“In the bluish authorities of New York, the contention for politician is competitive,” Quinnipiac polling expert Mary Snow said successful a statement. “Democrats person cruised to triumph successful gubernatorial races since 2006, but Governor Hochul’s constrictive borderline puts Republican Lee Zeldin good wrong striking region of her.”
The quality betwixt the 2 polls is mostly owed to Quinnipiac uncovering Zeldin, who lives connected Long Island, with amended numbers successful New York City. Siena had Hochul starring determination by a borderline of 70 percent to 23 percent; her pb successful the Quinnipiac canvass was 59 percent to 37 percent.
The Quinnipiac numbers besides had Zeldin with a 50 percent to 44 percent pb among voters aged 35 and 49. In the Siena poll, Hochul, who lives successful Buffalo, led 49 percent to 42 percent among voters betwixt ages 35 and 54. Both polls had Zeldin up narrowly successful the New York City suburbs and upstate.
The Quinnipiac numbers recovered that 28 percent of respondents said transgression — which has been the centerpiece of Zeldin’s candidacy — is the astir urgent contented facing the state. Only 6 percent pointed to abortion, which has been the absorption of astir of Hochul’s ads.
A full of 20 percent pointed to inflation; 14 percent to protecting democracy; and 4 percent apiece said immigration, homelessness, and clime change.
Quinnipiac has not antecedently polled connected Hochul’s tenure, with its erstwhile New York statewide survey coming successful the waning days of erstwhile Gov. Andrew Cuomo’s tenure successful August 2021.
The assemblage released numbers connected Oct. 18, 2018 that recovered Cuomo with a 23-point pb implicit Republican challenger Marc Molinaro. That coiled up being his nonstop borderline of victory.
Quinnipiac polled 1,617 apt voters from Oct. 12-16, and their numbers person a borderline of mistake of 2.4 points.
Earlier Tuesday, Hochul said she ever runs for bureau arsenic if she’s down successful the polls. She succeeded Cuomo erstwhile helium resigned successful August 2021 and is looking to beryllium the archetypal pistillate politician elected successful authorities history.
“I ever tally similar I’m an underdog. I’m a sports fan. Everybody knows that. Always tally with that underdog mentality. And I person been taking my connection each crossed the state, been politician conscionable implicit a twelvemonth and radical person had a accidental to spot the spot I have; the toughness that required to govern the state,” Hochul told reporters aft the Siena canvass came out.
Zeldin said helium continues to run astir the state, pressing his connection of warring transgression and bolstering the economy.
“We’ll beryllium campaigning each passim the state,” Zeldin said during a run halt successful Queens. “I’ll conscionable with anybody. I’ll spell to immoderate community.”
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