7:00 AM ET
Mackenzie KraemerESPN Staff Writer
- Works astatine ESPN Stats & Information
Week 7 features respective teams and players looking to proceed their caller occurrence arsenic underdogs, including some New York City squads. Brian Daboll and the New York Giants are 4-0 outright arsenic underdogs this season. Daboll looks to articulation Bill Cowher arsenic the lone coaches successful the Super Bowl epoch to triumph successful each of their archetypal 5 games successful the underdog role.
The New York Jets are successful their smallest underdog relation this play successful Denver. The Jets are the 2nd squad successful the Super Bowl epoch to person a winning grounds done six games contempt being underdogs successful each game. If Brett Rypien starts and the Jets adjacent arsenic favorites, it volition beryllium the archetypal clip the Jets are roadworthy favorites since Week 4 of 2020, erstwhile Rypien made his lone different NFL start.
The Atlanta Falcons person besides been underdogs successful each crippled this season, covering each time. They look to lucifer the 2021 Dallas Cowboys and the 2018 Kansas City Chiefs for the longest screen streaks to statesman a play successful the past decade.
Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers are underdogs for the archetypal clip each season. No backmost successful the Super Bowl epoch has a amended screen percent oregon winning percent arsenic an underdog than Garoppolo (min. 15 starts).
The biggest underdog to triumph each play came past week erstwhile the Pittsburgh Steelers (+9.5) upset Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This week, the Buccaneers are the archetypal double-digit roadworthy favourite each play against the Carolina Panthers. Tom Brady is 13-1 ATS aft losing arsenic astatine slightest a seven-point favourite successful his erstwhile game. Underdogs proceed to currency this play astatine a 58.4 percent rate. It is the eighth consecutive play underdogs person been implicit .500 done Week 6. Unders are adjacent much profitable, cashing 60.2 percent of the time, which is the highest implicit oregon nether percent done Week 6 since 1991.
Season Notes
Best teams ATS: Atlanta (6-0), New York Giants (5-1), Buffalo (4-1-1)
Worst squad ATS: Carolina (1-5); 10 teams are 2-4 ATS
Best implicit teams: Cleveland (5-1), Detroit (4-1)
Best nether teams: Seven tied astatine 5-1 (Buffalo, Indianapolis, Tampa Bay, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco, Denver, Cincinnati)
Underdogs: 52-37-3 ATS (.584)
Road teams: 48-43-3 ATS (.527)
Unders: 56-37-1 (.602)
New Orleans Saints astatine Arizona Cardinals (-1.5), Thursday astatine 8:15 ET
Arizona is 4-11 ATS arsenic a location favourite nether Kliff Kingsbury (0-5 ATS past 5 instances).
Arizona has mislaid 8 consecutive location games outright (1-7 ATS).
Four consecutive Arizona games person gone nether the total. Three consecutive New Orleans games person gone implicit the total.
New Orleans is 0-3 ATS this play erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3.
New Orleans is 0-2 ATS connected the roadworthy this play aft going 35-14 ATS from 2016-21.
Thursday nighttime unders are 5-1 this play and 30-19 since 2019. Road teams are 30-19 ATS connected Thursday nighttime games since 2019.
Prime-time unders are 13-6 this play and are hitting astatine a 58.4 percent complaint implicit the past 4 seasons.
Green Bay Packers (-5.5) astatine Washington Commanders, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Green Bay is 10-1 outright and ATS aft a nonaccomplishment nether Matt LaFleur. However, the lone nonaccomplishment came past week against the New York Jets.
Green Bay is 0-3 ATS successful its past 3 games. The longest ATS losing streak of Aaron Rodgers' vocation is 4 games.
Washington is 1-4 ATS successful its past 5 games. Four consecutive Washington games person gone nether the total.
Washington went 6-2 ATS successful Taylor Heinicke's past 8 starts past play aft helium started 1-6 ATS past season.
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
0:55
Tyler Fulghum explains wherefore he's not expecting a batch of points from an Aaron Rodgers vs. Carson Wentz matchup.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11) astatine Carolina Panthers, Sunday astatine 1 ET
Tom Brady is 13-1 ATS (12-2 SU) successful his vocation aft losing the erstwhile crippled arsenic astatine slightest a seven-point favorite.
Tampa Bay is the archetypal double-digit roadworthy favourite this season. Teams favored by astatine slightest 7 points connected the roadworthy are 0-2-1 outright this season. The erstwhile largest dispersed successful a roadworthy crippled this play was past week erstwhile Tampa Bay mislaid arsenic a 9.5-point favourite successful Pittsburgh, which is the largest upset truthful acold this season.
Last season, six double-digit location underdogs won outright, tied for the astir successful immoderate play successful the Super Bowl era. Double-digit location underdogs were 10-5 ATS and 6-9 outright (+37.5 units).
Carolina is simply a league-worst 1-5 ATS this season. They are 3-17 outright and ATS successful their past 20 games.
Tampa Bay has covered each 4 meetings against Carolina since acquiring Tom Brady.
Tampa Bay is 0-4 ATS successful its past 4 games.
Tampa Bay games are 5-1 to the nether this season. Four of Carolina's past 5 games besides went under.
Unders successful part games are 22-10 this season.
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
Atlanta Falcons astatine Cincinnati Bengals (-6), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Atlanta is 6-0 ATS this season, the lone undefeated squad ATS successful the league this season. They are the 3rd squad successful the past decennary to commencement astatine slightest 6-0 ATS (2021 Dallas and 2018 Kansas City some started 7-0 ATS). Atlanta has been an underdog successful each crippled this season. The lone different teams to beryllium underdogs successful each crippled are the New York Jets (6) and Houston (5).
Cincinnati has covered 4 consecutive games aft starting 0-2 ATS.
Five of Cincinnati's past six games went nether the total. Three consecutive Atlanta games person gone nether the total.
Joe Burrow is 3-3 outright arsenic a favourite of astatine slightest six points (2-4 ATS).
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
New York Giants astatine Jacksonville Jaguars (-3), Sunday astatine 1 ET
New York is 4-0 outright arsenic an underdog this season. Brian Daboll is the 3rd manager successful the Super Bowl epoch to triumph outright successful each of his archetypal 4 games arsenic an underdog, joining Bill Cowher (five) and Josh McDaniels (four).
New York is 5-1 ATS this season.
Daniel Jones is 13-4 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog (5-12 outright).
Jacksonville is 2-10 outright and ATS successful its past 12 games arsenic a favourite (five consecutive losses).
Since 2020, Jacksonville is 2-8 ATS erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3.
Jacksonville is 0-7 ATS against NFC teams since the commencement of past season.
0:43
Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down the reasons he's picking the Giants to screen against the Jaguars successful Week 7.
Cleveland Browns astatine Baltimore Ravens (-6.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Baltimore has covered 5 consecutive meetings, including each 4 since Cleveland hired Kevin Stefanski. Cleveland is 2-11 ATS successful part games nether Kevin Stefanski.
Cleveland games are 5-1 to the implicit this season. Three consecutive Baltimore games person gone nether the total.
Baltimore is 0-2-1 ATS this play astatine home.
Cleveland is 0-3 ATS successful its past 3 games.
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
Unders successful part games are 22-10 this season.
Detroit Lions astatine Dallas Cowboys (-7), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Detroit is 13-7 ATS arsenic an underdog nether Dan Campbell, including 12-3 ATS arsenic an underdog of astatine slightest 4 points.
Detroit is 9-1 ATS successful its past 10 games aft a bye (1-0 ATS nether Dan Campbell).
Dallas is 11-3 ATS arsenic a favourite since the commencement of past season.
Dallas is 5-1 ATS aft a nonaccomplishment since the commencement of past season.
Detroit is 0-10-1 outright connected the roadworthy nether Dan Campbell (6-5 ATS).
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
Indianapolis Colts astatine Tennessee Titans (-2.5), Sunday astatine 1 ET
Tennessee is 4-0 ATS aft a bye nether Mike Vrabel, winning each 4 games by astatine slightest 14 points (20.5 PPG). Tennessee is 6-0-1 ATS aft a bye since 2015.
Indianapolis games person gone nether the full successful 10 of their past 11 games. Their past six roadworthy games person gone under.
Tennessee has covered 3 consecutive games.
Tennessee has covered 4 consecutive meetings against Indianapolis, including their Week 4 matchup. Over the past 10 seasons, erstwhile teams conscionable doubly successful a five-week span, the squad to screen the archetypal gathering is 32-53-2 ATS successful the rematch.
Indianapolis is 7-1 ATS successful its past 8 games arsenic an underdog (2-0 outright and ATS this season).
Unders successful part games are 22-10 this season.
New York Jets astatine Denver Broncos (-1), Sunday astatine 4:05 ET
New York has been an underdog successful each of its archetypal six games this season. They are the 2nd squad since the merger to beryllium underdogs successful each of their archetypal six games and inactive person a winning grounds (2001 Cleveland).
New York is 3-0 outright and ATS connected the roadworthy this season.
New York has covered 3 consecutive games and 4 of its past five.
Denver games are 5-1 to the nether this season.
New York is 4-1 ATS nether Robert Saleh erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3 (four consecutive covers).
Denver is 0-3 ATS arsenic a favourite this play (1-2 SU).
If Brett Rypien starts, it would beryllium his 2nd vocation start. He bushed the Jets arsenic a one-point location underdog successful Week 4 of 2020. That crippled is besides the past clip the Jets closed arsenic roadworthy favorites.
Houston Texans astatine Las Vegas Raiders (-7), Sunday astatine 4:05 ET
Las Vegas has not been astatine slightest a seven-point favourite since Week 13 of 2020. This is their largest location favourite relation since Week 15 of 2019 erstwhile the then-Oakland Raiders mislaid to the Jaguars arsenic seven-point favorites. Derek Carr is 1-4 ATS successful his vocation arsenic astatine slightest a seven-point favorite.
Las Vegas is 0-5 ATS successful its past 5 games disconnected a bye.
Since 2019, Las Vegas is 5-14 ATS arsenic a favorite. Derek Carr is 16-25-1 ATS arsenic a favourite successful his career.
Three consecutive Las Vegas games person gone implicit the total.
Davis Mills is 3-0-1 ATS arsenic a roadworthy underdog of 10 points oregon less.
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
Seattle Seahawks astatine Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5), Sunday astatine 4:25 ET
Pete Carroll is 51-33-2 ATS arsenic an underdog with Seattle including playoffs.
Geno Smith is 11-3 ATS successful his past 14 starts (6-3 ATS with Seattle).
Over the past 5 seasons, Los Angeles is 10-20-1 ATS arsenic a location favorite.
Three of Los Angeles' archetypal six games person landed wrong a constituent of the closing line, astir successful the league.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) astatine San Francisco 49ers, Sunday astatine 4:25 ET
Jimmy Garoppolo is 16-4 ATS successful his vocation arsenic an underdog including the playoffs (14-6 outright). Both are the champion marks of immoderate backmost successful the Super Bowl epoch with astatine slightest 15 starts arsenic an underdog.
San Francisco has covered six consecutive games pursuing a loss.
Under Andy Reid, Kansas City is 25-11-1 ATS erstwhile the enactment is betwixt +3 and -3 (9-3-1 ATS with Patrick Mahomes).
Kansas City is 1-5 ATS successful its past six games arsenic a favourite (0-3 ATS successful past three).
San Francisco games are 5-1 to the nether this season.
Kansas City has covered the past six meetings.
Pittsburgh Steelers astatine Miami Dolphins (-7), Sunday astatine 8:20 ET
Miami is 0-3 outright and ATS successful its past 3 games aft starting 3-0 outright and ATS. Tua Tagovailoa did not decorativeness immoderate of the erstwhile 3 games aft starting and finishing the archetypal three. Tagovailoa is 15-9-1 ATS successful his career.
Over the past six seasons, Miami is 11-3-1 ATS arsenic a location favorite.
Mike Tomlin is 45-26-3 ATS arsenic an underdog and 38-36 outright. Pittsburgh is the lone squad with a winning grounds outright successful that span. They person present been underdogs successful six of their archetypal 7 games for the archetypal clip since 1990.
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
Prime-time unders are 13-6 this play and are hitting astatine a 58.4% complaint implicit the past 4 seasons.
Chicago Bears astatine New England Patriots (-7.5), Monday astatine 8:15 ET (ESPN)
Teams favored by astatine slightest 4 points were conscionable 3-3 past week and are present 29-17-1 this play (.628). That is tracking to beryllium the worst winning percent by four-point favorites successful a play since the 1970 AFL/NFL merger.
Justin Fields is 4-10 ATS arsenic an underdog and 2-5 ATS arsenic underdog of astatine slightest 7 points.
New England is 62-32 ATS successful October nether Bill Belichick with 5 consecutive covers.
New England was 4-1 ATS arsenic astatine slightest a seven-point favourite past season.
New England is 7-2-1 ATS successful its past 10 games arsenic a favorite.
Bailey Zappe would beryllium the 3rd rookie backmost drafted successful the 4th circular oregon aboriginal to beryllium astatine slightest a seven-point favourite since 2000 (Dak Prescott, Gardner Minshew). Only Prescott was favored by much than 7 points (-7.5 vs Cleveland successful 2016; won by 25).
Prime-time unders are 13-6 this play and are hitting astatine a 58.4 percent complaint implicit the past 4 seasons.
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