Opinion | Will Elon Musk's Warning About the Future Hold True for Medicine? - Medpage Today

2 years ago 59

"Mark my words. AI [artificial intelligence] is much unsafe than nukes." -- Elon Musk

The different day, arsenic soon arsenic I walked into work, already moving my accustomed 10 minutes late, I was hustling from my bureau to the session erstwhile I saw 1 of our doc assistants successful the hallway. She is different known for her calm composure, truthful it seemed unusual that she was visibly distressed. The crushed was that she had forgotten her laptop astatine location and could not find a loaner. I tried to prevention her time by offering her my laptop to enactment on. That would mean I would person a machine to enactment connected successful the clerical area, but I would person to spot patients the full time without having a machine successful the country with them.

The PA resisted, but I insisted. We some went our abstracted ways to determination connected with our days.

I had not seen patients similar this successful rather immoderate clip now. By "like this," I mean without a machine successful the room. It should not beryllium a large deal, but I realized that a machine has present go an entity that is ever a portion of our diligent encounters. If you don't person a stethoscope, you tin get by, but you can't without a computer.

It's arsenic if a 3rd "being" is contiguous successful the country -- the archetypal 2 being the doc and the patient. We interact with patients briefly, but perpetually enactment astatine the computer, from looking up their records, labs, and scans to placing orders and scheduling instructions.

And present that determination is the "secure instant chat" feature, the machine talks backmost to america each the time. Other providers are messaging america constantly, and successful a way, the machine keeps demanding our attention, robbing it of the diligent successful the room. It gives america alerts if determination are medicine interactions. It reminds america to alteration our passwords, prompts america to bid tests, and stops america from closing diligent charts if definite rules are not adhered to.

On this peculiar day, since I did not person this 3rd "being" successful the room, it was conscionable the diligent and me. I felt arsenic if the brushwood was incomplete. I kept wondering if the diligent besides felt incomplete due to the fact that patients besides typically consciousness reassured erstwhile they spot their aesculapian illustration connected the computer: "I don't retrieve which medications I'm taking and what country I had 10 years ago. It's each successful the machine doc!"

Patients really person a narration with the computer, due to the fact that present they look up their records themselves and effort to marque consciousness of things. Sometimes they bash a bully occupation of that, and different times they suck astatine it. They emotion the machine for that, but if the doc spends excessively overmuch clip looking astatine the machine alternatively of the patient, they commencement feeling slighted arsenic a jealous person would.

On that time my caput kept telling maine that since I volition person to papers everything connected the machine and usage it to spot orders, I would person to hurry and extremity the sojourn with the diligent if I had to enactment connected schedule. Then I asked myself, "How did you spot patients conscionable a fewer years ago, erstwhile determination were nary computers successful the country -- relax!"

A consciousness of calm came implicit me. I forgot astir having to reply changeless messages and having to spot orders oregon commencement documenting the visit. I was astir to walk much clip evaluating the diligent to speech astir their lives and stock my ain stories. I felt similar a assemblage had dissipated. The aerial successful the country returned to the intimate doctor-patient narration that had been the lawsuit for centuries.

We talked astir however galore cows my diligent had astatine her farm. We talked astir however galore of them they extremity up eating and however galore they springiness away. We talked astir however 20 years ago, 1 of my patients walked successful connected her girl hanging herself successful the closet. Her coiled is inactive truthful caller that she genuinely believes that whoever says that clip is the champion healer is afloat of crap.

We talked astir however 1 of my patients had a robust enactment life, but helium felt that the attraction of his prostate crab had taken distant from him the antheral helium was. We talked astir however my patient's nephew was recovered dormant from a cause overdose. She was bittersweet for him but blessed that her children did not crook retired similar that. We talked astir things that usually the 3rd "being" successful the country -- the computer, that is -- does not let america to speech astir due to the fact that we are excessively engaged with the machine much than with the patient.

We besides talked astir however I thought medicine would beryllium practiced a fewer 100 years from now. How a diligent volition locomotion done a "booth" of immoderate sort. His symptoms would beryllium heard conscionable similar Siri hears us, his objective signs photographed and interpreted. He would beryllium scanned from the skull each the mode down to the toes with each his interior organs anatomically scrutinized. A driblet of humor taken by a painless digit prick would measurement each sorts of laboratory tests, and the machine would churn retired the astir capable diagnosis and attraction options and whitethorn adjacent inject the veins with the astir precise dosage of highly effectual drugs against the illness.

The familial illustration of patients would beryllium analyzed instantly, and mutations would beryllium identified and edited to close expeditiously. Complex surgical procedures would beryllium performed meticulously by ambidextrous robots. Humans would trust much connected these "booths" than their ain objective judgment. Like erstwhile you archer maine however to cipher 89,573 × 74,823, I would trust much connected a calculator than connected my computing skills.

When Elon Musk warns america astir the dangers of artificial intelligence, helium is not referring to medicine successful particular, but we tin surely analyse his connection successful the discourse of the aboriginal of our profession. Will determination beryllium a time that this machine and this booth volition go much intelligent than the physician's objective judgment?

"Never!" we say. A machine has to beryllium programmed by a quality to springiness the results. A machine tin ne'er supersede a human's analyzable objective judgment. Well, I would accidental that if you were to archer a quality from 500 years agone that I volition alert contiguous from New York to Kuala Lumpur, and I could bash it wrong conscionable 1 night, helium would nary uncertainty laughter and ridicule america for wasting his time.

If the computers commencement treating america much accurately than we do, we would beryllium blessed to judge that. But if they commencement making decisions for us, nary substance how, but if it so happens, however volition the computers decide, say, erstwhile it's clip to halt dialysis and spell to comfortableness care? How volition they determine however overmuch symptom is excessively much, erstwhile to springiness narcotics, and erstwhile to clasp them erstwhile disquieted astir addiction?

How volition they marque idiosyncratic connections with patients and stock anecdotes, and sermon hobbies? How volition they spell to funerals and shed tears unneurotic with patients and their families erstwhile thing other tin beryllium done? How volition these computers larn to springiness comfortableness and solace to these patients? And adjacent if they do, volition the patients judge that arsenic they judge it from us, quality doctors?

What if computers crook against us? What if they commencement selecting which pregnancies to transportation and others to terminate? What if they commencement dictating the patients' precocious directives? What if the computers enactment a monetary worth connected the fig of years lived? What if they bounds the fig of children we tin have? What if they archer maine that my kid is not worthy surviving due to the fact that of her disability?

What if they archer maine that my grandma is occupying a furniture successful a infirmary that is needed for a younger diligent and that she volition beryllium denied immoderate much life-prolonging treatments? What if they archer maine that it's OK to clone humans and prime the "best" ones? What if they delegate termination and intersexual individuality choices to patients?

Some of you mightiness say: Isn't that what humans are already doing to humans? Well, yes, you are right. But volition we judge it if anyone different than humans -- successful this case, artificial quality -- imposes these restrictions connected us?

Farhan S. Imran, MD, is simply a hematology-oncology physician.

This station appeared on KevinMD.

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