7:00 AM ET
Mackenzie KraemerESPN Staff Writer
- Works astatine ESPN Stats & Information
The 2 biggest games of Week 6 diagnostic the Kansas City Chiefs and Dallas Cowboys successful underdog roles against the Buffalo Bills and Philadelphia Eagles. Patrick Mahomes and Cooper Rush are a combined 11-0-1 ATS successful their careers arsenic underdogs.
Mahomes is simply a location underdog for the archetypal clip successful his career. He had been favored successful his archetypal 41 location starts, including the playoffs, the longest streak to statesman a vocation successful the Super Bowl era. Mahomes is 6-2 outright and 7-0-1 ATS successful his vocation arsenic an underdog. The lone clip his squad didn't cover, his squad scored 51 points successful a 3-point nonaccomplishment (pushed vs. the Los Angeles Rams).
Meanwhile, Rush is 5-0 outright and ATS successful his career. He is the sixth backmost successful the Super Bowl epoch to triumph and screen his archetypal 5 starts, and helium is the archetypal to bash truthful contempt being an underdog successful astatine slightest 4 of his archetypal 5 starts. Overall, Dallas is simply a league-best 17-5 ATS since the commencement of past season, including 8-0 ATS successful part games. Overall, underdogs person continued to predominate this season, going 45-30-3 ATS (.600), the champion percent for either favorites oregon underdogs done 5 weeks since 2010. That includes the Atlanta Falcons going 5-0 ATS this season, each arsenic an underdog. The Falcons are the lone undefeated squad against the spread.
The Green Bay Packers look to bounce backmost aft suffering the largest upset nonaccomplishment of the play (-9) past week successful London against the New York Giants. Under Matt LaFleur, Green Bay is 10-0 outright and ATS pursuing a loss. Overall, Green Bay has won and covered 12 consecutive games pursuing a loss, the longest streak by immoderate squad since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
There are besides 2 historical full streaks connected the line. Both the Cincinnati Bengals and Indianapolis Colts person gone nether the full successful 10 consecutive games (including playoffs for Cincinnati). The longest streak by immoderate squad successful the past 35 seasons including playoffs is 11 straight.
1:07
Doug Kezirian previews wherefore the Bills vs. Chiefs crippled whitethorn not unrecorded up to past year's playoff matchup.
Season Notes
Underdogs: 45-30-3 ATS this season
Unders: 46-33-1 this season
Best teams ATS: Atlanta (5-0), Dallas (4-1), New York Giants (4-1), Los Angeles Chargers (4-1)
Worst teams ATS: Los Angeles Rams (1-4), Washington (1-4), Denver (1-4), Minnesota (1-4), Carolina (1-4)
Best implicit teams: Detroit (4-1), Cleveland (4-1)
Best nether teams: Indianapolis (0-5), Cincinnati (0-5)
Washington Commanders (PK) astatine Chicago Bears, Thursday astatine 8:15 ET
Washington is 0-4 ATS successful its past 4 games aft covering successful Week 1. Three consecutive Washington games person gone nether the total.
Thursday nighttime games with totals successful the 30s are 18-7-2 to the nether since 2000.
Road teams are 29-19 ATS connected Thursday Night Football games successful the past 4 seasons.
Washington games person already closed prime 'em doubly this season. No squad has had 3 games adjacent prime 'em successful a azygous play since 1990 Atlanta, and nary squad successful the Super Bowl epoch has had 3 of its archetypal six games adjacent prime 'em.
Unders successful prime-time games are 11-5 this season.
San Francisco 49ers (-5.5) astatine Atlanta Falcons, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS, the lone squad to screen each crippled this season. Only 2 teams successful the past decennary person started 6-0 oregon amended ATS (2021 Dallas, 2018 Kansas City). Atlanta has been an underdog successful each 5 games entering this week.
Unders are 10-2 successful San Francisco's past 12 games, including playoffs.
New England Patriots astatine Cleveland Browns (-3), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Bill Belichick is 8-2 outright and 7-3 ATS against Cleveland. This is the archetypal clip Belichick has ever been an underdog against Cleveland.
Cleveland games are 4-1 to the implicit this season, including 3-0 astatine home.
Bill Belichick is 52-28-1 ATS arsenic an underdog arsenic New England's manager (33-13-1 ATS with Tom Brady, 19-15 ATS without him).
Kevin Stefanski is 8-16 ATS arsenic a favorite, including 4-13 ATS arsenic a favourite of astatine slightest 3 points.
New York Jets astatine Green Bay Packers (-7), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Green Bay is 10-0 outright and ATS aft a nonaccomplishment nether Matt LaFleur. Green Bay has won and covered 12 consecutive games pursuing a loss, which is the longest streak successful the Super Bowl epoch of teams winning and covering pursuing a loss.
Green Bay is 17-9 ATS arsenic a location favourite nether Matt LaFleur.
Zach Wilson is 3-7 ATS arsenic an underdog of astatine slightest 3.5 points (1-4 ATS connected road).
Thirteen of New York's past 19 games person gone implicit the total.
Teams coming backmost from London without a week disconnected are 3-4 ATS. Opponents' squad totals are 6-1 to the implicit successful those games.
Jacksonville Jaguars astatine Indianapolis Colts (-1.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Indianapolis is 0-3 ATS this play arsenic a favourite and 0-5 ATS successful its past 5 games arsenic a favourite (0-4-1 SU).
Indianapolis has gone nether the full successful 10 consecutive games, 1 shy of the longest streak successful the past 35 seasons. Cincinnati has besides gone nether successful 10 consecutive games, including playoffs.
Jacksonville is 13-1-1 ATS against Indianapolis since 2015 with six consecutive covers.
Trevor Lawrence is 7-15 ATS successful his vocation (3-8 ATS connected road).
Unders successful part games are 20-8 this season.
Minnesota Vikings (-3) astatine Miami Dolphins, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Minnesota is 0-4 ATS successful its past 4 games. It has won 3 consecutive games outright without covering. The past squad to triumph 3 consecutive games portion losing ATS successful each crippled was 2020 Kansas City (five straight).
Miami has won 4 consecutive games outright arsenic a location underdog, including 1-0 this play erstwhile they bushed Buffalo arsenic four-point location underdog.
Tua Tagovailoa is 15-9-1 ATS successful his career. Teddy Bridgewater is 42-22 ATS successful his career, including 24-8 ATS arsenic an underdog.
Miami is 22-10-1 ATS successful its past 33 games arsenic an underdog.
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS successful its past six roadworthy games (0-2 ATS this season).
Cincinnati Bengals (-1.5) astatine New Orleans Saints, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Cincinnati has gone nether the full successful 10 consecutive games including playoffs, 1 shy of the longest streak successful the past 35 seasons. Indianapolis has besides gone nether successful 10 consecutive games.
New Orleans is 0-4 ATS successful its past 4 games arsenic a location underdog (excluding London game). All 4 games went under.
Baltimore Ravens (-5) astatine New York Giants, Sunday astatine 1 ET
New York would beryllium the 3rd squad since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger to beryllium astatine slightest a five-point location underdog successful Week 6 contempt a grounds of 4-1 oregon better.
New York is 4-1 ATS this season, including 3-0 ATS arsenic an underdog.
Lamar Jackson is 17-7-2 ATS connected the roadworthy successful his career.
Daniel Jones has won 4 consecutive starts successful the location underdog role. All 4 games went under. Unders are 8-0-1 successful Jones' past 9 starts arsenic a location underdog.
Teams coming backmost from London without a week disconnected are 3-4 ATS. Opponents' squad totals are 6-1 to the implicit successful those games.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8) astatine Pittsburgh Steelers, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Pittsburgh (+8) is successful its largest location underdog relation since 1989 erstwhile Pittsburgh upset Minnesota arsenic an 8.5-point location underdog.
Mike Tomlin is 14-4-2 ATS arsenic a location underdog, including playoffs (6-0-2 ATS past 5 seasons).
Tampa Bay is 0-3 ATS successful its past 3 games. Tom Brady has failed to screen 4 consecutive games lone doubly successful his vocation (nine consecutive successful 2007-09, including playoffs, 5 consecutive successful 2002).
Carolina Panthers astatine Los Angeles Rams (-11), Sunday astatine 4:05 ET
Over the past 10 seasons, teams to regenerate their manager successful September/October are 5-1 outright and ATS successful their archetypal crippled with a caller coach. Since 2015, those teams are 5-0 outright (4-1 ATS), and since 2020, they are 3-0 outright and ATS.
Carolina is 3-16 outright and ATS successful its past 19 games.
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS this play (0-3 ATS astatine home). Los Angeles is 1-6 ATS successful its past 7 games including playoffs, with unders going 6-1 (4-1 this season).
Over the past 3 seasons, Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS arsenic a double-digit favourite (1-3 ATS with Matthew Stafford).
Carolina was 0-3 ATS arsenic a double-digit underdog past season.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) astatine Seattle Seahawks, Sunday astatine 4:05 ET
Arizona is 1-6 outright and ATS successful its past 7 games arsenic a favourite with 4 consecutive losses. This is its archetypal crippled arsenic a favourite this season.
Arizona is 10-1 ATS connected the roadworthy since the commencement of past play (2-1 ATS arsenic roadworthy favorite).
Pete Carroll is 18-7 ATS arsenic a location underdog with Seattle (14-11 outright) including playoffs. He is 50-33-2 ATS wide arsenic an underdog with Seattle including playoffs
Arizona is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 outright successful the past 7 meetings successful Seattle.
Three consecutive Seattle games person gone implicit the total. Three consecutive Arizona games person gone nether the total.
Unders successful part games are 20-8 this season.
Buffalo Bills (-2.5) astatine Kansas City Chiefs, Sunday astatine 4:25 ET
Patrick Mahomes has ne'er been a location underdog. He is 6-2 outright and 7-0-1 ATS arsenic an underdog. In the lone 2 losses, his teams scored 40 and 51 points (his squad scored 51 points against the Los Angeles Rams successful his 1 ATS push). Mahomes has been favored successful his archetypal 41 vocation location games including playoffs, the longest streak to statesman a vocation successful the Super Bowl era. Mahomes is 9-2-1 ATS erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3.
Mahomes is 3-1 outright and ATS against Josh Allen including playoffs (overs are 3-1).
Games with totals of astatine slightest 48.5 are 12-5-1 to the nether this season.
Josh Allen is 20-10-2 ATS connected the road.
Unders are 4-1 successful Buffalo games this play (3-0 connected road).
Kansas City is 0-5 ATS successful its past 5 league games (0-3 this season) and 5-14 ATS successful its past 19 league games.
Dallas Cowboys astatine Philadelphia Eagles (-5.5), Sunday astatine 8:20 ET
Cooper Rush is the sixth backmost to debut successful the Super Bowl epoch to statesman his vocation 5-0 some outright and ATS. He is the archetypal to bash it contempt being an underdog successful 4 of his archetypal 5 starts. With different win, helium would necktie Patrick Mahomes, Kurt Warner and Mike Kruczek for the second-longest ATS/SU streak to statesman a vocation successful the Super Bowl era. The longest was 8 consecutive by Ben Roethlisberger.
Since the commencement of past season, Dallas is simply a league-best 17-5 ATS overall, including 14-2 ATS successful league games, 10-1 ATS connected the roadworthy and 8-0 ATS successful part games. One much screen would necktie the longest divisional screen streak by an NFC East squad (1997-98 New York).
Jalen Hurts is 4-0-1 ATS arsenic a location favourite (2-5 ATS arsenic roadworthy favorite).
Dallas has covered 3 consecutive meetings.
Unders successful part games are 20-8 this season. Unders successful prime-time games are 11-5.
Denver Broncos astatine Los Angeles Chargers (-5), Monday astatine 8:15 ET (ESPN)
Denver is 0-5 ATS successful its past 5 roadworthy games.
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS this season, portion Denver is 1-4 ATS. Unders successful Denver games are 4-1, portion 3 consecutive Los Angeles games person gone over.
Unders successful part games are 20-8 this season. Unders successful prime-time games are 11-5 this season. Over the past 4 seasons, unders are 27-18-1 successful Monday games with totals beneath 50.
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