Summary
Background
Current UK vaccination argumentation is to connection aboriginal COVID-19 booster doses to individuals astatine precocious hazard of superior unwellness from COVID-19, but it is inactive uncertain which groups of the colonisation could payment most. In effect to an urgent petition from the UK Joint Committee connected Vaccination and Immunisation, we aimed to place hazard factors for terrible COVID-19 outcomes (ie, COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon death) successful individuals who had completed their superior COVID-19 vaccination docket and had received the archetypal booster vaccine.
Methods
We constructed prospective cohorts crossed each 4 UK nations done linkages of superior care, RT-PCR testing, vaccination, hospitalisation, and mortality information connected 30 cardinal people. We included individuals who received superior vaccine doses of BNT162b2 (tozinameran; Pfizer–BioNTech) oregon ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford–AstraZeneca) vaccines successful our archetypal analyses. We past restricted analyses to those fixed a BNT162b2 oregon mRNA-1273 (elasomeran; Moderna) booster and had a terrible COVID-19 result betwixt Dec 20, 2021, and Feb 28, 2022 (when the omicron (B.1.1.529) variant was dominant). We fitted time-dependent Poisson regression models and calculated adjusted complaint ratios (aRRs) and 95% CIs for the associations betwixt hazard factors and COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon death. We adjusted for a scope of imaginable covariates, including age, sex, comorbidities, and erstwhile SARS-CoV-2 infection. Stratified analyses were conducted by vaccine type. We past did pooled analyses crossed UK nations utilizing fixed-effect meta-analyses.
Findings
Between Dec 8, 2020, and Feb 28, 2022, 16 208 600 individuals completed their superior vaccine docket and 13 836 390 individuals received a booster dose. Between Dec 20, 2021, and Feb 28, 2022, 59 510 (0·4%) of the superior vaccine radical and 26 100 (0·2%) of those who received their booster had terrible COVID-19 outcomes. The hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes reduced aft receiving the booster (rate change: 8·8 events per 1000 person-years to 7·6 events per 1000 person-years). Older adults (≥80 years vs 18–49 years; aRR 3·60 [95% CI 3·45–3·75]), those with comorbidities (≥5 comorbidities vs none; 9·51 [9·07–9·97]), being antheral (male vs female; 1·23 [1·20–1·26]), and those with definite underlying wellness conditions—in particular, individuals receiving immunosuppressants (yes vs no; 5·80 [5·53–6·09])—and those with chronic kidney illness (stage 5 vs no; 3·71 [2·90–4·74]) remained astatine precocious hazard contempt the archetypal booster. Individuals with a past of COVID-19 corruption were astatine reduced hazard (infected ≥9 months earlier booster dose vs nary erstwhile infection; aRR 0·41 [95% CI 0·29–0·58]).
Interpretation
Older people, those with multimorbidity, and those with circumstantial underlying wellness conditions stay astatine accrued hazard of COVID-19 hospitalisation and decease aft the archetypal vaccine booster and should, therefore, beryllium prioritised for further boosters, including caller optimised versions, and the expanding array of COVID-19 therapeutics.
Funding
National Core Studies–Immunity, UK Research and Innovation (Medical Research Council), Health Data Research UK, the Scottish Government, and the University of Edinburgh.
Introduction
COVID-19 vaccination programmes person been rolled retired globally arsenic the cardinal strategy to power and minimise the interaction of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Our World successful Data
Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccinations.
Three vaccines person chiefly been utilized successful the UK—namely, BNT162b2 (tozinameran; Pfizer–BioNTech), ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (Oxford–AstraZeneca), and mRNA-1273 (elasomeran; Moderna).
UK Health Security Agency
COVID-19: the greenish book, section 14a.
In the UK, the superior vaccination docket is 2 doses for the bulk of the colonisation oregon 3 doses for radical who are immunosuppressed. Booster doses person been offered successful the UK since September, 2021, initially for groups astatine precocious hazard of superior unwellness from COVID-19. However, the accelerated emergence of the much transmissible omicron (B.1.1.529) variant of interest (relative to delta [B.1.617.2])—which was archetypal seen successful the UK successful precocious November, 2021, and became the ascendant variant by mid-December—led to sizeable interest successful public, professional, and authorities circles, resulting successful a argumentation inaugural to fast-track the roll-out of the booster vaccine, including to younger radical (all those aged 40 years and older), successful an effort to forestall yet different UK-wide lockdown implicit Christmas, 2021. From Nov 29, 2021, booster doses were past extended to those aged 18 years and over, with a recommended spread of 3 months aft superior vaccination.
- Wise J
COVID-19: booster doses to beryllium offered to 30 cardinal radical successful UK.
,
- Sheikh A
- Kerr S
- Woolhouse M
- et al.
Severity of omicron variant of interest and effectiveness of vaccine boosters against symptomatic illness successful Scotland (EAVE II): a nationalist cohort survey with nested test-negative design.
,
NHS
How to get a booster dose of the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine.
Research successful context
Evidence earlier this study
We searched PubMed, medRxiv, and SSRN connected June 27, 2022, for English studies investigating terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft vaccination utilizing the hunt presumption “COVID-19 breakthrough infections (MeSH)”, “COVID-19 vaccines (MeSH)”, and “COVID-19 (MeSH)”. Our searches identified 133 studies. Previous grounds has consistently shown that vaccination with the archetypal booster dose reduces the hazard of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and COVID-19-related hospitalisation and death. An investigation of nationalist information from Israel estimated archetypal booster dose of BNT162b2 mRNA vaccine effectiveness of 92% (95% CI 82–97) against terrible COVID-19. Another nationalist survey from Qatar successful the omicron epoch estimated vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 against terrible COVID-19 arsenic 77% (95% CI 56–88). We person antecedently reported connected hazard factors for terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft archetypal and 2nd vaccine doses of the superior schedule, but determination is small population-based grounds astir the factors associated with COVID-19-related hospitalisation and decease aft the archetypal booster dose successful the omicron era.
Added worth of this study
We recovered an accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes opening 10 weeks aft completing the superior vaccination schedule, with this hazard reducing aft the archetypal booster dose. This UK-wide analysis, successful summation to confirming immoderate of the antecedently identified hazard factors for terrible COVID-19 outcomes specified arsenic older property and usage of immunosuppressants, has besides highlighted further hazard factors, specified arsenic chronic kidney disease, neurological disorders, bosom failure, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Most importantly, we show a substantive accrued hazard associated with precocious multimorbidity.
Implications of each the disposable evidence
As the pandemic continues to evolve, vaccination programmes and mitigation strategies request to germinate to prioritise those astatine highest hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes. This UK-wide population-based probe has recovered that, aft the archetypal vaccine booster, older people, those with precocious multimorbidity, and those with definite underlying wellness conditions stay astatine highest hazard of COVID-19-related hospitalisation and death. The UK's Joint Commission connected Vaccination and Immunisation should see prioritising these individuals for the forthcoming autumn booster dose programme, ideally with caller optimised vaccines, and COVID-19 therapeutics.
Although the superior vaccination docket and consequent booster connection sizeable extortion against COVID-19-related hospitalisation and death, emerging information suggest that immoderate individuals stay astatine peculiarly precocious risk.
- Kuhlmann C
- Mayer CK
- Claassen M
- et al.
Breakthrough infections with SARS-CoV-2 omicron contempt mRNA vaccine booster dose.
Work successful Israel showed that, though a booster reduced the hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes (ie, COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon death), these events continued astatine a complaint of 1·68 events per 1000 person-years.
- Bar-On YM
- Goldberg Y
- Mandel M
- et al.
Protection of BNT162b2 vaccine booster against Covid-19 successful Israel.
In different survey done successful Israel,
- Barda N
- Dagan N
- Cohen C
- et al.
Effectiveness of a 3rd dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for preventing terrible outcomes successful Israel: an observational study.
vaccine effectiveness of the archetypal booster dose against terrible COVID-19 unwellness was estimated to beryllium 92%. In a survey by Arbel and colleagues,
- Arbel R
- Hammerman A
- Sergienko R
- et al.
BNT162b2 vaccine booster and mortality owed to COVID-19.
compared with individuals who were not boosted, COVID-19 mortality was reduced by 90% successful individuals who received a booster dose. Although these studies suggest that the archetypal booster dose has been beneficial, determination is small grounds astir factors associated with terrible COVID-19 outcomes successful the boosted population.
Our erstwhile Scotland-wide analysis
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
reported that older age, multimorbidity, hospitalisation successful the 4 weeks earlier vaccination, moving successful a high-risk occupation, being a attraction location resident, socioeconomic deprivation, being male, and being an ex-smoker accrued the hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft the archetypal dose of the superior vaccination schedule. However, this investigation was done erstwhile the alpha (B.1.1.7) variant was dominant. It is important to characterise factors associated with accrued hazard for individuals aft the archetypal booster dose truthful that they tin beryllium prioritised for aboriginal boosters and perchance besides beryllium offered COVID-19 therapeutics.
WHO
Interim connection connected the usage of further booster doses of Emergency Use Listed mRNA vaccines against COVID-19.
Current UK vaccination argumentation is to connection aboriginal booster doses to individuals astatine precocious risk, but it is inactive uncertain which groups of the colonisation could payment most.
BBC
Vulnerable adults acceptable for autumn COVID booster jab.
In effect to an urgent petition from the UK's Joint Commission connected Vaccination and Immunisation (JCVI), we sought to picture the objective and demographic characteristics of individuals associated with accrued hazard of COVID-19-related hospitalisation and mortality astatine 14 days oregon much aft receiving the booster dose of the BNT162b2 oregon mRNA-1273 vaccine. Working with population-based information from crossed the UK's 4 nations offered america the accidental to populate information gaps successful idiosyncratic state datasets (eg, for HIV) and make precise estimates for uncommon hazard groups.
Methods
Study plan and population
A statistical investigation program was developed earlier we did the investigation and was published connected the EAVE II website.
We utilized Reporting of Studies Conducted utilizing Observational Routinely-collected Data (also termed RECORD) and Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies successful Epidemiology (also termed STROBE) checklists to usher transparent reporting (appendix pp 3–7).
- Benchimol EI
- Smeeth L
- Guttmann A
- et al.
The REporting of studies Conducted utilizing Observational Routinely-collected wellness Data (RECORD) statement.
,
- von Elm E
- Altman DG
- Egger M
- Pocock SJ
- Gøtzsche PC
- Vandenbroucke JP
The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies successful Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies.
We utilized 4 adjacent real-time nationwide health-care datasets stored successful abstracted unafraid Trusted Research Environments (TREs) successful England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales. Each of these datasets included accusation connected objective and demographic characteristics of each individual, their vaccination presumption and benignant of vaccine used, and accusation connected affirmative SARS-CoV-2 corruption from RT-PCR and consequent COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon death. We were incapable to study connected corruption successful the assemblage mounting based connected home-antigen investigating that was not confirmed with RT-PCR.
Our cohorts consisted of individuals aged 18 years and older who had completed their superior vaccine docket (first and 2nd doses) with BNT162b2 oregon ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccines lone oregon had consequent booster doses of BNT162b2 oregon mRNA-1273 vaccines betwixt Dec 8, 2020, and Feb 28, 2022. The bulk of superior vaccination schedules utilized BNT162b2 oregon ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 due to the fact that these vaccines were the archetypal to beryllium licensed for usage successful the UK. The mRNA-1273 vaccine became disposable much than 4 months aboriginal and was, therefore, astir exclusively utilized successful individuals aged 40 years oregon younger. The tiny numbers successful strata for the groups would beryllium insufficiently powered for robust estimates, truthful the individuals who received mRNA-1273 arsenic their superior vaccine were excluded from this analysis. For individuals aged 12 years oregon older with superior oregon acquired immunodeficiency, receiving immunosuppressive oregon immunomodulating therapy, with chronic immune-mediated inflammatory disease, oregon receiving high-dose steroids, the superior vaccine docket included a 3rd half-vaccine dose.
UK Health Security Agency
COVID-19: the greenish book, section 14a.
Follow-up was from 14 days aft completing the superior vaccination docket until COVID-19-related hospitalisation, COVID-19-related death, oregon the extremity of the survey play (ie, Feb 28, 2022). We excluded events that occurred wrong the archetypal 14 days aft completion of the superior vaccination docket to let clip for a afloat immune effect to beryllium mounted.
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
For the aforesaid reason, the 14-day play aft a booster dose was counted arsenic the vulnerability play aft the superior vaccine dose.
We sought to picture the objective and demographic characteristics and estimation hazard factors for individuals who had terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft completing the superior vaccination docket oregon consequent booster dose during the play erstwhile the omicron variant was dominant. Therefore, we included events that occurred betwixt Dec 20, 2021, and Feb 28, 2022. Two abstracted analyses were performed to execute this. For the archetypal analysis, we included each individuals who completed their superior vaccine docket of BNT162b2 oregon ChAdOx1 nCoV-19. Many of these individuals past went connected to person the booster dose. For the 2nd analysis, we truthful included each individuals who besides received the archetypal booster dose of BNT162b2 oregon mRNA-1273 vaccines. As portion of this 2nd analysis, we besides estimated the hazard of terrible COVID-19 result associated with immoderate of 36 underlying objective conditions identified utilizing the Qcovid hazard algorithm.
- Clift AK
- Coupland CAC
- Keogh RH
- et al.
Living hazard prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for hazard of infirmary admittance and mortality from coronavirus 19 successful adults: nationalist derivation and validation cohort study.
In England, ethical support was granted by the Health Research Authority London Central Research Ethics Committee (reference fig REC notation 21/HRA/2786; integrated probe exertion strategy fig 30174). In Northern Ireland, survey support was granted by the Honest Broker Service (HBS) Governance Board (project fig 064; the HBS process does not necessitate abstracted National Research Ethics Service governance approval). In Scotland, ethical support was granted by the National Research Ethics Service Committee (Southeast Scotland 02; notation fig 12/SS/0201), and the support for information linkage was granted by the Public Benefit and Privacy Panel for Health and Social Care (reference fig 1920–0279). In Wales, probe conducted wrong the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank was done with the support and support of the autarkic Information Governance Review Panel (project fig 0911). Individual written diligent consent was not required for this study.
Study datasets
Our analytical attack was to behaviour separate, equivalent analyses wrong each nation, and past make pooled estimates utilizing fixed-effect meta-analyses for the UK arsenic a whole. In England, we utilized the Oxford-Royal College of General Practitioners (RCGP) Research and Surveillance Centre (RSC) database, 1 of Europe's oldest sentinel networks that has a adjacent real-time provender of superior attraction information and is nationally representative, covering astir 32% of the English colonisation (N>19 million). The RSC supports the UK Health Security Agency's immunisation and vaccine-preventable illness and real-time syndromic surveillance. Data were pseudonymised successful the Oxford RCGP Clinical Informatics Digital Hub (ORCHID) TRE. Pseudonymisation was conducted utilizing a National Health Service (NHS) Digital-approved process, allowing pseudonymised NHS numbers (unique nationalist IDs) to nexus idiosyncratic patient-level information to different datasets to supplement superior attraction data; these datasets included the 2nd procreation surveillance strategy for Pillar 1 (laboratory investigating wrong NHS facilities) and Pillar 2 (community trial facilities acceptable up during the pandemic) COVID-19 corruption results, the nationalist immunisation absorption work for vaccine uptake, Hospital Episode Statistics for hospitalisation and intensive attraction portion admissions, and Office for National Statistics information for certificated origin of death.
Leston M, Elson WH, Watson C, et al. Representativeness, vaccination uptake and COVID objective outcomes 2020–21 successful the UK's Oxford-RCGP Research and Surveillance Network: cohort profile. JMIR Public Health Surveill (in press).
In Northern Ireland, vaccination information from the Vaccine Management System were linked to applicable datasets utilizing an anonymised survey identifier that replaced each individual's unsocial wellness and attraction fig to conception the cohort, covering 1·9 cardinal individuals (entire population). These datasets were: colonisation information from the National Health Authority Information System (recording eligibility for wellness attraction successful Northern Ireland, which included day of death); medications dispensed by assemblage pharmacists from the enhanced prescribing database (more details are disposable successful the appendix [p 10]); and COVID-19 investigating information from the Northern Ireland centralised investigating register, which included Pillar 1, Pillar 2, and different sources (such arsenic question and point-of-care testing). COVID-19-related infirmary admissions were identified utilizing the Patient Administration System, which captured each acute infirmary sites successful Northern Ireland. Primary attraction consultation and diagnostic information were not disposable for Northern Ireland; therefore, medicine dispensation was utilized arsenic a proxy measurement for comorbidities.
In Scotland, the Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) platform
- Mulholland RH
- Vasileiou E
- Simpson CR
- et al.
Cohort profile: Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) Database.
utilized the Community Health Index number, which is simply a unsocial identifier utilized successful each health-care contacts crossed Scotland, to deterministically nexus superior attraction information connected 5·4 cardinal radical (around 99% of the population) from 940 wide practices, secondary attraction information from Scottish Morbidity Record 01 and Rapid Preliminary Inpatient Data, laboratory information from Electronic Communication of Surveillance successful Scotland, vaccination presumption information from the Turas Vaccination Management Tool, and mortality information from National Records of Scotland.
In Wales, the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank platform
- Lyons RA
- Jones KH
- John G
- et al.
The SAIL databank: linking aggregate wellness and societal attraction datasets.
,
- Ford DV
- Jones KH
- Verplancke JP
- et al.
The SAIL Databank: gathering a nationalist architecture for e-health probe and evaluation.
utilized Anonymised Information Linkage Field, covering 3·2 cardinal individuals (entire population), which is simply a pseudonymised unsocial identifier utilized successful each health-care contacts crossed Wales, to nexus population-level superior attraction records of 329 (84%) of 391 General Practitioner practices crossed Wales, each infirmary admissions, and RT-PCR investigating results for the full colonisation from a cohort designed for studying COVID-19-related outcomes.
Outcomes
Our superior result of involvement was terrible COVID-19 outcomes, defined arsenic COVID-19-related infirmary admittance oregon death, 14 days oregon much aft completing the superior vaccine docket oregon aft the archetypal booster dose. A COVID-19-related infirmary admittance was defined arsenic a infirmary admittance with either a affirmative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR trial wrong 14 days earlier admittance and immoderate crushed of admission, oregon COVID-19 arsenic crushed for admittance oregon a affirmative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR trial effect during an admission, successful which COVID-19 was not the crushed for admittance (appendix p 1). COVID-19-related mortality was defined arsenic either decease for immoderate crushed wrong 28 days of a affirmative SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR trial oregon if COVID-19 was recorded arsenic the superior crushed for decease connected the decease certificate (appendix p 1).
Population characteristics and covariates
Characteristics of involvement were defined astatine baseline and included age, sex, ethnicity, municipality oregon agrarian spot of residence (which is simply a measurement of rurality based connected residential settlement),
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
BMI, SARS-CoV-2 corruption earlier the superior dose of the vaccine (classified arsenic <3 months, 3–5 months, 6–8 months, and ≥9 months earlier the vaccine dose), being successful a high-risk occupational radical (defined by the fig of erstwhile RT-PCR tests, a proxy for high-risk occupations, classified arsenic 0, 1, 2, 3–4, 5–9, and >10 tests), the interval betwixt archetypal and 2nd vaccine doses (classified arsenic 3–6 weeks, 7–8 weeks, 9–10 weeks, 11–12 weeks, and >13 weeks), health-care administrative areas (NHS regions successful England, section councils successful Northern Ireland, and wellness boards successful Scotland and successful Wales; results for administrative areas are not shown successful this Article), socioeconomic deprivation presumption (based connected quintiles of Index of Multiple Deprivation successful England, Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure successful Northern Ireland, Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation successful Scotland, and Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation successful Wales
NISRA
Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2017 (NIMDM2017).
,
Ministry of Housing Communities & Local Government
English indices of deprivation 2019.
), and the fig of pre-existing comorbidities antecedently known to beryllium associated with terrible COVID-19 result (the differences successful measurement betwixt nations are elaborate successful the Methods conception successful the appendix [p 10]).
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
The implicit database of comorbidities included successful the fig of pre-existing comorbidities and included arsenic portion of the 2nd investigation is listed successful the appendix (pp 8–9). We examined clip since vaccination successful periods of 3–9 weeks, 10–19 weeks, and ≥20 weeks from completion of the superior vaccination schedule, and 3–5 weeks, 6–8 weeks, and 9 weeks oregon much for the booster doses separately. To let for saltation successful inheritance levels of assemblage infection, we divided the information by calendar week. We examined RT-PCR trial results to find what proportionality of SARS-CoV-2-positive tests each time were owed to the omicron variant. Data suggested that omicron was ascendant aft Dec 14, 2021 (appendix p 2). We past included each the events (severe COVID-19 outcomes) aft Dec 20, 2021, to let for the known lag betwixt corruption and terrible outcomes.
Statistical analysis
Data governance arrangements did not licence the sharing of individual-level information betwixt the 4 TREs. Therefore, we archetypal performed the investigation successful each TRE and past pooled the estimates utilizing fixed-effect meta-analyses. We calculated the frequence and complaint per 1000 person-years of terrible COVID-19 outcomes for each demographic and objective factors. We utilized generalised linear models, assuming a Poisson organisation with person-time arsenic an offset that represented the clip astatine risk, arsenic an approximation to a Cox proportional hazards exemplary to deduce complaint ratios (RRs) with 95% CIs for the relation betwixt demographic and objective factors and COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon death. The adjusted RRs (aRRs) for clip since receiving the vaccine dose were estimated for each vaccines combined, arsenic good arsenic for each vaccine separately. The models were adjusted for age, sex, socioeconomic deprivation status, municipality versus agrarian spot of residence, BMI, fig of pre-existing comorbidities, the spread betwixt the archetypal and 2nd vaccine doses, past of SARS-CoV-2 infection, fig of erstwhile RT-PCR tests, wellness committee (data not shown), and play prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 corruption successful the community. We selected these perchance important demographic and objective characteristics of involvement based connected our erstwhile work,
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
conditions antecedently identified by QCOVID arsenic precocious risk,
- Clift AK
- Coupland CAC
- Keogh RH
- et al.
Living hazard prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for hazard of infirmary admittance and mortality from coronavirus 19 successful adults: nationalist derivation and validation cohort study.
and the availability of information wrong each nationalist dataset. To cipher the RRs for 36 idiosyncratic comorbidities (in England, Scotland, and Wales), abstracted models were fitted. These models adjusted for each the aforementioned variables but for the fig of pre-existing comorbidities.
For some analyses, abstracted results (log RRs and their modular errors) from each federation were meta-analysed utilizing fixed-effect analyses with a generic inverse variance approach.
- Borenstein M
- Hedges LV
- Higgins JPT
- Rothstein HR
A basal instauration to fixed-effect and random-effects models for meta-analysis.
All statistical analyses were done utilizing the statistical bundle R: successful England, R mentation 4.2.0 was used; successful Northern Ireland, R mentation 4.1.0 was used; successful Scotland, R mentation 3.6.3 was used; and successful Wales, R mentation 4.1.2 was used. Statistical analyses were performed successful England by JO (and independently checked by SB and UA), successful Northern Ireland by LP (and independently checked by DTB), successful Scotland by UA (and independently checked by CR), and successful Wales by SB (and independently checked by FT).
Role of the backing source
The funders of the survey had nary relation successful survey design, information collection, information analysis, information interpretation, oregon penning of the report.
Results
16 208 600 individuals aged 18 years and older had received superior doses of COVID-19 vaccines successful England, Northern Ireland, Scotland, oregon Wales betwixt Dec 8, 2020, and Feb 28, 2022, and were followed up until hospitalisation, death, oregon the extremity of the survey period. Among these individuals, 59 510 (0·4%; 8·8 events per 1000 person-years) had a terrible COVID-19 result betwixt Dec 20, 2021, and Feb 28, 2022. 7 589 080 individuals received superior doses of BNT162b2 and 8 619 520 received superior doses of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19. The complaint of terrible COVID-19 outcomes was higher among individuals who received the ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine (35 550 events astatine the complaint of 9·9 events per 1000 person-years) compared with individuals who had received the BNT162b2 vaccine (23 970 events astatine the complaint of 7·5 events per 1000 person-years). A elaborate statement of the characteristics of the full colonisation is shown successful Table 1.
Table 1Combined illustration characteristics and rates of terrible COVID-19 outcomes for individuals who received superior vaccine doses crossed England (N=11·4 million), Northern Ireland (N=40 000), Scotland (N=3·1 million), and Wales (N=1·6 million)
Rates are per 1000 person-years.
There was an accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes 10 weeks aft completing the superior doses of BNT162b2 oregon ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 (≥20 weeks vs 3–9 weeks; aRR 4·55 [95% CI 4·16–4·99]). Individuals with a greater fig of comorbidities (≥5 comorbidities vs none; 7·98 [7·73–8·24]; appendix p 11), who were older (aged ≥80 years vs 18–49 years; 8·12 [7·89–8·35]), who had a higher BMI (≥40 vs 18·5–24·9; 1·75 [1·69–1·82]), oregon who were antheral (male vs female; 1·19 [1·17–1·21]) were besides associated with accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes (figure 1, appendix pp 11–13). Individuals with a past of SARS-CoV-2 corruption (infected ≥9 months earlier the booster dose vs nary erstwhile infection) were recovered to beryllium astatine reduced hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes (0·38 [0·29–0·49]; figure 1, appendix pp 11–13). The hazard of terrible COVID-19 reduced aft receiving the booster dose (≥9 weeks aft mRNA-1273 booster vs 3–9 weeks aft completing superior schedule, aRR 0·54 [95% CI 0·48–0·60]; ≥9 weeks aft BNT162b2 booster vs 3–9 weeks aft superior schedule, 0·80 [0·72–0·88]; figure 1, appendix pp 11–13).
13 836 390 individuals received a booster vaccine of BNT162b2 oregon mRNA-1273 and were followed up until hospitalisation, death, oregon the extremity of the survey play connected Feb 28, 2022. In the play aft booster vaccination, 26 100 (0·2%; 7·6 events per 1000 person-years) individuals had terrible COVID-19 outcomes. 10 439 820 individuals received the booster dose of BNT162b2 and 3 396 570 individuals received the booster dose of mRNA-1273, starring to 2360 and 23 740 terrible COVID-19 outcomes, respectively. The complaint of events among individuals who received mRNA-1273 (3·0 events per 1000 person-years) arsenic the booster dose was little than that for individuals who received BNT162b2 (9·0 events per 1000 person-years) booster; a elaborate statement of the characteristics of the colonisation is shown successful table 2.
Table 2Combined illustration characteristics and rates of terrible COVID-19 outcomes for individuals who received a booster dose, crossed England (N=9·7 million), Northern Ireland (N=24 000), Scotland (N=2·7 million), and Wales (N=1·4 million)
Rates are per 1000 person-years.
Risk factors associated with terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft receiving a booster dose were akin to those associated with worse outcomes aft completion of the superior vaccination schedule. There was an accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes 9 weeks oregon much aft receiving a booster dose of BNT162b2 oregon mRNA-1273 vaccine (≥9 weeks vs 3–5 weeks; aRR 1·20 [95% CI 1·07–1·35]). Individuals with a greater fig of comorbidities (≥5 comorbidities vs none; 9·51 [9·07–9·97]), who were older (aged ≥80 years vs 18–49 years; 3·60 [3·45–3·75]), oregon who were antheral (male vs female; 1·23 [1·20–1·26]) were besides associated with accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes.
There was a protective effect among individuals with a past of SARS-CoV-2 corruption (infected ≥9 months earlier booster dose vs nary erstwhile infection; aRR 0·41 [95% CI 0·29–0·58]). Individuals with expanding multimorbidity were associated with accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes (two vs none, aRR 3·35 [95% CI 3·21–3·50]; 3 vs none, 4·78 [4·56–5·00]; 4 vs none, 6·34 [6·03–6·66]). Further details are shown successful table 3 and figure 2.
Table 3Pooled analyses of Poisson-adjusted complaint ratios for demographic and objective characteristics associated with COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon decease among individuals who received booster doses
Overall estimates are shown arsenic good arsenic those stratified by benignant of vaccine astatine 2nd dose.
The beingness of immoderate of the underlying conditions of involvement was associated with an accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes. This hazard was peculiarly precocious among those receiving immunosuppressants (yes vs no; aRR 5·80 [95% CI 5·53–6·09]), individuals with a past of a uncommon neurological information (yes vs no; 5·30 [4·90–5·74]), and individuals with chronic kidney illness (chronic kidney illness signifier 5 vs no; 3·71 [2·90–4·74]; figure 3, appendix pp 14–16).
Discussion
This UK-wide investigation has identified those who stay astatine hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft the archetypal vaccine booster dose. Our findings identified hazard factors that person been antecedently reported (eg, property and being immunosuppressed), but we besides identified a scope of further hazard groups and highlighted the important accrued hazard posed by multimorbidity. These hazard factors translated into some analyses successful a dose-dependent manner. Our results showed that determination were benefits of the archetypal vaccine booster dose, indicated by the reduced complaint of terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft booster doses, changing from 8·8 events per 1000 person-years (59 510 full events) to 7·6 events per 1000 person-years (26 100 full events). Although lower, this hazard is inactive appreciable successful nationalist wellness terms, necessitating information of further booster doses, opening with those astatine highest risk. These insights present request to beryllium factored into plans for the roll-out of the autumn COVID-19 booster programme and those who should beryllium prioritised for COVID-19 therapeutics.
To our knowledge, this is the archetypal nationalist survey successful the UK to estimation and characterise the hazard of terrible COVID-19 events successful the UK colonisation who person received a booster dose. Our investigation has respective cardinal strengths. The information utilized were based connected government-mandated reporting from NHS providers, which provided accelerated entree to information connected vaccination presumption and objective outcomes from routinely collected physics wellness records for astir one-third of the colonisation from England and astir the full populations of Northern Ireland, Scotland, and Wales.
- Mulholland RH
- Vasileiou E
- Simpson CR
- et al.
Cohort profile: Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) Database.
,
- Vasileiou E
- Simpson CR
- Shi T
- et al.
Interim findings from first-dose wide COVID-19 vaccination roll-out and COVID-19 infirmary admissions successful Scotland: a nationalist prospective cohort study.
Our determination to analyse population-based cohorts crossed antithetic UK nations offered the accidental to capable information gaps contiguous successful idiosyncratic nations (eg, HIV exceptionalism successful the devolved administrations). Additional strengths included our quality to set for a scope of covariates, and the pooling of information from crossed the UK, thereby allowing for precision of estimates for groups of patients with uncommon conditions. Confining our investigation to the play during which omicron was ascendant was an further strength.
However, this survey is not without its limitations. These limitations see undertaking enactment successful the discourse of an evolving pandemic successful which sublineages of omicron person emerged, challenges successful harmonising immoderate of the hazard groups crossed UK nations, and the hazard of residual confounding. Chronologically, astir of the colonisation were completing their superior vaccination docket during 2 peaks of infection, whereas booster doses were rolled retired erstwhile corruption numbers were falling and the emerging omicron variant was little apt to origin terrible outcomes successful infected people.
- Sheikh A
- Kerr S
- Woolhouse M
- et al.
Severity of omicron variant of interest and effectiveness of vaccine boosters against symptomatic illness successful Scotland (EAVE II): a nationalist cohort survey with nested test-negative design.
Moreover, a fewer of the earlier infirmary admissions successful the survey mightiness person not been caused by omicron, considering that nary variant has ever been 100% dominant.
Individuals who were considered underweight by BMI (<18·5), surviving successful municipality alternatively than agrarian settings, and those with a shorter play betwixt vaccine doses successful the superior docket were astatine accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes. By contrast, those with a past of COVID-19 were shown to beryllium astatine reduced risk. These observations are successful keeping with the erstwhile literature.
- Piernas C
- Patone M
- Astbury NM
- et al.
Associations of BMI with COVID-19 vaccine uptake, vaccine effectiveness, and hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft vaccination successful England: a population-based cohort study.
Our findings besides suggest that each groups aged 65 years and implicit were astatine accrued hazard of superior outcomes comparative to the notation radical (aged 18–49 years), indicating the request to see the 2nd dose of booster successful these older adults. Our investigation is successful statement with findings from different work,
- Bar-On YM
- Goldberg Y
- Mandel M
- et al.
Protection of BNT162b2 vaccine booster against Covid-19 successful Israel.
,
- Barda N
- Dagan N
- Cohen C
- et al.
Effectiveness of a 3rd dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for preventing terrible outcomes successful Israel: an observational study.
,
- Arbel R
- Hammerman A
- Sergienko R
- et al.
BNT162b2 vaccine booster and mortality owed to COVID-19.
which has shown simplification successful terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft booster. Our findings suggest that determination were astir 8 terrible COVID-19 events per 1000 person-years, which is higher than the fig reported successful a survey successful Israel.
- Bar-On YM
- Goldberg Y
- Mandel M
- et al.
Protection of BNT162b2 vaccine booster against Covid-19 successful Israel.
However, the timeframe of this survey and that of Bar-On and colleagues
- Bar-On YM
- Goldberg Y
- Mandel M
- et al.
Protection of BNT162b2 vaccine booster against Covid-19 successful Israel.
was different. The accrued hazard of corruption and terrible COVID-19 outcomes seen arsenic clip elapsed since completion of the superior vaccination docket was corrected by the booster, and this waning of vaccine effectiveness reflects existing reported work.
- Rosenberg ES
- Dorabawila V
- Easton D
- et al.
COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness successful New York State.
,
- Katikireddi SV
- Cerqueira-Silva T
- Vasileiou E
- et al.
Two-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine extortion against COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths implicit time: a retrospective, population-based cohort survey successful Scotland and Brazil.
,
- Stuart ASV
- Shaw RH
- Liu X
- et al.
Immunogenicity, safety, and reactogenicity of heterologous COVID-19 superior vaccination incorporating mRNA, viral-vector, and protein-adjuvant vaccines successful the UK (Com-COV2): a single-blind, randomised, signifier 2, non-inferiority trial.
Although this study, alongside others,
- Hall V
- Foulkes S
- Insalata F
- et al.
Protection against SARS-CoV-2 aft COVID-19 vaccination and erstwhile infection.
,
- Manisty C
- Otter AD
- Treibel TA
- et al.
Antibody effect to archetypal BNT162b2 dose successful antecedently SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals.
recovered that erstwhile SARS-CoV-2 corruption was associated with a reduced hazard of terrible COVID-19, determination is simply a caveat that corruption with antithetic variants mightiness not confer the aforesaid grade of protection, and the population-scale roll-out of booster vaccines has precluded appraisal of erstwhile immunity owing to logistical challenges, which suggests that boosting remains due among individuals with erstwhile SARS-CoV-2 corruption for the clip being. However, arsenic further grounds accumulates, the hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes among individuals who were antecedently infected with SARS-CoV-2 microorganism should beryllium reassessed.
Our information suggested a little complaint of terrible COVID-19 outcomes successful radical who received mRNA-1273 compared with those who received BNT162b2. Our survey was not designed to analyse the comparative effectiveness of antithetic boosters, truthful immoderate evident differences request to beryllium interpreted with care. Emerging grounds suggests that mRNA-1273 boosters mightiness nutrient a stronger immune response, starring to little rates of symptomatic corruption and terrible COVID-19 outcomes than BNT1261b2.
- Wang L
- Davis PB
- Kaelber DC
- Volkow ND
- Xu R
Comparison of mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2 vaccines connected breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections, hospitalizations, and decease during the delta-predominant period.
Our reflection of accrued hazard 10 weeks aft superior vaccination is supported by erstwhile work,
- Levin EG
- Lustig Y
- Cohen C
- et al.
Waning immune humoral effect to BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine implicit 6 months.
which showed that highest antibody responses were seen successful the archetypal period aft vaccination but past declined astir four-fold implicit the pursuing 10 weeks. Similarly, post-booster antibody responses person been shown to peak, but immune waning past occurs rapidly, with 1 study
- Regev-Yochay G
- Gonen T
- Gilboa M
- et al.
Efficacy of a 4th dose of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine against omicron.
reporting a 5·5-fold alteration successful highest antibody titre wrong 16 weeks. Because we did not person entree to serological information wrong this study, we could not find if individuals with circumstantial objective hazard factors mounted a afloat immune effect aft a booster, but a erstwhile study
- Kearns P
- Siebert S
- Gaskell C
- et al.
Examining the immunological effects of COVID-19 vaccination successful patients with conditions perchance starring to diminished immune effect capacity–the OCTAVE trial.
has reported suboptimal immunological responses crossed galore of the groups identified successful our investigation arsenic being astatine accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes. Thus, determination is simply a request for follow-on enactment to analyse risks of terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft booster successful those who person been shown to equine a afloat immunological response.
Our findings bespeak a scope of demographic and objective factors associated with accrued objective hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes contempt booster vaccination and rise questions regarding aboriginal approaches to heighten protection. Increased objective hazard wrong older radical is not unexpected and is apt to bespeak underlying frailty, comorbidity, and immune senescence. Indeed, this signifier is seen with different respiratory viruses, contempt the instauration of caller adjuvanted vaccine formulations. Immune senescence is simply a diagnostic communal to respective hazard groups and indicates that, contempt beardown immunogenicity, existent COVID-19 vaccines cannot present equivalent extortion to each individuals. Future approaches should purpose to amended vaccine immunogenicity and impact a scope of caller strategies, including variant-specific immunogenic agents, instauration of viral proteins successful summation to spike, and the incorporation of immunodominant cellular epitopes. However, these approaches are improbable to flooded immune suppression successful the astir susceptible groups and for that crushed further approaches, specified arsenic medication of anti-spike monoclonal antibodies and antivirals, should besides beryllium considered.
These findings person been shared with JCVI and the Chief Medical Officers and Chief Scientific Advisers of the UK nations and are present being considered arsenic the UK plans its autumn COVID-19 booster vaccine programme. This investigation has helped to make timely insights that are present being utilized to assistance place and prioritise individuals astir apt to payment from 2nd vaccine boosters and COVID-19 therapeutics. Policy makers volition not lone request to see this grounds (and immoderate different evidence) connected hazard groups, but besides the logistical aspects of administering booster doses to a important proportionality of the UK's population.
There is simply a request to analyse immunological responses to vaccination successful those who person been identified arsenic being astatine precocious hazard aft a archetypal booster dose. Our program is to proceed to analyse information connected uptake and interaction of 2nd dose boosters arsenic the vaccine programme proceeds.
In summary, this UK-wide, population-based investigation has recovered that individuals who received their archetypal booster vaccination were astatine reduced hazard of COVID-19-related hospitalisation oregon decease compared with those who had lone completed their superior vaccination schedule. Older age, those with a higher fig of comorbid conditions, and those with a scope of circumstantial underlying conditions were, however, recovered to beryllium astatine accrued hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes and mightiness peculiarly payment from additional, preferentially novel, COVID-19 boosters, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and COVID-19 therapeutics.
Contributors
AS, CRS, CR, and LR conceived the archetypal EAVE II study. AS conceived this study. UA and CMC led the penning of the insubstantial and edited the last manuscript with assistance from AS, SB, ZG, and AA-L. SdL and MJ conceived however Research and Surveillance Centre information could enactment this survey and are the guarantors of these data; JO conducted these analyses, JO; and SdL, MJ, and RSMT added the investigation connected information from England to the paper. LP and DTB were liable for information cleaning, and LP contributed to the investigation successful Northern Ireland. UA accessed and verified the underlying information and is liable for information cleaning and investigation successful Scotland. SB accessed and verified the underlying information and is liable for information cleaning and investigation successful Wales. CR oversaw each the analyses. All authors contributed to the survey plan and each authors contributed to drafting the insubstantial and revised the manuscript for important intelligence content. All authors person seen and approved the last substance and gave last support of the mentation to beryllium published.
Data sharing
Declaration of interests
AS and CR are members of the Scottish Government Chief Medical Officer's COVID-19 Advisory Group. AS is simply a subordinate of the Scottish Government's Standing Committee connected Pandemic Preparedness, the UK Government's New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (known arsenic NERVTAG) Risk Stratification Subgroup, the Department of Health and Social Care's COVID-19 Therapeutics Modelling Group, and was a subordinate of AstraZeneca's COVID-19 Strategic Thrombocytopenia Taskforce. All AS's roles are unfunded. CMC reports probe backing from the Medical Research Council, Health Data Research UK, the National Institute for Health and Care Research, and the Scottish Chief Scientist Office. SVK was Co-Chair of the Scottish Government's Expert Reference Group connected COVID-19 and ethnicity and is simply a subordinate of the SAGE subgroup connected ethnicity. SVK acknowledges backing from an NRS Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02), the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00022/2), and the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU17). CR is simply a subordinate of the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group connected Modelling, Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency Vaccine Benefit and Risk Working Group. SdL received backing done his assemblage for vaccine-related probe from AstraZeneca, GSK, Sanofi, Seqirus, and Takeda. He has been a subordinate of advisory boards for AstraZeneca, Sanofi, and Seqirus, and is Director of the Research and Surveillance Centre. All different authors state nary competing interests.
Acknowledgments
This enactment was funded by the National Core Studies–Immunity group. This probe is portion of the Data and Connectivity National Core Study, led by Health Data Research UK successful concern with the Office for National Statistics and funded by UK Research and Innovation (grant ref MC_PC_20060), with enactment from the DaC-VaP-2 survey besides funded by UK Research and Innovation (grant ref MC_PC_20058). The survey entitled “Use of nationalist linked wellness care, serological data, and viral genomic information to place and characterise post-third and -booster dose vaccine breakthroughs astatine a colonisation level” is simply a concern betwixt the University of Edinburgh, Swansea University, Oxford University, Queen's University of Belfast, University of St Andrews, and The Office for National Statistics. The authors would similar to admit each different task collaborators not progressive successful these analyses but who are contributing to wider discussions and preceding outputs. EAVE II is funded by the Medical Research Council (MR/R008345/1) with the enactment of BREATHE–The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health (MC_PC_19004), which is funded done the UK Research and Innovation Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund and is delivered done Health Data Research UK. Additional enactment has been provided done Public Health Scotland and Scottish Government Director-General Health and Social Care. We convey Dave Kelly from Albasoft for his enactment with making superior attraction information available, and James Pickett, Wendy Inglis-Humphrey, Vicky Hammersley, Maria Georgiou, Laura Gonzalez Rienda, Pam McVeigh, Amanda Burridge, Sumedha Asnani-Chetal, and Afshin Dastafshan for their enactment with task absorption and administration. We admit the enactment of the EAVE II Patient Advisory Group. We convey the patients and signifier of the Research and Surveillance Centre who let information sharing, and EMIS, TPP, Cegedim, and Wellbeing for assistance with pseudonymised information extraction. Rachel Byford and the ORCHID information squad extracted these data, and Sneha N Anand task managed. We besides admit the assistance from Paul Moss and Samantha Lycett for successful answering the reviews. The authors would similar to admit the assistance provided by the unit of the Honest Broker Service wrong the Business Services Organisation Northern Ireland (BSO). The Honest Broker Service is funded by the BSO and the Department of Health for Northern Ireland. The authors unsocial are liable for the mentation of the information and immoderate views oregon opinions presented are solely those of the authors and bash not needfully correspond those of the BSO.
Supplementary Material
References
- 1.
- Our World successful Data
Coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccinations.
- 2.
- UK Health Security Agency
COVID-19: the greenish book, section 14a.
- 3.
- Wise J
COVID-19: booster doses to beryllium offered to 30 cardinal radical successful UK.
BMJ. 2021; 374n2261 - 4.
- Sheikh A
- Kerr S
- Woolhouse M
- et al.
Severity of omicron variant of interest and effectiveness of vaccine boosters against symptomatic illness successful Scotland (EAVE II): a nationalist cohort survey with nested test-negative design.
Lancet Infect Dis. 2022; 22: 959-966 - 5.
- NHS
How to get a booster dose of the coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccine.
- 6.
- Kuhlmann C
- Mayer CK
- Claassen M
- et al.
Breakthrough infections with SARS-CoV-2 omicron contempt mRNA vaccine booster dose.
Lancet. 2022; 399: 625-626 - 7.
- Bar-On YM
- Goldberg Y
- Mandel M
- et al.
Protection of BNT162b2 vaccine booster against Covid-19 successful Israel.
N Engl J Med. 2021; 385: 1393-1400 - 8.
- Barda N
- Dagan N
- Cohen C
- et al.
Effectiveness of a 3rd dose of the BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine for preventing terrible outcomes successful Israel: an observational study.
Lancet. 2021; 398: 2093-2100 - 9.
- Arbel R
- Hammerman A
- Sergienko R
- et al.
BNT162b2 vaccine booster and mortality owed to COVID-19.
N Engl J Med. 2021; 385: 2413-2420 - 10.
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
Lancet Respir Med. 2021; 9: 1439-1449 - 11.
- WHO
Interim connection connected the usage of further booster doses of Emergency Use Listed mRNA vaccines against COVID-19.
- 12.
- BBC
Vulnerable adults acceptable for autumn COVID booster jab.
- 13.
- Usher Institute
EAVE II.
- 14.
- Benchimol EI
- Smeeth L
- Guttmann A
- et al.
The REporting of studies Conducted utilizing Observational Routinely-collected wellness Data (RECORD) statement.
PLoS Med. 2015; 12e1001885 - 15.
- von Elm E
- Altman DG
- Egger M
- Pocock SJ
- Gøtzsche PC
- Vandenbroucke JP
The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies successful Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies.
Lancet. 2007; 370: 1453-1457 - 16.
- Clift AK
- Coupland CAC
- Keogh RH
- et al.
Living hazard prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for hazard of infirmary admittance and mortality from coronavirus 19 successful adults: nationalist derivation and validation cohort study.
BMJ. 2020; 371m3731 - 17.
Leston M, Elson WH, Watson C, et al. Representativeness, vaccination uptake and COVID objective outcomes 2020–21 successful the UK's Oxford-RCGP Research and Surveillance Network: cohort profile. JMIR Public Health Surveill (in press).
- 18.
- Mulholland RH
- Vasileiou E
- Simpson CR
- et al.
Cohort profile: Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) Database.
Int J Epidemiol. 2021; 50: 1064-1074 - 19.
- Lyons RA
- Jones KH
- John G
- et al.
The SAIL databank: linking aggregate wellness and societal attraction datasets.
BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2009; 9: 3 - 20.
- Ford DV
- Jones KH
- Verplancke JP
- et al.
The SAIL Databank: gathering a nationalist architecture for e-health probe and evaluation.
BMC Health Serv Res. 2009; 9: 157 - 21.
- NISRA
Northern Ireland Multiple Deprivation Measure 2017 (NIMDM2017).
- 22.
- Ministry of Housing Communities & Local Government
English indices of deprivation 2019.
- 23.
- Agrawal U
- Katikireddi SV
- McCowan C
- et al.
COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths aft BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccinations successful 2·57 cardinal radical successful Scotland (EAVE II): a prospective cohort study.
Lancet Respir Med. 2021; 9: 1439-1449 - 24.
- Borenstein M
- Hedges LV
- Higgins JPT
- Rothstein HR
A basal instauration to fixed-effect and random-effects models for meta-analysis.
Res Synth Methods. 2010; 1: 97-111 - 25.
- Vasileiou E
- Simpson CR
- Shi T
- et al.
Interim findings from first-dose wide COVID-19 vaccination roll-out and COVID-19 infirmary admissions successful Scotland: a nationalist prospective cohort study.
Lancet. 2021; 397: 1646-1657 - 26.
- Piernas C
- Patone M
- Astbury NM
- et al.
Associations of BMI with COVID-19 vaccine uptake, vaccine effectiveness, and hazard of terrible COVID-19 outcomes aft vaccination successful England: a population-based cohort study.
Lancet Diabetes Endocrinol. 2022; 10: 571-580 - 27.
- Rosenberg ES
- Dorabawila V
- Easton D
- et al.
COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness successful New York State.
N Engl J Med. 2022; 386: 116-127 - 28.
- Katikireddi SV
- Cerqueira-Silva T
- Vasileiou E
- et al.
Two-dose ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 vaccine extortion against COVID-19 infirmary admissions and deaths implicit time: a retrospective, population-based cohort survey successful Scotland and Brazil.
Lancet. 2022; 399: 25-35 - 29.
- Stuart ASV
- Shaw RH
- Liu X
- et al.
Immunogenicity, safety, and reactogenicity of heterologous COVID-19 superior vaccination incorporating mRNA, viral-vector, and protein-adjuvant vaccines successful the UK (Com-COV2): a single-blind, randomised, signifier 2, non-inferiority trial.
Lancet. 2022; 399: 36-49 - 30.
- Hall V
- Foulkes S
- Insalata F
- et al.
Protection against SARS-CoV-2 aft COVID-19 vaccination and erstwhile infection.
N Engl J Med. 2022; 386: 1207-1220 - 31.
- Manisty C
- Otter AD
- Treibel TA
- et al.
Antibody effect to archetypal BNT162b2 dose successful antecedently SARS-CoV-2-infected individuals.
Lancet. 2021; 397: 1057-1058 - 32.
- Wang L
- Davis PB
- Kaelber DC
- Volkow ND
- Xu R
Comparison of mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2 vaccines connected breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections, hospitalizations, and decease during the delta-predominant period.
JAMA. 2022; 327: 678-680 - 33.
- Levin EG
- Lustig Y
- Cohen C
- et al.
Waning immune humoral effect to BNT162b2 COVID-19 vaccine implicit 6 months.
N Engl J Med. 2021; 385: e84 - 34.
- Regev-Yochay G
- Gonen T
- Gilboa M
- et al.
Efficacy of a 4th dose of COVID-19 mRNA vaccine against omicron.
N Engl J Med. 2022; 386: 1377-1380 - 35.
- Kearns P
- Siebert S
- Gaskell C
- et al.
Examining the immunological effects of COVID-19 vaccination successful patients with conditions perchance starring to diminished immune effect capacity–the OCTAVE trial.
SSRN. 2021; ()
Article Info
Publication History
Published: 15 October 2022
Identification
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(22)01656-7
Copyright
© 2022 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.
User License
Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) |ScienceDirect
Access this nonfiction connected ScienceDirectLinked Articles
- Prioritisation of COVID-19 boosters successful the omicron era
Vaccines are a superior constituent of the COVID-19 pandemic response. Up until August, 2022, each disposable COVID-19 vaccines targeted lone the ancestral strain of SARS-CoV-2. Emergence of the highly transmissible omicron (B.1.1.529) variant successful November, 2021, has been associated with reduced effectiveness of first-generation COVID-19 vaccines against infection.1 Omicron and different variants of interest airs important challenges to optimising COVID-19 vaccination strategies. Thankfully, a increasing assemblage of lit shows that a COVID-19 vaccine booster dose protects against symptomatic omicron infection1,2 and against hospitalisation with omicron infection, though extortion is little with much precocious emerging omicron sublineages (ie, BA.4 and BA.5) compared with earlier variants.
- Full-Text