The view from countries where Trump's win really matters

2 weeks ago 14

BBC Design representation  of Trump and a coloured representation  of the worldBBC

News of Donald Trump's instrumentality to powerfulness successful the White House has made planetary headlines.

His alleged 'America First' overseas argumentation could spot a withdrawal of US engagement successful areas of struggle astir the world.

Five BBC correspondents measure the effect it could person wherever they are.

Trump seen arsenic respite connected Ukraine frontlines

By James Waterhouse, Ukraine correspondent, Kyiv

"Do not effort to foretell Trump's actions. No 1 knows however helium is going to act."

The words of 1 Ukrainian MP bespeak the governmental situation facing Kyiv. A Trump triumph was wide feared here, implicit what it could mean for aboriginal US support.

The Republican erstwhile vowed to extremity the warfare successful a azygous day, and has repeatedly criticised US subject assistance for Ukraine. Now, it's anyone's conjecture what helium could do.

"He could inquire Putin to frost this war, and helium says 'OK'," says a front-line soldier. "It's the worst script due to the fact that successful a mates of years the Russians volition beforehand again and mightiness destruct us."

"The 2nd script is if Putin refuses," helium says. "There is simply a accidental Trump volition respond radically. That is simply a much promising scenario."

Ukraine hopes that means the US further upping its subject enactment successful the look of a apt Ukrainian defeat.

For those adjacent to the beforehand lines who person had capable of Russian aggression, Trump is seen arsenic a way to respite.

Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine's president erstwhile labelled by Trump arsenic "the top salesman successful history" sent an aboriginal connection of congratulations.

He talked up the governmental and economical opportunities a concern could provide, and wants to beryllium capable to support warring successful return.

There's besides different ingredient.

Trump won't conscionable person to see further subject enactment for Ukraine, but besides however oregon whether to respond to North Korea's increasing engagement successful Russia's invasion.

No plans for Putin congratulations

By Steve Rosenberg, Russia editor, Moscow

You mightiness expect the Kremlin to beryllium cock-a-hoop astatine Trump winning backmost the White House.

After all, retired connected the run trail, helium had avoided criticising Vladimir Putin. Kamala Harris meantime called the Russian president "a murderous dictator".

Trump had besides questioned the standard of US subject assistance to Kyiv.

Publicly, though, the Kremlin is going retired of its mode to springiness the content that it's not excited by a Trump victory.

"I'm not alert of immoderate plans [for President Putin] to congratulate Trump," said Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov. "Don't hide that [America] is an 'unfriendly country' which is straight and indirectly progressive successful a warfare against our state."

The dampening down of expectations are the effect of however Trump's archetypal word turned out: the Kremlin had precocious hopes that a Trump presidency would alteration US-Russian relations. It didn't.

Nevertheless, astatine the governmental treatment nine I'm attending successful the mountains supra Sochi, starring Russian governmental scientists look to beryllium looking guardant to Trump the sequel.

One pundit told maine helium thinks that nether Trump the US volition "retreat" from its planetary ace powerfulness status.

Another suggested the US predetermination fitted the Kremlin's "overall imaginativeness of the world", successful which "liberal globalism has depleted its efficiency".

Europe's leaders spot information occupation ahead

By Paul Kirby, Europe integer editor

When dozens of European leaders from the EU and beyond stitchery successful Budapest connected Thursday, those connected the close volition beryllium celebrating Donald Trump's predetermination victory, but the remainder volition beryllium asking themselves what happens next.

Hungarian big and Trump state Viktor Orban was archetypal connected to Facebook with his delighted message: "It's successful the bag!"

But for galore different EU leaders Trump 2.0 could awesome occupation up connected security, commercialized and clime change.

Within minutes of congratulating the Republican candidate, France's Emmanuel Macron said helium had agreed with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz to enactment towards a "more united, stronger, much sovereign Europe successful this caller context".

German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock gave an thought of that context. Just backmost from Ukraine, she said Europeans present had to "think large and marque investments successful our European information big", with the US arsenic a partner.

Her Polish and Nato counterpart Radoslaw Sikorski said helium had been successful interaction with Trump's apical squad and agreed "Europe indispensable urgently instrumentality greater work for its security".

The imaginable of steep US tariffs connected EU imports measurement heavy too. EU Commission main Ursula von der Leyen congratulated Trump but gave a timely reminder that "millions of jobs and billions successful trade" relied connected their transatlantic relationship.

Israel 'clear-sighted' astir who Trump is

By Lucy Williamson, Middle East correspondent, Jerusalem

Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's premier minister, was 1 of the archetypal to congratulate Trump and has antecedently called him Israel's champion ever person successful the White House.

Trump antecedently won favour present by scrapping a US atomic woody with Iran that Israel opposed. He besides upended decades of US argumentation by recognising Jerusalem arsenic Israel's capital.

Trump's archetypal word successful bureau was "exemplary" arsenic acold arsenic Israel is concerned, says Michael Oren, a erstwhile Israeli ambassador to the US. But helium adds: "We person to beryllium precise clear-sighted astir who Donald Trump is and what helium stands for."

The erstwhile president sees wars arsenic expensive, Mr Oren notes, and Trump has urged Israel to decorativeness the warfare successful Gaza quickly.

"If Donald Trump comes into bureau successful January and says, 'okay, you person a week to decorativeness this war', Netanyahu is going to person to respect that."

In Gaza, wherever the Israeli subject has been battling Palestinian radical Hamas, desperation has narrowed the absorption of immoderate residents.

Trump "has immoderate beardown promises", says Ahmed, whose woman and lad were some killed erstwhile their location was destroyed. "We anticipation helium tin help, and bring peace."

Another displaced resident, Mamdouh, said helium didn’t attraction who won the US predetermination - helium conscionable wanted idiosyncratic to help.

Xi mightiness spot accidental connected satellite stage

By Laura Bicker, China correspondent, Beijing

China is bracing itself for the instrumentality of Donald Trump wherever determination are fears that his presidency volition trigger a caller commercialized war.

As president, Trump imposed tariffs connected implicit $300 cardinal of Chinese imports. This clip astir helium has said the tariffs could beryllium successful excess of 60%.

Beijing volition not basal by - it volition retaliate. But China's system is already ailing and it volition beryllium successful nary temper for a 2nd protracted commercialized war.

However, President Xi whitethorn spot different 4 years of Trump arsenic an opportunity.

The Biden medication has spent the past 4 years gathering up friendships crossed Asia with the likes of South Korea, Japan, the Philippines and Vietnam - each successful an effort to incorporate China.

Trump's America First argumentation favours deals implicit this benignant of diplomacy. For instance, arsenic president, helium demanded much wealth from South Korea to proceed to big US troops successful the country.

Make nary mistake, China wants to situation the US-led satellite order. Beijing has already built alliances with emerging economies crossed the alleged Global South.

There is simply a hazard Trump could alienate US allies successful Asia, successful the mode helium did during his past presidency.

If that happens, Xi mightiness spot an opening to represent himself arsenic a unchangeable planetary partner.

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