Nick Eardley: Tory MPs are getting worried

1 year ago 26

Stoke-on-Trent countImage source, Getty Images

By Nick Eardley

BBC main governmental correspondent

We've got a batch of results coming successful the adjacent fewer hours.

After the declarations overnight, much are starting to determination successful and we'll person a overmuch fuller representation by the evening.

But astatine lunchtime, we tin sketch retired immoderate headlines astir what these elections mean for the governmental parties - and perchance for a wide election.

The little summary is: the Conservatives person had a truly atrocious acceptable of results - they could suffer 1,000 seats which would beryllium astatine the worse extremity of predictions.

Labour are doing good and are assured - but we can't beryllium definite that translates to a bulk astatine a wide predetermination yet.

The Lib Dems and the Greens person made a fig of important gains too.

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Now for the longer version.

The astir wide decision we tin gully already is the Conservatives are getting a thumping.

They person mislaid immoderate large councils; Medway to Labour, Windsor and Maidenhead to the Lib Dems.

They person mislaid power of respective others; Brentwood, Tamworth and others.

The Conservatives are connected people to suffer respective 100 seats - perchance implicit 1,000.

Before this election, elder Tories had talked astir losing 1,000 seats.

But that was anticipation absorption - 4 fig losses would beryllium an highly atrocious result. Tory MPs admit that privately and are worried.

This has been a bully acceptable of elections for Labour, but we don't cognize for definite yet however good.

Some Tories are arguing that the atrocious nighttime for them doesn't construe into an uptick successful enactment for Labour nether Sir Keir Starmer.

BBC investigation truthful acold suggests Labour's stock of the ballot isn't up importantly from past year, but the enactment is benefiting from the autumn successful Conservative support.

But Labour are making gains - successful portion based connected the illness of the Conservative vote.

Strategists successful Labour HQ are peculiarly pleased they are doing good successful the party's cardinal targets; similar Stoke, Teeside and Plymouth.

The enactment is claiming acold and wide that the results it's seen truthful acold enactment it connected people to triumph the adjacent wide predetermination with a majority.

That is based connected an 8 constituent canvass pb - and makes assumptions the enactment volition bash good successful Scotland, Wales and London - nary of which are voting today.

Image source, Nathan Stirk

But Labour is precise blessed with the results truthful far.

The Liberal Democrats are making gains excessively - connected apical of a beardown effect successful 2019 erstwhile these seats were past contested.

As good Windsor and Maidenhead, they are expecting further gains successful cardinal Tory heartlands - the alleged Blue Wall.

The Lib Dems often bash amended successful section than nationalist elections.

But the enactment is saying that galore Conservative MPs successful the southbound of England volition beryllium tense astir their seats.

The Greens are besides seeing immoderate results they are delighted with.

As good arsenic the header gains - immoderate rather singular stories are emerging.

In East Hertforshire - the Greens could beryllium the largest enactment soon. That's rather thing fixed than successful 2019, the Conservatives had 43 seats. They've mislaid 25 seats and the Greens person won 16 truthful far.

There are hours to spell successful the counting. A large infinitesimal volition travel this day erstwhile we get the National Projected Share - what we deliberation each of the parties would get nationally.

At that point, it volition beryllium easier to justice Labour's assertion it's connected people for a majority.

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