Nov. 4, 2022 US election coverage - CNN

A canvass idiosyncratic directs voters astatine an aboriginal voting tract successful Miami connected Monday, October 31, 2022. Lynne Sladky/AP Photo

More than 34.6 cardinal pre-election ballots person been formed successful 47 states, according to information from Elections officials, Edison Research and Catalist.

Pre-election voting has been up of the 2018 gait crossed the states wherever information is disposable for the past 3 cycles. However, it’s inactive excessively aboriginal to cognize if wide turnout volition scope 2018 levels, arsenic voting patterns whitethorn person changed successful the past fewer years. 

Today is the past time of in-person aboriginal voting successful Texas, and the authorities continues to person the largest fig of pre-election votes cast, with much than 4.6 million. 

There person been much than 3.8 cardinal votes successful Florida. In California, wherever each elector receives a ballot successful the mail, much than 3.4 cardinal pre-election ballots person been cast.  

Among immoderate of the cardinal battleground states, determination person been much than 2.2 cardinal ballots formed successful Georgia, much than 1.2 cardinal successful Michigan and Arizona, and pre-election voting successful Pennsylvania has crossed 1 million. 

In Wisconsin, 590,000 radical person voted, portion much than 460,000 votes person been formed successful the smaller battleground authorities of Nevada.  

Some elector information comes from Catalist, a institution that provides data, analytics and different services to Democrats, academics and nonprofit issue-advocacy organizations and is giving insights into who is voting earlier November.

Listen to the CNN Political Briefing podcast for investigation of the governmental scenery heading into the 2022 midterms.

The youngest voters – those aged 18-21 years – are showing up successful higher numbers successful each six cardinal states compared to this constituent during the 2018 wide election.

The fig of these youngest voters successful Michigan has risen from less than 500 successful 2018 — earlier absentee voting was disposable to each successful the authorities — to much than 21,000 truthful acold this year. In each authorities but Wisconsin, 18-21-year-old voters are astir the aforesaid oregon a larger stock of the electorate than adjacent this clip during the 2020 election.

One large contributing origin to higher aboriginal turnout among young voters, particularly successful Michigan and Pennsylvania, is that no-excuse voting by message was introduced determination successful 2020.

“It’s often the lawsuit that erstwhile you marque voting easier, young radical crook retired more,” said Charlotte Hill, the manager of the Democracy Policy Initiative astatine UC-Berkeley’s Goldman School of Public Policy. “That’s due to the fact that galore steps of the voting process are disproportionately hard for young people. When you marque those steps easier, everyone benefits, but particularly those radical who had a harder clip successful the archetypal place.”

However, 18-21-year-old voters are inactive nary much than 2% of the aboriginal ballot successful these cardinal states.

Traditionally, voters 65 and older marque up a disproportionate stock of a state’s voters, Alan Abramowitz, a governmental idiosyncratic astatine Emory University, told CNN. This twelvemonth is nary exception. More than fractional of the aboriginal voters successful each authorities truthful acold — but Georgia and Nevada — are elder citizens.

While determination are less older voters who person voted aboriginal successful each authorities than astatine this constituent successful the past 2 elections, seniors are inactive a larger stock of the aboriginal voting electorate than successful 2020.

In cardinal states with disposable information – Arizona, Nevada and Pennsylvania – a somewhat higher stock of Democrats are turning retired astatine this aboriginal signifier successful the wide predetermination than not lone 2018, but 2020 arsenic well. That includes Arizona and Nevada, wherever Republican pre-election voters outnumbered Democrats astatine this constituent successful 2018.

Independent voters are besides turning retired aboriginal successful Arizona and Nevada, wherever much than a 4th of each pre-election voters nether 40 years aged are independents. For Nevadans aged 18-21 years, the quality betwixt Democrats and independents is astir 7 percent points.

Gov. Kathy Hochul speaks during a run lawsuit connected Thursday astatine Barnard College successful New York City. Mary Altaffer/AP

New York Gov. Kathy Hochul accused her Republican challenger Lee Zeldin of dishonesty astir crime, misleading connected his termination presumption and being a right-wing extremist successful a Friday interrogation with "CNN This Morning.”

Hochul, the incumbent Democrat, is stuck successful an uncomfortably competitory contention with Zeldin – who would beryllium the archetypal Republican elected statewide since 2002 – arsenic concerns emergence implicit the system and crime. The archetypal pistillate politician of New York, Hochul downplayed caller polling showing a tightening of the contention and said she was assured her run was gathering momentum up of Election Day. 

She expressed pointed disapproval of his ballot against certifying the 2020 statesmanlike election.

When she was asked wherefore Republicans person had truthful overmuch occurrence hammering Democrats connected crime, Hochul said her hostile was simply fear-mongering.

“Because they’re being dishonest astir it. They’re not having a speech astir existent solutions,” Hochul said, earlier talking astir Zeldin’s ballot successful Congress against a bipartisan weapon law. “Let’s speech astir existent answers and not conscionable springiness everyone each these platitudes.”

She besides called Zeldin’s pledge to repeal the state’s bail betterment instrumentality with an enforcement bid a motion of his “naiveté.” Hochul besides noted that determination is nary wide information connecting the arguable transgression justness betterment instrumentality with a spike successful crime. 

But Hochul rapidly pivoted from there, acknowledging voters’ concerns.

On abortion, Hochul pushed backmost connected Zeldin’s assurances that thing volition alteration for women successful New York, with its robust termination rights laws, if he’s elected.

“He wants to accidental that nothing’s changed since the Dobbs determination successful New York. That’s due to the fact that I’m the politician and he’s not,” Hochul said. “There are galore ways that helium could subvert women’s close to take if helium becomes governor.”

Zeldin antecedently said helium would prime a “pro-life” wellness commissioner, but later walked back the comment.

More than 30 cardinal people person already voted successful 46 states, according to information from predetermination officials, Edison Research and Catalist.

Early voting is up since the 2018 midterms crossed the state and successful 4 of the six key states to ticker for the 2022 midterms.

Mail-in voting was little communal successful 2018 and pre-election votes are inactive beneath the 2020 statesmanlike election. Presidential elections typically spot larger turnout and galore states expanded aboriginal and mail-in voting for the Covid-19 pandemic.

Voters successful Arizona, Georgia and Michigan person already formed much than 1 cardinal ballots each. Nearly 2 cardinal person voted aboriginal successful Georgia, a 29% leap compared to this constituent successful 2018.

Pre-election voters truthful acold are mostly somewhat younger, much Democratic and divers than they were successful 2018, but not arsenic overmuch arsenic they were successful 2020.

Former President Donald Trump arrives astatine a rally successful Sioux City, Iowa, connected November 3, 2022. Stephen Maturen/Getty Images

Top aides to erstwhile President Donald Trump have been eyeing the 3rd week of November arsenic an perfect motorboat constituent for his 2024 statesmanlike campaign, sources acquainted with the substance archer CNN.

One of those sources said Trump's squad has specifically discussed Monday, Nov. 14 arsenic an announcement date, which would travel little than a week aft the midterm elections and conscionable days aft the erstwhile President's youngest girl Tiffany is owed to beryllium joined astatine his Mar-a-Lago estate. This idiosyncratic cautioned that nary day has been locked successful and Trump could determination up his desired announcement day – oregon propulsion it backmost – depending connected however Republicans fare successful the elections adjacent Tuesday and the availability of venues.

Trump has been advised by respective of his cardinal lieutenants to denote his 3rd statesmanlike run from 1 of the battleground states helium narrowly mislaid to Joe Biden successful 2020, according to a idiosyncratic acquainted with the conversations, though others person encouraged him to stay successful Florida for the motorboat wherever helium remains profoundly fashionable among the state's Republican voters. A Trump spokesperson did not instantly respond to a petition for comment.

More background: The erstwhile president has agelong been eyeing the post-midterm play earlier Thanksgiving arsenic an perfect announcement timeline for his adjacent governmental act, hoping to capitalize connected what helium and allies judge volition beryllium a reddish question for the GOP adjacent Tuesday. At a rally Thursday successful Iowa, Trump told the assemblage to "get ready" for his instrumentality to the statesmanlike run trail, noting that helium "very, very, precise astir apt volition astir apt bash it again," successful notation to moving for the White House.

News of Trump’s imaginable Nov. 14 announcement was first reported by Axios.

A idiosyncratic grinds a weld connected a harmless that is being manufactured astatine Liberty Safe Company connected March 22 successful Payson, Utah. George Frey/Getty Images

The US system added 261,000 jobs successful October and the unemployment complaint ticked up to 3.7%, according to the latest monthly employment snapshot from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, released Friday morning. The fig is conscionable the “Goldilocks” outcome that the White House was hoping for — not excessively low, but not excessively high.

The full occupation gains were little than the revised September fig of 315,000, and supra the 200,000 forecast from economists surveyed by Refinitiv.

President Joe Biden and his economical squad person known for months that a cooling of the system is simply a necessity to ace the pervasive terms increases that person handed a important vantage to Republicans connected the issue, which voters consistently mention arsenic astir important.

At its bosom is Biden’s astir important economical success: A melodramatic jobs betterment from the pandemic-driven economical situation helium walked into connected his archetypal time successful office. More than 10 cardinal jobs person been added since Biden’s inauguration and the unemployment complaint sits astatine 3.5%.

The choky labour market, however, has exacerbated the soaring terms increases that person imperiled Democrats’ clasp connected their majorities successful the House and Senate.

It’s the governmental paradox that looms implicit the past major piece of economical information earlier Election Day – one that comes astatine a moment that finds Democrats desperately trying to make up crushed connected the economy.

Cheri Beasley speaks with imaginable voters astatine Fourth Ward Barber & Hairstyle connected September 17 successful Charlotte, North Carolina. (Sean Rayford/Getty Images)

North Carolina Democratic Senate campaigner Cheri Beasley continued to region herself from the "defund the police" movement fashionable with progressives successful the party.

When asked by Don Lemon connected "CNN This Morning" astir police groups supporting her GOP opponent Ted Budd and if messaging implicit "defunding the police" has wounded her campaign, here's however she responded:

Constituents cognize her grounds aft she's served arsenic an elected authoritative for implicit a decade, she said.

"I mean, folks are going to accidental what they're gonna say, due to the fact that they're moving truthful hard successful this race. Ted Budd is truthful disquieted about attacking my ain grounds because he can't support his own," she said.

More context: Budd’s run and allies have aggressively gone aft Beasley, accusing her of turning unsafe criminals escaped portion connected the bench, including saying that she “struck down” a instrumentality to necessitate GPS tracking for enactment offenders. Beasley and different judges telephone that charge “deceitful” since the ruling was to bounds the scope of the instrumentality and not onslaught it down.

Watch here:

###

The dense hitters of American authorities are hitting the run way to present immoderate closing arguments astir the value of adjacent Tuesday’s election.

But their messages mightiness not beryllium sinking in.

It’s astir ideology writ large

President Joe Biden told donors successful Florida this week that “democracy is connected the ballot.”

Later, successful a code from Washington, DC, he warned astir governmental violence across the country.

But successful a motion to the realities of his ain governmental toxicity, Biden has mostly avoided events to whip up voters successful states with cardinal races.

It’s astir ideology successful idiosyncratic states

In Arizona, erstwhile President Barack Obama, who is highly fashionable and a existent gully for Democrats, told a rally that if a slate of Republican predetermination deniers there wins adjacent week, “Democracy arsenic we cognize it whitethorn not past successful Arizona.”

He added: “That’s not an exaggeration. That is simply a fact.”

Candidates for caput of authorities in Arizona and Nevada, successful particular, person promised to upend the predetermination systems determination to defender against wide elector fraud, for which determination is nary evidence.

It’s astir 2024

Former President Donald Trump volition footwear disconnected his closing blitz of rallies starting successful Iowa, which is not the tract of the astir hotly contested Senate contention but is location to the archetypal statesmanlike penchant contention successful the coming 2024 primaries.

At an earlier rally successful Texas, Trump framed the predetermination arsenic an accidental for the “MAGA movement” to instrumentality backmost the state from Democrats.

CNN’s Gabby Orr and Jeff Zeleny person an excellent look astatine wherever Trump is going, who helium is appearing with and what it whitethorn mean. Note: Trump is not campaigning with Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, but helium is campaigning successful Florida.

Read the afloat investigation here.