University North Florida poll: DeSantis, Rubio lead by double digits - Tallahassee Democrat

TALLAHASSEE — Less than 2 weeks earlier the November 8 election, Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis and Republican Sen. Marco Rubio clasp double-digit leads implicit their Democratic opponents, a caller canvass shows.

In the contention for governor, DeSantis is up of Democratic challenger Charlie Crist by 14 percent points, 55%-41%, according to a canvass released Wednesday greeting by the University of North Florida's Public Opinion Research Lab. Less than 1% of those surveyed said they would ballot for idiosyncratic else, and 4% were undecided oregon refused to answer.

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In the U.S. Senate race, the canvass recovered that Rubio was good up of Democratic U.S. Rep. Val Demings, 54%-43%. Just 3% said they didn’t cognize who they preferred oregon refused to answer.

“The astonishment successful these numbers is that a statewide contention successful Florida is person to a blowout than a recount," said Dr. Michael Binder, PORL module manager and UNF political subject professor. “Florida has go a reddish state, it volition apt instrumentality an exceptionally anemic Republican campaigner for Democrats to triumph statewide — and Rubio is not a anemic candidate."

Republicans successful different statewide races were moving mode up of their Democratic opponents, too.

In the lawyer wide race, GOP incumbent Attorney General Ashley Moody leads Democrat Aramis Ayala by 14 points, 50%-36%, according to the poll, though 14% besides said they were undecided oregon refused to answer.

The contention for cultivation commissioner is tighter. Republican Wilton Simpson leads Democrat Naomi Esther Blemur by 5 points, with 17% saying they were undecided oregon refused to answer. 

“The Attorney General and Agricultural Commissioner races are a small little breathtaking for astir folks, and these thin to spell down enactment lines,” Binder said. “As is the lawsuit with a batch of these races, the result volition mostly travel down to who turns retired the astir voters — Republicans oregon Democrats — and it looks similar Republicans are going to triumph that fight.”

Voter fraud and the 2020 election

The canvass besides asked respondents astir their thoughts connected the prevalence of elector fraud. Half said President Biden decidedly won the 2020 election, portion 19% said erstwhile President Trump had won. 

The canvass surveyed 622 apt Florida voters from Oct. 17 done Oct. 24, and has a borderline of mistake of 4.7 percent points.

Other caller polls besides amusement DeSantis and Rubio with ample leads with lone weeks to spell earlier the November 8 election.

A Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy canvass recovered that DeSantis was winning overwhelming support among Republican voters and No Party Affiliated voters. The aforesaid canvass showed Rubio with a 6-point borderline over Demings.

In an quality Monday greeting connected MSNBC's Morning Joe show — earlier the UNF polls were released — Crist was asked astir erstwhile polls showing him trailing DeSantis. He dismissed them, noting that a canvass days earlier his landslide triumph implicit challenger Nikki Fried successful the Democratic superior showed her up by 4 points.

"All I attraction astir is the canvass that happens connected Election Day," said Crist. "That's what truly matters successful our country. And convey God for that. I look guardant to November 8th."

USA Today Network-Florida authorities accountability newsman Douglas Soule is based successful Tallahassee, Fla. He tin beryllium reached astatine DSoule@gannett.com. Twitter: @DouglasSoule