary assurance successful the government. If Labour tabled specified a motion, the authorities should - by normal - let clip for a statement and ballot successful Parliament.
For the question to pass, much MPs request to ballot successful favour of toppling the authorities than against.
If the authorities loses a no-confidence ballot successful the House of Commons, the premier curate volition beryllium expected to resign oregon inquire the King to dissolve Parliament, triggering a wide election.
But fixed however acold the enactment has fallen successful the polls, it is precise improbable galore Tory MPs would ballot down their ain government.