By Joshua Nevett
BBC Politics
In a twelvemonth of soaring energy bills and fears of blackouts, vigor has go the taxable of a bitter blasted game.
The satellite is successful the grip of a planetary vigor crisis, sharply exacerbated by the warfare successful Ukraine and the strain that has placed connected the proviso of gas, a large resource.
But household vigor costs are higher successful the UK than astir anyplace other successful Europe. How has it travel to this?
Looking backmost astatine decades of governmental decisions, erstwhile vigor ministers and manufacture experts person told the BBC wherever they deliberation immoderate mistakes were made.
Gas dependency
For decades now, UK governments person stake connected state to support the lights connected and our homes warm.
Our appetite grew successful the 1990s, erstwhile a fossil-fuel frenzy successful the North Sea acceptable disconnected what was dubbed the "dash for gas". As that dash slowed to a stroll, the UK became a nett importer of state successful 2004 and reliant connected supplies from affable countries specified arsenic Norway.
Adam Bell, who was caput of authorities vigor strategy until past year, said determination was an presumption that planetary supplies of state "were ever going to beryllium deep".
Mr Bell said the authorities "wasn't reasoning of imaginable downside scenarios", leaving the UK susceptible to this year's stratospheric emergence successful state prices.
Did anyone spot this coming earlier? Brian Wilson, who served arsenic an vigor curate successful Tony Blair's Labour authorities from 2001 to 2003, claims helium did.
Mr Wilson remembered 1 sobering forecast that "always stuck successful my mind", a projection of astir full reliance connected state imports from Russia. Though it ne'er came to pass, becoming heavy babelike connected state "was thing I didn't deliberation was a large idea", helium said.
The vigor regulator, Ofgem, didn't deliberation truthful either. In 2009, Ofgem produced an unsettling report, which flagged dependency connected state imports arsenic a cardinal hazard to vigor security.
The laminitis of Stag Energy, George Grant, had 1 thought to mitigate this risk. It progressive drilling into brackish caves beneath the East Irish Sea Basin to physique state retention for a rainy day.
Ministers were initially enthusiastic astir the Gateway Project and readying support was granted successful 2008. Then the fiscal situation hit, choking disconnected investment.
While Mr Grant kept making the lawsuit for Gateway, David Cameron's authorities felt "there was not a request to intervene to enactment much state storage".
Without authorities support, his task was sunk. Then the authorities went adjacent further, ruling retired immoderate nationalist subsidies for state storage. It meant nary authorities handouts for Rough, the UK's largest state retention facility, which was incapable to spend engineering upgrades and was mothballed successful 2017.
The no-subsidy argumentation was "absolutely" short-sighted, Mr Grant said, peculiarly due to the fact that the authorities has since asked him astir the anticipation of reviving Gateway and pushed for Rough to reopen.
Had we invested successful state retention sooner, "we would person been overmuch much protected this winter", said Charles Hendry, a erstwhile Conservative vigor minister.
The prime not to had consequences for the UK's vigor security, arsenic it did successful the atomic industry.
Nuclear naysayers
In the 1990s, atomic powerfulness generated astir 25% of the UK's electricity. Since then, the manufacture has been successful decline, with astir fractional of the UK's existent atomic capableness owed to beryllium retired by 2025.
Notoriously costly and analyzable to build, atomic projects person been kicked astir similar radioactive footballs by generations of politicians.
"I volition diagnose the problem," former Prime Minister Boris Johnson said, announcing authorities backing for a caller atomic powerfulness presumption earlier this year. "It's called myopia."
He said the culprits were Labour and the Liberal Democrats, whose erstwhile person Nick Clegg snubbed atomic in "a celebrated video" from 2010.
Twelve years on, immoderate would reason that the UK could bash with a caller atomic works oregon two.
The Liberal Democrats had agelong been opposed to atomic energy, until 2010 erstwhile they entered a conjugation authorities with the Conservatives and agreed caller atomic projects could spell ahead, providing they took nary nationalist money.
Chris Huhne was vigor caput during the archetypal 2 years of the conjugation government. At that point, helium said, the manufacture "was saying we don't request nationalist subsidy".
"We did everything astatine the clip that the atomic manufacture was asking for," Mr Huhne said.
That included the instauration of contracts-for-difference (CfD), a terms warrant for atomic and different generators of low-carbon power. Even then, the manufacture failed to pull capable concern and respective atomic projects fell through.
The deficiency of nationalist subsidy "made it precise hard to unafraid caller atomic plants", said Mr Hendry, who besides served successful the conjugation government. The crook distant from atomic pursuing the Fukushima catastrophe of 2011 can't person helped either, nor decisions made by erstwhile governments.
Like the Liberal Democrats, Labour was sceptical astir atomic powerfulness successful absorption earlier U-turning successful office.
Still, immoderate Labour voices successful authorities "were rabidly anti-nuclear", said Mr Wilson, the party's erstwhile vigor minister. No atomic proposals were made until 2005, erstwhile then-Prime Minister Tony Blair declared the "facts person changed".
"He took his clip astir it," said Mr Wilson.
The subordinate doesn't conscionable halt with Labour though. The privatisation of the vigor marketplace - started by Conservative Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher successful the 1980s - has besides been blamed for stalling atomic power.
In 1996, 8 atomic plants were privatised arsenic British Energy by John Major's government. Faced with large start-up costs and uncertain profits, the backstage assemblage connected its ain has not completed immoderate caller atomic powerfulness stations since.
This "big structural choice" partially explains "why powerfulness prices successful peculiar are truthful costly today", said Adam Bell, who is present caput of argumentation astatine absorption consultancy Stonehaven.
'Cut the greenish crap'
Another mentation with much weight, helium said, hinges connected choices made by Mr Cameron's government.
"The archetypal and astir important 1 was 'getting escaped of the greenish crap'," helium said.
The crude phrase, splashed connected the beforehand leafage of the Sun newspaper, was the "PM's solution to soaring vigor prices" successful 2013. Back then, Labour was campaigning hard connected the outgo of living, promising to headdress vigor bills if the enactment won the 2015 wide election.
In a astonishment reshuffle, Mr Hendry was replaced arsenic vigor curate by John Hayes, who vowed to enactment "coal backmost into the coalition".
"He wanted to spot a immense maturation successful coal," Mr Hendry said. "He did truly propulsion the low-carbon docket into reverse."
Over the adjacent 2 years, subsidies for renewables were cut, readying rules for onshore upwind were tightened, and a zero-carbon homes argumentation was scrapped.
Had those greenish policies remained, estimated yearly vigor bills would person been £9.5bn little nether the October terms cap, according to probe by vigor analysts Carbon Brief.
The culling of the greenish woody for location insulation was peculiarly disappointing for Mr Huhne, who sees the argumentation arsenic 1 of his cardinal legacies.
For excessively long, politicians "haven't wanted to bash the boring stuff", said Emma Pinchbeck, main enforcement of Energy UK, a commercialized association.
Instead, they've focused connected the "big infrastructure projects, which are sexy", she said.
"For the past decennary successful this country, each azygous twelvemonth we've been missing retired connected installing vigor businesslike measures and cleanable heating, which would person reduced our vulnerability to these prices.
"And those decisions were made due to the fact that of beauteous short-term politics."