Warnock vs. Walker: Georgia U.S. Senate Election Results 2022 - The New York Times

2 years ago 49

The polls are present closed successful Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and respective different states. 23m ago
The polls conscionable closed successful Arkansas. 54m ago
Polls conscionable closed successful 19 states and Washington, D.C. Among them: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Texas. 1h ago
The polls conscionable closed successful North Carolina, Ohio and West Virginia. 1h ago
The polls are present closed successful Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and successful parts of Florida and New Hampshire. 2h ago
The archetypal polls are closing successful Indiana and Kentucky. 3h ago


Democrat Dem.	1,389,053	50.8%
Republican Rep.	1,294,757	47.4%
Libertarian Lib.	49,341	1.8%
2,733,151
*Incumbent

Live forecast

No estimates yet.

This is our champion estimation for the result of this race, based connected the places that person reported votes truthful far. Jump to the forecast

When to expect results

State officials successful Georgia expect that results volition beryllium reported faster than successful 2020, erstwhile 77 percent of votes were reported by midnight Eastern and 95 percent were reported by noon connected Wednesday. There’s a anticipation that the high-profile Senate contention won’t beryllium decided until a Dec. 6 runoff election, which volition beryllium triggered if nary campaigner gets much than 50 percent of the vote. Learn much astir the timing of results ›

Circle size is proportional to the magnitude each county’s leading campaigner is ahead.

Estimated votes remaining

Estimated remaining votes

Warnock +53	310,371	69%	137,000
Warnock +76	210,388	68%	100,000
Warnock +18	207,759	61%	131,000
Warnock +31	149,649	43%	195,000
Walker +35	83,910	63%	49,000
Warnock +35	74,939	71%	30,000
Warnock +27	73,501	63%	44,000
Warnock +77	68,491	74%	24,000
Walker +45	62,343	75%	20,000
Walker +24	61,940	83%	13,000
Warnock +42	58,397	79%	16,000
Walker +9	53,569	81%	13,000
Warnock +33	45,859	79%	12,000
Walker +30	44,351	63%	26,000
Walker +40	43,494	87%	6,000
Warnock +3	39,578	61%	25,000
Warnock +38	39,087	57%	29,000
Warnock +47	35,521	81%	8,000
Walker +18	34,496	85%	6,000
Warnock +48	33,691	87%	5,000
Walker +27	33,105	88%	5,000
Walker +40	31,678	85%	6,000
Walker +45	25,607	80%	6,000
Walker +47	24,397	54%	21,000
Walker +38	23,775	70%	10,000
Walker +35	22,276	>95%	1,000
Walker +54	22,151	61%	14,000
Warnock +31	22,010	45%	27,000
Walker +58	21,961	82%	5,000
Walker +62	18,767	84%	4,000
Walker +44	18,206	64%	10,000
Walker +33	17,868	86%	3,000
Walker +52	17,412	60%	12,000
Walker +24	17,169	89%	2,000
Walker +18	17,092	64%	10,000
Walker +63	16,863	88%	2,000
Walker +47	16,028	87%	2,000
Warnock +26	15,157	83%	3,000
Walker +26	15,127	56%	12,000
Walker +32	14,970	72%	6,000
Walker +0.62	14,954	91%	1,000
Walker +60	14,180	95%	800
Walker +64	13,832	89%	2,000
Walker +43	13,659	92%	1,000
Walker +43	13,528	89%	2,000
Walker +39	12,962	88%	2,000
Walker +53	12,023	82%	3,000
Walker +9	11,718	42%	16,000
Walker +72	11,590	85%	2,000
Walker +62	11,482	75%	4,000
Walker +28	11,458	62%	7,000
Walker +31	10,416	>95%	<500
Walker +35	10,060	87%	2,000
Walker +58	9,985	87%	2,000
Walker +43	9,626	88%	1,000
Walker +39	9,569	70%	4,000
Walker +58	9,532	70%	4,000
Walker +52	9,520	67%	5,000
Walker +71	9,395	95%	500
Walker +42	9,320	84%	2,000
Walker +62	8,986	64%	5,000
Walker +53	8,479	72%	3,000
Walker +50	8,455	87%	1,200
Walker +7	8,440	87%	1,200
Walker +37	8,345	74%	3,000
Walker +71	8,305	59%	6,000
Walker +24	8,298	88%	1,200
Walker +53	8,206	93%	600
Walker +36	7,793	63%	5,000
Walker +36	7,491	80%	1,900
Walker +77	7,279	85%	1,300
Walker +77	7,167	87%	1,100
Walker +59	7,101	94%	400
Walker +7	7,044	82%	1,600
Walker +42	6,998	81%	1,700
Walker +39	6,783	89%	800
Walker +39	6,624	77%	1,900
Walker +53	6,528	90%	800
Walker +30	6,304	85%	1,100
Walker +19	6,269	63%	3,700
Walker +68	5,988	85%	1,000
Walker +54	5,892	65%	3,200
Walker +82	5,846	82%	1,300
Walker +64	5,818	85%	1,100
Walker +58	5,718	74%	2,000
Walker +27	5,585	86%	900
Walker +7	5,078	64%	2,800
Walker +29	5,073	89%	600
Walker +22	4,868	49%	5,000
Walker +55	4,790	92%	400
Warnock +10	4,743	68%	2,200
Walker +26	4,610	79%	1,200
Walker +53	4,594	30%	11,000
Walker +66	4,527	86%	700
Walker +42	4,513	54%	3,900
Walker +22	4,439	71%	1,800
Walker +68	4,438	89%	550
Walker +28	4,391	85%	800
Walker +17	4,126	91%	400
Walker +53	4,075	55%	3,400
Walker +45	3,972	90%	450
Walker +14	3,883	86%	650
Walker +74	3,710	87%	600
Walker +45	3,551	90%	400
Walker +8	3,527	86%	550
Walker +31	3,431	40%	5,100
Warnock +41	3,390	84%	650
Walker +48	3,368	90%	400
Walker +40	3,326	86%	550
Walker +10	3,277	89%	400
Walker +53	3,226	88%	450
Walker +42	3,143	85%	550
Walker +24	3,042	89%	350
Walker +42	3,036	40%	4,500
Walker +44	3,021	83%	600
Walker +33	2,951	87%	450
Walker +26	2,834	87%	400
Walker +33	2,761	88%	400
Walker +43	2,722	70%	1,150
Warnock +10	2,651	65%	1,400
Walker +43	2,623	79%	700
Walker +50	2,613	86%	400
Warnock +52	2,566	8%	29,000
Warnock +8	2,545	91%	250
Warnock +26	2,545	64%	1,450
Walker +41	2,443	87%	350
Walker +49	2,224	54%	1,850
Walker +52	2,148	84%	400
Warnock +5	2,148	89%	250
Walker +57	2,104	81%	500
Walker +41	2,089	3%	69,000
Walker +54	1,856	48%	2,050
Walker +40	1,817	88%	250
Warnock +45	1,802	3%	60,000
Walker +36	1,680	1%	113,000
Walker +54	1,508	55%	1,200
Warnock +5	1,393	76%	450
Walker +32	1,322	21%	5,000
Walker +82	1,295	89%	150
Walker +53	1,270	62%	750
Walker +15	1,242	87%	200
Warnock +4	1,119	86%	200
Walker +79	1,060	81%	250
Walker +8	1,015	74%	350
Walker +15	902	89%	100
Warnock +13	688	78%	200
Warnock +13	274	5%	5,100
Warnock +71	269	9%	2,800
—	0	0%	14,000
—	0	0%	10,000
—	0	0%	15,000
—	0	0%	11,000
—	0	0%	17,000
—	0	0%	11,000
—	0	0%	1,800
—	0	0%	11,000
—	0	0%	47,000
—	0	0%	1,200
—	0	0%	4,350

We’re looking into an contented with our estimates successful Louisiana. We program to crook the needle backmost connected soon.

How our estimated borderline has changed truthful far

The lines beneath amusement however the reported borderline (dashed line) compares with our estimated last borderline (solid enactment surrounded by an estimation of uncertainty.) As a rule, erstwhile our estimated borderline is dependable successful the beingness of caller ballot data, our forecast is much trustworthy.

Est. margin

Best guess

50% of outcomes

95%

Estimated stock of full votes reported

How votes comparison with 2020

Walker +35	R+34	22,276	>95%
Walker +31	R+26	10,416	>95%

Analyzing the vote

Your usher to the midterm results, from Times reporters

When polls close ›

Polls adjacent astatine 9 p.m. Eastern successful 10 states

Arizona has aggregate races featuring Republicans who person questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. In Wisconsin, Senator Ron Johnson, a Republican, is up for re-election against Lt. Gov. Mandela Barnes, and determination is simply a adjacent contention for governor. — Maggie Astor 29m ago
Ohio Senate ›

Another authorities with misleading aboriginal returns: Ohio

Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Vance successful the returns, but astir each of the results are aboriginal votes, which we expect to disproportionately favour Democrats. Here’s wherever we deliberation votes remain. — Alicia Parlapiano 32m ago
Georgia Senate ›

Why aboriginal results whitethorn beryllium misleading successful Georgia

Senator Raphael Warnock is retired with an aboriginal pb successful Georgia, but it could each beryllium conscionable a mirage. Most of the ballot reporting truthful acold is early, and Democrats are expected to triumph those votes by a ample margin. — Nate Cohn 1h ago
The Needle ›

The NYT Needle is live

The Times’s predetermination forecast is present running. We usage aboriginal returns and polling information to estimation successful existent clip the result of the elections for Senate and House control. Here’s however it works › — Nate Cohn 1h ago
When polls close ›

Polls adjacent astatine 8 p.m. Eastern successful 19 states and D.C.

Pennsylvania is location to a adjacent Senate contention betwixt Lt. Gov. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Michiganders are voting connected termination rights. And Kansas’ Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is successful a choky re-election race, arsenic is Gov. Janet Mills of Maine. — Maggie Astor 1h ago
When polls close ›

Polls adjacent astatine 7:30 p.m. Eastern successful 3 states

Republicans are favored to triumph the unfastened Senate races successful North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats person a better-than-expected day, these are 2 places we mightiness spot grounds of it. We’ll besides beryllium watching competitory House races successful N.C.-13 and Ohio-9. — Maggie Astor 1h ago
Florida Governor ›

Early ballot successful Miami shows Republican strength

Gov. Ron DeSantis winning the aboriginal ballot successful Miami-Dade County — which voted for Hillary Clinton by +29 points conscionable six years agone — is yet different motion of increasing Republican spot among Hispanic voters. — Nate Cohn 2h ago
When polls close ›

Polls adjacent astatine 7 p.m. Eastern successful six states

The Georgia Senate race, which could spell to a Dec. 6 runoff, could find which enactment controls the chamber. In Virginia, the performances of Democratic incumbents successful the 2nd and 7th districts whitethorn connection aboriginal indications of however the enactment volition fare successful House races overall. — Maggie Astor 2h ago
U.S. House ›

What’s astatine involvement successful the House

Republicans indispensable triumph conscionable 19 competitory seats to retake bulk power from the Democrats. To clasp power of the House, Democrats indispensable triumph 46 of these seats (after accounting for the races the parties are expected to triumph astir easily). — Alicia Parlapiano 2h ago
When polls close ›

First polls adjacent astatine 6 p.m. Eastern successful Kentucky and Indiana

In Kentucky, voters volition determine whether to o.k. a law amendment that would efficaciously guarantee the implementation of a near-total termination ban. In Indiana, a House contention successful the 1st territory leans Democratic, but, if the spot were to flip, it could beryllium an aboriginal motion of a reddish wave. — Maggie Astor 3h ago
U.S. Senate ›

What’s astatine involvement successful the Senate

If Democrats clasp onto 2 seats leaning their way, they volition request to triumph 3 further tossup seats to support power of the Senate. Republicans would request conscionable 2 tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. — Lazaro Gamio 4h ago
Results timing ›

Results successful cardinal Senate races could instrumentality awhile

Six of the 8 astir competitory Senate races are successful states that did not telephone a victor successful the statesmanlike contention until aft predetermination night: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. What we expect this year › — Alicia Parlapiano 9h ago
Early returns

Be wary of ‘mirages’ connected predetermination night

Because of the bid successful which antithetic types of ballots are counted, aboriginal returns tin beryllium misleading. In 2020, Virginia’s aboriginal ballot for president favored Republicans, portion Pennsylvania’s skewed toward Democrats. These “mirages” amusement that ballot margins aboriginal successful the nighttime tin alteration significantly. — Lazaro Gamio 9h ago
When polls close ›

Polls successful astir states volition adjacent by 9 p.m. Eastern

Results volition statesman coming successful astatine 6 p.m. Eastern arsenic the archetypal polls adjacent successful Indiana and Kentucky, but the gait volition truly prime up with a slew of closings astatine 7 and 8. By 9 p.m., the polls volition person closed successful a bulk of states. — Maggie Astor 9h ago

About this data Demographic information are based connected the U.S. Census Bureau 2016–2020 American Community Survey five-year estimates and provided by SocialExplorer.com. The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Urban-Rural Classification Scheme for Counties was utilized to radical counties by size. Historical predetermination results are from The Associated Press and from the Voting and Election Science Team, which analyzed precinct results to find the 2020 statesmanlike ballot for 2022 House districts. “Most competitive” counties correspond those successful which Trump oregon Biden won by 5 points oregon little successful 2020.

Read Entire Article