Upsets, $1.05 million loss fuel brutal Sunday for betting public

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  • David PurdumESPN Staff Writer

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    • Joined ESPN successful 2014
    • Journalist covering gambling manufacture since 2008

Sunday featured the largest upset of the play truthful far, a slew of games that were little scoring than expected and a trifecta of $300,000 bets that were unsuccessful. Indeed, it was a bully time to beryllium the house.

Four NFL underdogs won outright successful the aboriginal Sunday slate of games, highlighted by the Pittsburgh Steelers upending Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers arsenic 9.5-point favorites. The Steelers hadn't been that large of a location underdog since 1970.

At sportsbook PointsBet, 96% of the dollars stake connected the game's wealth enactment was connected Tampa Bay, and astatine Caesars, the Buccaneers' wealth enactment (-455) was included successful much parlays than immoderate different wager.

"People thought it was a escaped bingo space," Adam Pullen, adjunct manager of trading for Caesars Sportsbook, said. "Throw it connected determination and it can't lose."

The Steelers won 20-18.

The New York Jets upset Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers arsenic 7.5-point underdogs successful the third-biggest upset of the season. Sunday marked the 32nd clip Brady and Rodgers had been favored by astatine slightest a touchdown successful the aforesaid week. Sunday was the archetypal clip they some mislaid connected the aforesaid time successful that situation, according to ESPN Stats & Information.

The New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons besides pulled disconnected outright upsets -- and 1 bettor with DraftKings nailed each 4 of the aboriginal upsets connected a $20 four-leg money-line parlay that paid $2,810.31.

"It was a precise bully [Sunday]," Johnny Avello, DraftKings sportsbook director, said.

NFL notables

A bettor successful Nevada with Caesars Sportsbook placed 3 $300,000-plus bets:

• $390,000 connected Jaguars +3 (-130)
• $330,000 connected Buccaneers -8
• $330,000 connected Browns -2.5

All 3 mislaid for a full of $1.05 million.

"He's beauteous sharp," Craig Mucklow, manager of trading for Caesars, said of the large bettor. "We determination the fig considerably connected his action. We respect his action. He went 2-0 connected Saturday."

• Nine of 13 games person gone nether this week. Entering Monday Night Football, 60% of games this play person gone nether the total.

• The Buffalo Bills covered the dispersed (-2.5) successful a 24-20 triumph implicit the Kansas City Chiefs. It was the archetypal clip successful Chiefs backmost Patrick Mahomes' NFL vocation helium started a crippled arsenic a location underdog.

• The biggest determination connected the crippled for respective sportsbooks, though, was connected the over/under full (54). At PointsBet, 95% of the wealth stake connected the Bills-Chiefs full was connected the over, making it the astir lopsided betting connected full each play for the sportsbook.

• The Jets and Falcons are the lone 2 teams that person been underdogs successful each of their opening six games.

The Falcons improved to 6-0 against the dispersed with their 28-14 upset of the 49ers. Atlanta is the 3rd squad this decennary to screen the dispersed the archetypal six games of the season, joining the 2021 Cowboys and 2018 Chiefs.

The Jets improved to 4-2 consecutive up aft upsetting the Packers connected Sunday. The Jets are the 2nd squad successful the Super Bowl epoch to person a winning grounds done six games contempt being an underdog successful each game, joining the 2001 Browns.

One of the archetypal bets Caesars Sportsbook took successful January aft opening betting connected this year's Super Bowl was $5,000 connected the Jets astatine 200-1 odds. If the Jets were to triumph the Super Bowl, the stake would wage a nett $1 million.

• "The Jets and Steelers were our biggest wins," Andy Morrissey, trader for sportsbook relation WynnBET, said. "However, our 2 biggest decisions were the Bengals and Vikings, which some did not spell our way. The Bills and Chiefs amazingly wasn't adjacent the top-bet crippled successful presumption of grip this play for us. We volition beryllium rooting for the Cowboys successful the Sunday nighttime game."

The Eagles covered the 6.5-point dispersed successful a 26-17 triumph implicit the Cowboys.

• More wealth was stake connected the Cowboys-Eagles crippled astatine the sportsbook astatine The Borgata than was stake connected immoderate different NFL crippled this season.

Mattress Mack has sportsbook successful a pickle

Caesars Sportsbook is staring astatine a multimillion-dollar liability connected the Houston Astros winning the World Series but isn't readying to instrumentality immoderate drastic measures to mitigate its exposure.

The liability stems chiefly from a $3 cardinal stake connected the Astros to triumph the World Series astatine 10-1 that Caesars took successful May from Jim "Mattress Mack" McIngvale, the Houston furnishings store proprietor who regularly places elephantine wagers to hedge the hazard from promotional giveaways helium runs astatine Gallery Furniture.

This year, McIngvale offered customers who spent $3,000 treble their wealth backmost if the Astros won the World Series. To assistance minimize the risk, helium placed astir $10 cardinal successful bets connected the Astros to triumph the World Series astatine aggregate sportsbooks. The likelihood ranged from 10-1 to 5-1. He stands to triumph much than $70 cardinal if the Astros triumph it all.

Houston volition look the either the New York Yankees oregon Cleveland Guardians successful the American League Championship Series. The Yankees and Guardians volition play Game 5 of their divisional bid Monday successful New York. Once the matchup is set, Caesars Sportsbook isn't readying to boost the likelihood connected the Astros' hostile successful an effort to promote bets.

"With that amount, there's truly thing you tin bash to get disconnected thing similar that," Pullen told ESPN connected Sunday. "If you try, you're conscionable going to marque yourself a loser nary substance who wins. Basically, we conscionable person to beryllium and hope."

Mucklow, manager of trading for Caesars, said they mightiness see trying to pull wealth connected the Astros' AL Division Series hostile with immoderate alternate markets similar the nonstop bid results, but mostly planned going to publication the remainder of the MLB playoffs arsenic they usually would contempt the large liability.

"If they win, they win; congratulations," Mucklow said. "We were blessed to instrumentality the stake erstwhile we offered it. If you didn't privation to beryllium successful that position, don't instrumentality it."

Asked if they believed determination were successful a pickle due to the fact that of Mattress Mack's bet, Pullen said, "Yes, a large jar of pickles."

The Astros are present the favorites to triumph the World Series astatine +135.

College shot notables

• Underdogs went 34-11 against the dispersed Saturday, pulling 15 outright upsets. The 15 outright upsets tied Oct. 1 for the astir straight-up wins connected a time this season.

• As of Friday, much wealth was stake connected the Alabama-Tennessee crippled than immoderate different shot crippled connected the board, including Bills-Chiefs oregon Cowboys-Eagles, astatine Caesars Sportsbook. However, by Sunday, the grip connected Bills-Chiefs was much than treble what was stake connected Alabama-Tennessee.

The Volunteers bushed Alabama 52-49 arsenic 9-point underdogs successful what was a large triumph for the betting public. Tennessee was a precise fashionable nationalist dog," John Murray, enforcement manager of the SuperBook astatine Westgate Las Vegas, said. "Funny to yet get Alabama to suffer a crippled and we really suffer ourselves. Everyone was connected the Vols and they were right."

"We did OK connected Saturday," Murray added. "We gave a batch backmost astatine night. USC positive the points [vs. Utah] was a precise nationalist side, and we had a location subordinate with a large parlay tied to Utah wealth line. That was not a bully last people for us."

Utah won but failed to screen the 3.5-point dispersed successful a 43-42 triumph implicit the Trojans.

• Mojo, a sports betting level that allows customers to bargain and merchantability shares of idiosyncratic vocation statistical performances successful the NFL, opened prices connected respective assemblage quarterbacks who are considered pro prospects. Tennessee's Hendon Hooker saw his banal turn much than 12%, from $12.86 to $14.52, aft starring the Volunteers to an upset of No. 1 Alabama. Despite the loss, Crimson Tide backmost Bryce Young remained the highest-priced collegiate subordinate offered astatine $32.79.

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