Week 12 betting cheat sheet: How to approach Eagles-Packers, sharps backing Titans

Sunday's marquee crippled presents a concern that often annoys bettors: A matchup of teams I privation to fade. The Green Bay Packers sojourn the Philadelphia Eagles arsenic 6.5-point underdogs with some squads disappointing backers lately. Over the past 3 weeks, they are a combined 1-5 against the spread.

Schedule-makers sometimes present an perfect betting spot but different times they disregard your wishes. And I would classify Sunday Night Football arsenic the latter. At 4-7, the Packers look similar a wounded carnal and Aaron Rodgers shared that helium is playing with an injured close thumb. I americium lone looking to slice this problematic team.

The Eagles are inactive prime but they often gully everyone's champion changeable and look to person deed a midseason wall. I americium anxious to backmost teams catching a batch of points against them but it cannot beryllium a farce similar Green Bay. Rodgers and caput manager Matt LaFleur person typically thrived successful this situation. They're 12-3 ATS arsenic an underdog and 12-3 ATS disconnected a nonaccomplishment but this play intelligibly has a antithetic look and vibe.

"Past past lone goes truthful far. Each play is truthful different. As the play has gone on, we've adjusted them successful our ratings rather a bit," Caesars Sportsbook adjunct manager of trading Adam Pullen told ESPN. "A batch of the nationalist has jumped vessel arsenic they've been burned excessively galore times."

The Packers are inactive technically live for the post-season but I person zero assurance that they tin upwind this tempest and find immoderate resemblance of the squad that finished with the NFC's apical effect each of the past 2 years.

"I cognize Green Bay has won a crippled present and determination but I deliberation they're done," nonrecreational bettor Chuck Edel told ESPN, sharing that helium laid the 6.5 points with the Eagles, who helium thinks importantly improved their tally defence by precocious adding Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph. "I deliberation it's a bully matchup for Philly. Now that the enactment is nether 7 (points), it's cheap. I thought the fig should beryllium 7.5."

Philly is the lone broadside I would see playing. I similar to play the Eagles successful a teaser with the 49ers oregon Jets. You would person to store for the champion lines to minimize the teaser points but it's an enactment worthy considering.

The numbers you request to know

Cincinnati Bengals astatine Tennessee Titans (-1, 43)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

Sometimes trends are specified fun-facts. For example, the Cincinnati Bengals and Tennessee Titans are the NFL's 2 hottest teams and person outperformed the marketplace successful awesome fashion. Tennessee has covered 8 consecutive games, portion Cincy is riding a 7-1 ATS run. Something has to springiness connected Sunday.

However, determination are a mates different trends that person caught my oculus and look actionable. Let's commencement with the San Francisco 49ers, who person a pitched 3 consecutive second-half shutouts. That's a nonstop reflection of antiaircraft coordinator DeMeco Ryans. On Monday Night Football, the ESPN broadcast booth of Joe Buck and Troy Aikman sung his praises and suggested a squad volition tab him for its caput manager this coming offseason. I volition beryllium looking to stake the second-half under, if the 49ers pb the Saints astatine halftime.

The Los Angeles Chargers were 1 of San Francisco's caller victims but the Chargers person had issues beyond that 1 half. They person mustered conscionable 2 second-half touchdowns implicit the past 5 games. One came successful garbage clip of a convincing nonaccomplishment and the different needed past week's occurrence third-and-18 conversion. Otherwise, this teams looks disjointed and perpetually underdelivers. Head manager Brandon Staley leaves a batch to beryllium desired, acknowledgment to questionable decisions. I volition beryllium looking to slice them successful galore spots, adjacent though QB Justin Herbert is truthful talented.

Line determination of the week

Chicago Bears vs. New York Jets (-7, 38)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey

The New York Jets and Chicago Bears saw their constituent dispersed determination passim the week, owed to quality surrounding some starting quarterbacks. An wounded study surfaced connected Monday regarding Justin Fields, which prompted a respected wager connected the Jets. That bettor apt conscionable wanted to bushed the marketplace successful the lawsuit that Fields is incapable to play. Then connected Wednesday, successful a determination galore anticipated, New York manager Robert Saleh benched backmost Zach Wilson. Mike White volition commencement but the enactment remained astir 3.5 points.

Following this sequence, speculation started to turn that Fields would miss the game. That prompted a much noticeable enactment determination and the dispersed has present deed -7, which indicates the marketplace is forecasting Trevor Siemian to commencement for Chicago. The QB and his teammates person played their cards precise adjacent to the vest and volition not uncover who is taking the signifier reps. But the marketplace is overmuch much transparent.

Sharp report

Respected wealth arrives for a assortment of reasons. One could service arsenic a specified play to bushed the market, anticipating an injury. Professional bettors often conscionable privation to assemble the champion numbers and past person the enactment to play backmost the different broadside for a accidental astatine a middle, which is an accidental to triumph some bets oregon suffer a tiny magnitude of juice.

As always, astir each NFL games volition apt person nonrecreational wealth connected some sides. However, determination are antithetic tiers of pros. Based connected my intel, crisp bettors person wagered on: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3, Tennessee Titans +3, Miami Dolphins -12, Arizona Cardinals +3.5, Seattle Seahawks -3.5, Baltimore Ravens- Jacksonville Jaguars nether 45.5 and Green Bay Packers-Philadelphia Eagles implicit 44.5 and 45.5.