Power Rankings: Updated playoff chances and biggest obstacles for every team

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Welcome to Week 6 of the NFL regular season.

Our powerfulness sheet -- a radical of much than 80 writers, editors and TV personalities -- evaluated however teams are stacking up done 5 weeks.

This week, our rankings saw the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers vault into the apical 10, portion the struggling Los Angeles Rams and Miami Dolphins fell out. After disappointing losses to opponents successful the AFC South, the Jacksonville Jaguars and Denver Broncos took a decent descent down the rankings. And the New York Jets roseate to the apical fractional of this database for the archetypal clip since ... it's been a while.

In summation to these updated rankings, we checked successful with NFL Nation reporters crossed the league and asked them to place each team's biggest obstacle to making the playoffs. We paired the responses with each team's projected playoff chances and besides the chances of winning its division, as powered by ESPN's Football Power Index.

Let's get to it.

Jump to a team:
ARI | ATL | BAL | BUF | CAR | CHI | CIN
CLE | DAL | DEN | DET | GB | HOU | IND
JAX | KC | LV | LAC | LAR | MIA | MIN
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF
SEA | TB | TEN | WSH

1. Kansas City Chiefs (4-1)

Week 5 ranking: 1

Chance to marque the playoffs: 99.0%
Chance to triumph their division: 87.8%

The Chiefs request to amended their defence successful the reddish zone. They are allowing a touchdown connected 80% of their opponents' trips wrong the 20 -- the worst successful the league -- heading into Monday night's crippled against the Raiders. This flaw was already costly successful the nonaccomplishment to the Colts, erstwhile an inability to unit a tract extremity connected Indy's archetypal and past possessions was the quality successful the game. To guarantee the Chiefs marque the playoffs, this needs to beryllium fixed. -- Adam Teicher


2. Buffalo Bills (4-1)

Week 5 ranking: 2

Chance to marque the playoffs: 99.1%
Chance to triumph their division: 90.9%

It's hard to ideate a script that involves this squad not making the postseason, but 1 country that the discourtesy has struggled with is establishing the moving crippled extracurricular of backmost Josh Allen. Much of that is owed to the blocking up beforehand (65.3% tally artifact triumph rate, ranked 32nd), particularly astatine guard. Only 1 moving backmost has rushed for a touchdown (James Cook vs. Steelers) and Allen has led the squad successful rushing for 4 of the 5 games -- the 2nd backmost to bash so, joining Lamar Jackson (2021). The Bills' discourtesy is already operating astatine a precocious level led by Allen, an aboriginal MVP candidate, but getting the moving backs going consistently would elevate Buffalo's imaginable and could assistance forestall wounded to Allen. -- Alaina Getzenberg


3. Philadelphia Eagles (5-0)

Week 5 ranking: 3

Chance to marque the playoffs: 99.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 72%

As the lone remaining undefeated team, the Eagles are successful bully shape, but the caller rash of injuries to their violative beforehand is worthy monitoring. Tackle Jordan Mailata (right shoulder), halfway Jason Kelce (left ankle) and guards Landon Dickerson (leg) and Isaac Seumalo (ankle) are each banged up to varying degrees heading into Sunday's divisional crippled against the 4-1 Cowboys. None of the injuries appears agelong word astatine this point, but the Eagles volition request it to enactment that mode to support their dynamic discourtesy humming. -- Tim McManus


4. Minnesota Vikings (4-1)

Week 5 ranking: 7

Chance to marque the playoffs: 76.9%
Chance to triumph their division: 34.9%

The Vikings already person an fantabulous accidental to marque the playoffs acknowledgment to their blistery start. But they've needed to flooded a precocious fourth-quarter shortage successful each of their past 3 games, and that signifier astir apt isn't sustainable implicit time. While it's an fantabulous motion that the Vikings had the assurance and enactment to surge backmost into the pb successful each instance, they'll request to nutrient immoderate steadier performances successful the 2nd fractional to guarantee they are playing with a pb and not leaving it up to the different squad to instrumentality advantage. -- Kevin Seifert


5. Dallas Cowboys (4-1)

Week 5 ranking: 11

Chance to marque the playoffs: 96.3%
Chance to triumph their division: 26.5%

Can the discourtesy enactment up much points? The defence has carried the time truthful acold this season, particularly successful Dak Prescott's absence, but the Cowboys person not scored much than 25 points successful a crippled yet this season. There volition travel a clip erstwhile they person to triumph a crippled with the people successful the 30s. Do the Cowboys person capable weapons to triumph a high-scoring showdown adjacent aft Prescott returns to the starting lineup? They person a look for occurrence close present with their defence controlling the tempo of the crippled and the discourtesy doing conscionable enough. At immoderate constituent the discourtesy volition person to bash much to support up to guarantee a playoff spot. -- Todd Archer


6. San Francisco 49ers (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 12

Chance to marque the playoffs: 80%
Chance to triumph their division: 68.6%

Injuries endanger the 49ers' playoff hopes. This has been a communal refrain for the Niners successful caller years with a wide scope of results. In 2019, they were fortunate capable that astir of their injuries weren't season-ending, and truthful far, that has been the lawsuit again this year. But the 49ers are walking a good enactment and person dug heavy into their extent already. If they tin negociate to upwind the storm, they should beryllium capable to enactment successful the premix to triumph the NFC West into December and January. -- Nick Wagoner


7. Baltimore Ravens (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 9

Chance to marque the playoffs: 85.2%
Chance to triumph their division: 66.3%

Outside of choky extremity Mark Andrews, determination is nary reliable people for Lamar Jackson successful the passing crippled -- which could crook into an issue. Baltimore's wide receivers person combined for 542 yards receiving, the 2nd fewest successful the league. Rashod Bateman, who was expected to go the No. 1 wide receiver, has struggled to enactment steadfast and is dealing with a near ft injury. It volition beryllium a situation to determination the shot done the aerial with fewer radical to propulsion it to. Of the Ravens' adjacent 12 games, 8 are against defenses that fertile successful the apical fractional of the NFL against the pass. This poses a situation to securing a playoff spot. -- Jamison Hensley


8. Green Bay Packers (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 4

Chance to marque the playoffs: 91%
Chance to triumph their division: 64.7%

Neither Matt LaFleur nor antiaircraft coordinator Joe Barry is playing to the Packers' strengths close now. LaFleur, the violative playcaller, and Aaron Rodgers, who has the RPO state astatine the enactment of scrimmage, person skewed distant from the tally erstwhile it should beryllium 1 of Green Bay's strengths with backs similar Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. And Barry, with the endowment helium has connected defense, should beryllium capable to clasp a two-touchdown pb similar the Packers had Sunday against a Giants squad that was missing its apical 3 receivers. If the Packers code these areas, they mightiness not person to interest astir if they volition beryllium successful the playoffs oregon not. -- Rob Demovsky


9. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 8

Chance to marque the playoffs: 96.5%
Chance to triumph their division: 93.8%

A wholly remade interior violative line, aggregate injuries to the wide receiving corps, a antiaircraft backfield that's getting banged up and nary Rob Gronkowski person created a batch of challenges for Tom Brady & Co. The Bucs conscionable haven't looked successful sync. They shouldn't person an contented winning the NFC South, arsenic it looks similar a anemic part this year, but their deficiency of continuity with truthful galore caller pieces mightiness support them from advancing heavy into the playoffs. -- Jenna Laine


10. Los Angeles Chargers (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 13

Chance to marque the playoffs: 79%
Chance to triumph their division: 10.9%

The Chargers person suffered respective important injuries to cardinal players. Left tackle Rashawn Slater (biceps) was placed connected injured reserve, truthful the Bolts person turned to rookie sixth-round prime Jamaree Salyer astatine the spot. On the edge, Khalil Mack and Joey Bosa were expected to signifier 1 of the apical pass-rushing duos, but Bosa is connected injured reserve indefinitely (groin), truthful a committee of guys is stepping successful -- including second-year pro Chris Rumph II and seasoned Kyle Van Noy. And finally, receiver Keenan Allen has been dealing with a hamstring wounded since Week 1, has missed 4 consecutive games and there's a unreality of uncertainty erstwhile he'll return. How young players execute portion filling successful astatine cardinal spots volition beryllium important to making a playoff run. -- Lindsey Thiry

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1:17

The Fantasy Focus unit breaks down however Austin Ekeler's show places him up of Saquon Barkley and Nick Chubb.


11. New York Giants (4-1)

Week 5 ranking: 14

Chance to marque the playoffs: 53.4%
Chance to triumph their division: 1.5%

Surprise, surprise. The NFC East is the champion part successful the NFL close present with the Eagles, Cowboys and Giants having a combined 13-2 record. That is beauteous overmuch the Giants' lone imposing obstacle connected the roadworthy to the playoffs. They inactive person 3 games remaining against the Eagles and Cowboys, and 2 against the Commanders. If the Giants tin bash good wrong the part (they were 1-5 successful 2021, and are already 0-1 this season), they could precise good marque the playoffs. -- Jordan Raanan


12. Miami Dolphins (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 5

Chance to marque the playoffs: 61%
Chance to triumph their division: 7.1%

The wellness of backmost Tua Tagovailoa, who remains successful concussion protocol aft being concisely hospitalized successful Week 4, is paramount. There is nary timetable for his return, astatine slightest not 1 that the Dolphins person shared publicly, and their archetypal crippled without him was a bust. Teddy Bridgewater was ruled retired aft a azygous drawback Sunday and was besides placed successful concussion protocol. Rookie Skylar Thompson past had a unsmooth debut successful a 40-17 nonaccomplishment to the Jets. Miami's docket for the adjacent 2 months is casual capable to get it backmost atop the AFC -- with Tagovailoa nether center. That assurance wanes with anyone else. -- Marcel Louis-Jacques


13. Los Angeles Rams (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 6

Chance to marque the playoffs: 18.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 8%

Los Angeles has to hole its violative line. The Rams person wins against the Cardinals and Falcons this play but are 0-3 against the beardown teams they've played: Buffalo, San Francisco and Dallas. The Rams person allowed 19 sacks successful those 3 defeats -- that decidedly stands out. The violative enactment is simply a wide issue, hindering the Rams' quality to marque plays down the field. Until that's fixed, Matthew Stafford is going to proceed taking a pounding and their quality to marque the playoffs is questionable. -- Sarah Barshop


14. Cincinnati Bengals (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 10

Chance to marque the playoffs: 49.3%
Chance to triumph their division: 17.6%

The Bengals' discourtesy close present is easy stifled. This shouldn't beryllium a astonishment to anyone who has watched the Bengals done 5 games. Opposing defenses person eliminated Cincinnati's quality to find explosive plays down the tract and the Bengals are trying to find the solution. Last year, Cincinnati led the NFL successful yards per attempt. This season, the Bengals are conscionable 18th, according to ESPN Stats & Information research. Teams person neutralized the Bengals' heavy passing onslaught and are forcing backmost Joe Burrow to enactment methodically down the field. While the coaching unit has been blessed with immoderate of the results, the squad isn't scoring astir capable points to genuinely occupation its opponents oregon guarantee that it volition marque the playoffs. -- Ben Baby


15. Tennessee Titans (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 16

Chance to marque the playoffs: 35.4%
Chance to triumph their division: 29.8%

The second-half struggles stay a occupation for the Titans contempt a three-game triumph streak. Through 5 games, Tennessee has been outscored 71-14 successful the 2nd half, and has scored successful the 2nd fractional successful lone 2 of the five. With the pugnacious portion of their docket coming up, including games against the Chiefs, Packers and Eagles, the Titans volition request to fig retired however to play complementary shot successful the 2nd half. The discourtesy has to minimize the three-and-outs to assistance support the defence from being connected the tract excessively much, portion the defence has to bounds momentum-generating explosive plays. If some units tin bash that the remainder of the season, past the Titans person a accidental of winning their part and making the playoffs. -- Turron Davenport

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1:05

The Fantasy Football unit raves astir Derrick Henry's stellar show successful Week 5 vs. the Commanders.


16. New York Jets (3-2)

Week 5 ranking: 23

Chance to marque the playoffs: 25.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 1.5%

The Jets request high-level backmost play. To beryllium fair, Zach Wilson is 2-0 since returning from his genu wounded and has enactment unneurotic 5 bully quarters successful a row, but helium has yet to show that helium tin transportation the squad for a afloat game. He inactive doesn't person a 300-yard passing crippled oregon a three-touchdown-pass crippled successful his career. The Jets are built to beryllium balanced connected offense, reducing the load connected the quarterback, but determination volition beryllium games successful which they request Wilson to bail them out. Can helium bash it? -- Rich Cimini


17. New Orleans Saints (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 24

Chance to marque the playoffs: 11.1%
Chance to triumph their division: 1.8%

The Saints person been their ain worst force this season, committing turnovers astatine inopportune times (they are past successful the league successful turnover differential) and person had cardinal penalties acceptable them back. The Saints aren't bully capable close present to flooded these mistakes, and with injuries to cardinal players similar Jameis Winston, Michael Thomas, Chris Olave and others popping up, they request to beryllium arsenic cleanable arsenic they tin beryllium connected discourtesy successful bid to person a accidental astatine making the playoffs. -- Katherine Terrell


18. Cleveland Browns (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 18

Chance to marque the playoffs: 35.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 16%

The operation of being without starting QB Deshaun Watson for different six games (suspension) and an underachieving defence with 1 of the league's toughest remaining schedules mightiness code down postseason hopes. The Browns squandered an accidental to pad wins during the archetypal period of the play facing QBs Baker Mayfield, Joe Flacco, Mitch Trubisky and Marcus Mariota. Now, a beleaguered Cleveland defence has to find a mode to past against Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Josh Allen and Tom Brady until Watson's instrumentality successful Week 13. By then, Cleveland's playoff hopes could beryllium hardly flickering, if not extinguished completely. -- Jake Trotter


19. New England Patriots (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 27

Chance to marque the playoffs: 12.7%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.5%

The Patriots are minus-2 successful turnover differential, which is uncommon territory for them. This play they person 10 turnovers successful 5 games. And it wasn't a coincidence that the Patriots won the turnover conflict Sunday against the Lions and played their champion wide crippled of the season. This volition beryllium the archetypal cardinal to New England perchance getting itself successful the playoff hunt successful an progressively tougher AFC East -- learning however not to suffer earlier it tin win. -- Mike Reiss


20. Seattle Seahawks (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 20

Chance to marque the playoffs: 4.7%
Chance to triumph their division: 1.6%

The Seahawks are successful the throes of different unspeakable antiaircraft start. They're dormant past successful yards allowed per play and 31st successful points allowed per game, including a combined 84 implicit the past 2 weeks. The Seahawks person needed every spot of superb play that Geno Smith has fixed them to flight with 2 constrictive victories implicit the archetypal 5 games. The lone crushed for anticipation that they tin crook things astir is that they've done truthful aft likewise mediocre starts successful each of the past 2 seasons. But determination aren't immoderate evident signs different turnaround is coming. -- Brady Henderson


21. Arizona Cardinals (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 19

Chance to marque the playoffs: 42.3%
Chance to triumph their division: 21.8%

The Cardinals are presently successful the midst of an eight-game location losing streak dating backmost to Week 8 of the 2021 season. It's the longest progressive location losing streak successful the NFL. If the Cardinals can't commencement winning astatine location soon, past winning capable games to marque the postseason astir apt won't beryllium possible. -- Josh Weinfuss


22. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 15

Chance to marque the playoffs: 51.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 46.1%

Right now, the play of their backmost mightiness beryllium holding the Jaguars backmost from taking power of the AFC South. Trevor Lawrence has turned the shot implicit 7 times successful the past 2 games -- some were losses. Another large contented for Jacksonville is that the tally defence has fallen apart. The Jaguars person fixed up 326 yards successful the past 2 games, which is astir doubly arsenic overmuch arsenic they gave up successful the archetypal 3 games combined (165). The squad mightiness beryllium capable to flooded 1 of these issues, but tin the Jaguars flooded some to marque the playoffs? -- Michael DiRocco


23. Denver Broncos (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 17

Chance to marque the playoffs: 4.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.2%

There mightiness beryllium nary bigger obstacle close present to the Broncos' playoff chances than their offense. The squad has surrendered lone six touchdowns connected defence implicit 5 games and inactive finds itself 2-3. That's due to the fact that of a mishmash of penalties, missed opportunities and mediocre decisions connected offense. The Broncos person scored conscionable six touchdowns, a combined 5 points successful the 3rd quarter, 36 points successful 3 location games and are ranked past successful reddish portion offense. Oh, and they conscionable mislaid a crippled past Thursday to the lone squad that has scored less points than they have, the Colts. -- Jeff Legwold


24. Atlanta Falcons (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 21

Chance to marque the playoffs: 21.7%
Chance to triumph their division: 3.8%

The Falcons are 1 of 3 teams completing little than 60% of their passes -- lone Carolina and Chicago are worse -- and Marcus Mariota has 7 fumbles successful 5 games. There are times Mariota has made elite-level plays, and helium has done good moving -- seventh successful the NFL successful rushing yards -- but determination person been captious miscues successful astir each crippled this season. The Falcons are successful the mediate of the battalion successful the NFC, truthful backmost play needs to amended to marque a playoff run. -- Michael Rothstein


25. Indianapolis Colts (2-2-1)

Week 5 ranking: 26

Chance to marque the playoffs: 25.3%
Chance to triumph their division: 20.8%

It's becoming a bushed storyline, but it remains true: The Colts' stunningly mediocre violative enactment show is undermining everything bully astir the team. The Colts are presently 31st successful walk artifact triumph complaint and 26th successful tally artifact triumph rate. Even mounting speech the struggles of Matt Ryan, it's hard to measure thing astir the discourtesy erstwhile the violative enactment isn't functional. Meanwhile, the Colts' defence is getting amended and the team's unproven pass-catchers are starting to measurement up. On apical of that, the AFC South is, well, the AFC South. But volition it substance if the enactment doesn't get stabilized? -- Stephen Holder


26. Las Vegas Raiders (1-4)

Week 5 ranking: 22

Chance to marque the playoffs: 31.8%
Chance to triumph their division: 1.2%

The Raiders' commencement would not precisely beryllium a look for postseason success. Not saying it's impossible, but lone 1 squad since 2000 began a play 0-3, arsenic the Raiders did this year, and rallied to marque the playoffs. Now, the AFC West mightiness not beryllium the beast we each thought it was successful the preseason, but we inactive person 12 weeks to spell to fig it each out. And divisional games similar Monday nighttime matter. -- Paul Gutierrez


27. Chicago Bears (2-3)

Week 5 ranking: 28

Chance to marque the playoffs: 1.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.2%

The Bears are successful the opening stages of a rebuild. The roster is their biggest obstacle to making the playoffs, and frankly, Chicago is obscurity adjacent acceptable to deliberation astir beingness successful the playoffs. That's ne'er been a realistic anticipation for the 2022 season. Marginal betterment that tin transportation implicit week to week -- similar the second-half show Justin Fields strung unneurotic against Minnesota en way to single-game highs successful completion percent and passer standing -- is the focal constituent for a squad with a QB successful the developmental signifier of his vocation without the capable endowment astir him to instrumentality the squad to the adjacent level. -- Courtney Cronin


28. Houston Texans (1-3-1)

Week 5 ranking: 32

Chance to marque the playoffs: 4.1%
Chance to triumph their division: 3.4%

The Texans' discourtesy is holding the squad backmost from being a morganatic playoff contender. The defence ranks 13th overall, holding teams to 19 points per game, but the discourtesy is averaging 17 points, ranking 27th overall. And overmuch of the scoring woes commencement with backmost play. Davis Mills ranks 30th successful QBR (31.8), and a ample information of his struggles centers astir throwing the shot implicit 10 yards. He's completing lone 44% of his passes implicit 10 yards according to Next Gen Stats, which ranks 21st among starting quarterbacks. -- DJ Bien-Aime


29. Pittsburgh Steelers (1-4)

Week 5 ranking: 29

Chance to marque the playoffs: 0.5%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.1%

No signifier of the Steelers' crippled is playing good done the archetypal 5 games, but the astir impactful obstacle is the deficiency of walk rush. In T.J. Watt's absence, the Steelers person recorded lone 3 sacks successful 4 games and person posted 2 games without a azygous sack. Without a dependable walk rush, the Steelers' secondary is stressed, and teams are capable to enactment up large numbers. Meanwhile, the discourtesy lacks an individuality and can't support up successful a high-scoring game. Pittsburgh's playoff hopes are bleak. -- Brooke Pryor


30. Detroit Lions (1-4)

Week 5 ranking: 25

Chance to marque the playoffs: 0.7%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.1%

Let's beryllium real: From a endowment perspective, this squad doesn't person a batch of game-changing players connected defense. And done 4 weeks, the Lions accomplished thing that nary different squad successful league past had done since the 1970 AFL-NFL merger erstwhile they led the NFL successful points per crippled portion ranking past successful points per crippled allowed. That's a problem! Lions antiaircraft coordinator Aaron Glenn says they conflict with consistency and defending the reddish zone. Also, Glenn feels the interior defence has been solid, but the Lions are present focusing connected improving the perimeter defence -- chiefly successful the secondary. There's a batch of enactment to beryllium done and the coaches are taking accountability, but securing a postseason spot (for the archetypal clip since 2016) is acold successful the distance. -- Eric Woodyard


31. Washington Commanders (1-4)

Week 5 ranking: 30

Chance to marque the playoffs: 3.6%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.1%

Washington has capable issues -- its violative enactment remains a occupation and injuries person near it with nary borderline for error. But the Commanders conflict to get retired of their ain mode -- they've committed a combined 20 penalties successful the past 2 weeks. It's near them already 3 games retired of 3rd spot successful the NFC East. They deficiency antiaircraft playmakers and person conscionable 1 forced turnover successful 5 games. Their playcalling and crippled plans person been fishy astatine times, and they instrumentality excessively agelong to adjust. There's capable endowment to contend for the playoffs, but if they privation to diagnose their issues, everyone successful the enactment conscionable needs to clasp up a mirror. -- John Keim


32. Carolina Panthers (1-4)

Week 5 ranking: 31

Chance to marque the playoffs: 2.1%
Chance to triumph their division: 0.7%

Not to oversimplify, but the Panthers person mislaid 11 of their past 12 games and are 11-27 since 2020 -- that's a large crushed coach Matt Rhule was fired Monday. Baker Mayfield's NFL-worst Total QBR (16.5) is the 2nd worst since ESPN began tracking the stat successful 2006, and the Panthers ain a third-down conversion complaint that is an NFL-worst 24.1. This is simply a squad successful flux, truthful to suggest a playoff quality seems a spot far-fetched. -- David Newton

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