Russia says the transportation of NATO conflict tanks to Ukraine is grounds of “direct and growing” US and European engagement successful the war, with 1 expert suggesting supplying nations could go imaginable targets.
The comments travel aft the United States and Germany connected Wednesday said they would limb Ukraine with dozens of dense tanks successful its combat against Russian forces.
“There are changeless statements from European capitals and Washington that the sending of assorted weapons systems to Ukraine, including tanks, successful nary mode signifies the engagement of these countries oregon the confederation successful hostilities successful Ukraine,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said connected Thursday.
“We categorically disagree with this and, successful Moscow, everything the confederation and the capitals I mentioned are doing is seen arsenic nonstop engagement successful the conflict. We spot that this is growing.”
Kyiv has been seeking hundreds of modern tanks to springiness its troops the firepower to interruption Russian antiaircraft lines and reclaim occupied territory successful Ukraine’s southbound and east. Ukraine and Russia person been relying chiefly connected Soviet-era T-72 tanks.
Russia, which launched the warfare by invading Ukraine connected February 24 past year, has progressively portrayed the struggle arsenic a confrontation with NATO.
Sergey Karaganov, a erstwhile advisor to Russian President Vladimir Putin, said NATO’s weapons deliveries could effect successful imaginable subject retaliation against the nations supplying them.
“By sending tanks, the NATO countries are becoming much openly progressive successful the warfare and that makes them imaginable targets,” helium told Al Jazeera.
’25 years of NATO expansion’
Karaganov besides blamed NATO for starting the struggle successful Ukraine.
“It is not precisely a Russian-Ukraine war, it is simply a Russian-Western war. Ukrainians are utilized arsenic cannon fodder and the enactment is fundamentally marionettes. The West has been advancing and preparing to onslaught Russia, and Russia decided to onslaught openly first. But it has been 25 years of NATO expansion.”
Despite the immense arms supplies by the West, Karaganov predicted a Russian victory.
“Eventually, Russia volition destruct Ukraine’s subject and the state volition beryllium afloat de-militarised. The neo-Nazi authorities determination volition beryllium finished,” helium said.
Game-changer?
Experts are divided connected however effectual Germany’s Leopard 2 and the US Abrams tanks volition beryllium against Russian forces.
“The deliveries of Leopard 2 volition instrumentality our crushed forces to a qualitatively caller level,” said Ukrainian subject expert Oleh Zhdanov.
Even though Leopard 2s are heavier than Soviet-designed tanks, they person a beardown borderline successful firepower and survivability.
“One Leopard 2 could beryllium equivalent to 3 oregon 5 Russian tanks,” Zhdanov said.
But helium noted the promised fig of Western tanks represents lone the minimum Ukraine needs to repel a apt violative by Moscow, adding that Russia has thousands of dense armoured vehicles.
“Kyiv is preparing for a antiaircraft cognition and its result volition find the aboriginal people of the conflict,” Zhdanov said.
Russian subject analysts were much sceptical astir the NATO tanks, arguing that portion Abrams proved intelligibly superior to older models of Soviet-built ones during the warfare successful Iraq, newer Russian models are much intimately matched. They besides noted Leopard 2 tanks utilized by the Turkish service against the Kurds successful Syria proved susceptible to Soviet-era anti-tank weapons.
Andrei Kartapolov, a retired wide who heads the defence affairs committee successful the little location of the Russian parliament, argued some Leopard 2 and Abrams are inferior to Russia’s T-90, a modified mentation of the T-72.
The latest Russian tank, the T-14 Armata, has been manufactured lone successful tiny numbers and truthful acold has not been utilized successful the war.
The United Kingdom’s defence ministry said successful its latest quality update that Russia has worked to hole a tiny batch of T-14s for deployment successful Ukraine, but added it had motor and different problems.
‘Major argumentation change’
Russian observers, meanwhile, noted it could instrumentality a important clip for the Western tanks to scope Ukraine, adding that grooming Ukrainians to usage and decently support them would adhd to the challenge.
“It apt means that the Ukrainian subject volition astir apt person a fewer tiny batches of tanks that could beryllium incompatible with each other,” Moscow-based defence expert Ilya Kramnik said successful a commentary.
Putin, his diplomats and subject leaders person repeatedly warned the West that supplying long-range weapons susceptible of striking heavy wrong Russia would people a reddish enactment and trigger monolithic retaliation.
Zhdanov argued that by agreeing to limb Ukraine with tanks, the West crossed an important intelligence obstruction and could yet supply Kyiv with adjacent much deadly weapons.
“Handing implicit Leopard 2 tanks to Ukraine marks a large alteration successful the argumentation of Western allies who stopped fearing escalation and are present acceptable to situation Russia successful the warfare of resources,” Zhdanov said.
“The West is forced to much wide unfastened the doors to its subject arsenals to Ukraine.”
‘Harsh retaliatory action’
Ukrainian officials person agelong expressed anticipation of getting US F-16 combatant jets and long-range rockets for the High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, known arsenic HIMARS, to deed targets acold down the beforehand lines.
Such desires drew ominous remarks from Russian diplomat Konstantin Gavrilov, akin to those voiced earlier by Putin and others.
“If Washington and NATO springiness Kyiv weapons to onslaught peaceful cities heavy wrong Russia and effort to prehend the territories that constitutionally beryllium to Russia, it volition unit Moscow to instrumentality harsh retaliatory action,” Gavrilov told a gathering of the Organization for Security and Cooperation successful Europe.
“Don’t archer america past that we haven’t warned you.”