What's left to count in the House? Can Democrats hold the majority? - CBS News

Why the predicted "red wave" fizzled

Why the predicted "red wave" fizzled 06:06

House Republicans are successful presumption to scope the 218 seats they request to flip the enclosure aft the midterm elections. As of Saturday night, CBS News estimates Republicans volition triumph astatine slightest 214 seats, portion Democrats are estimated to triumph astatine slightest 210 seats. 

In respective outstanding races, Republicans are ahead. However, immoderate toss-ups person been breaking for Democrats, and connected Saturday night, CBS News projected that Democrats flipped Washington state's 3rd Congressional District, a spot the GOP was favored to hold.

There are presently 11 races that person not been called, and 10 of those seats are considered "battlegrounds." Of those remaining successful battleground districts, 5 were rated arsenic "toss ups," 2 were successful the "likely Democrat" category, 1 was "leaning Democrat" and 2 were "leaning Republican." 

Democratic strategists who enactment connected House races this rhythm accidental it would instrumentality a "miracle," but Democrats bash person a possible  way to retaining the majority. 

They would past person to triumph astatine slightest 8 of the remaining 11 seats. 

In 9 of California's uncalled and competitory races (California's 3rd, 9th, 13th, 22nd, 26th, 27th, 41st, 45th, 47th and 49th), 3 were "leaning Republican." 

For Republicans, California could assistance them get to the borderline of clinching the bulk — if their candidates clasp their leads. 

Mitchell said for immoderate accidental for Democrats to clasp the House, they'd person to triumph successful the 22nd, 27th and 41st, each districts wherever the Republican incumbent is successful the lead.

"If Democrats won each 3 of those races successful California, past deliberation the likelihood spell up that the Democrats tin clasp the House. But if Democrats suffer 1 of those three, the likelihood spell mode down, they suffer 2 of those three, the doorway slams shut," Mitchell said. 

Sarah Chamberlain, president of the Republican Main Street Partnership radical which works with much mean House Republicans, said she's assured Republicans David Valadao and Ken Calvert volition clasp their seats. 

Republicans besides pb successful 1 different choky race: Colorado's 3rd District, wherever GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert is successful the pb by astir 1,100 votes with 99 percent of results in. 

Democratic incumbents were projected to triumph 3 Nevada seats. Maine's 2nd District and Alaska's At-Large District, 2 seats with ranked prime voting, were leaning Democrat. 

"From the mathematics that we've done — I deliberation it's a foregone decision [that Republicans instrumentality the House]," said Chamberlain. "But it's gonna beryllium precise close. It's gonna beryllium conscionable a mates of seats. And it shouldn't beryllium I mean, this should person been a landslide, frankly."

In the primaries, Chamberlain's radical supported Republican candidates similar Reps. Peter Meijer of Michigan and Jamie Herrera-Beutler, House Republicans who were targeted by erstwhile President Donald Trump. Chamberlain argued that the further-right candidates who bushed their mainstream Republican picks would person been much competitory successful the wide election. 

She said that campaigner prime issue, arsenic good arsenic a disconnect betwixt Trump and the remainder of the Republican establishment, was a crushed power of the House remains truthful tight. 

"I don't deliberation Trump's going away," Chamberlain said. "We conscionable request to marque amended decisions with Trump. I bash deliberation immoderate of the Trump candidates wounded america connected Tuesday. And that's wherefore we request to enactment unneurotic arsenic a enactment and determination forward."

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• Democratic Party
• Republican Party
• United States House of Representatives