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Mikel Arteta (left) was appointed Arsenal manager successful 2019 aft 3 years arsenic Manchester City adjunct nether Pep Guardiola (right)League leaders Arsenal's 2-2 gully astatine Liverpool connected Sunday has seemingly opened the doorway for reigning champions Manchester City successful what is becoming a melodramatic rubric race.
While the Gunners, who are chasing their archetypal rubric since 2004 present person a six constituent spread implicit City, Pep Guardiola's broadside person a crippled successful manus and big Mikel Arteta's squad connected 26 April successful what could beryllium the decisive fixture.
City besides person a superior extremity quality - presently 48 to Arsenal's 43 - which could became a factor.
While Arsenal person conscionable 8 fixtures remaining, City are inactive successful the hunt for the FA Cup and Champions League, and could person a packed docket betwixt present and the extremity of the season.
They could play arsenic galore arsenic 16 games earlier the extremity of the season.
According to information institution Nielsen's Gracenote's simulations, City are present favourites with a 56% accidental of lifting the trophy, portion Arsenal's chances are 44%.
Arsenal person not beaten City successful the Premier League since December 2015 and their past top-flight triumph astatine the Etihad was successful January 2015.
The sides person already met doubly this season, with City winning 1-0 successful the FA Cup successful January and 3-1 successful the league successful February.
But Arsenal whitethorn person past connected their side.
According to Opta, 13 sides successful the top-flight person had 73 oregon much points aft 30 games (when adapted to 3 points for a win) and lone 2 of these person failed to spell connected and triumph the rubric - Manchester United successful 2011-12 and Liverpool successful 2018-19. However, little reassuringly for Arsenal fans, it was City who yet finished champions connected some those occasions.
City, though, are specialists astatine this signifier of the season.
They person collected 145 points successful the past 10 matches of the past six seasons combined - much than immoderate different team.
Nielsen's Gracenote has worked retired the percent accidental Arsenal and City person of winning their remaining matches, according to its Euro Club Index formula.
Premier League run-in
| Arsenal | Win accidental | Man City | Win chance |
| Bayern Munich (h - Champions League QF) 11 April | |||
| Leicester (h) 15 April | 84% | ||
| West Ham (a) 16 April | 49% | ||
| Bayern Munich (a - Champions League QF) 19 April | |||
| Southampton (h) 21 April | 76% | ||
| Sheffield United (FA Cup semi-final) 22 April | |||
| Man City (a) 26 April | 17% | Arsenal (h) 26 April | 61% |
| Chelsea (h) 29 April | 52% | ||
| Fulham (a) 30 April | 75% | ||
| West Ham (h) 3 May | 79% | ||
| Newcastle (a) 7 May | 40% | Leeds (h) 7 May | 86% |
| Brighton (h) 14 May | 61% | ||
| Potential CL semi-final 9/10 May | |||
| Everton (a) 14 May | 74% | ||
| Potential CL semi-final 16/17 May | |||
| Nottingham Forest (a) 20 May | 66% | Chelsea (h) 20 May | 68% |
| Wolves (h) 28 May | 70% | Brentford (a) 28 May | 69% |
| Brighton (a) TBC due to the fact that of FA Cup information | 62% | ||
| Potential FA Cup last 3 June | |||
| Potential CL last 10 June |
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